Candid-Purchase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-07 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 20% $-6

Other

10% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 7?	Yes		-150	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-07 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	Yes		+15	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-07 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$20	133	0	+133	open	—	05-07 21:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	2	$13	191	191	+0	No	+$7	05-06 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-05 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	05-07 06:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	$-2	05-06 04:54
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$2	33	0	+33	Yes	$-2	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-05 12:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 7?	1	$0	0	150	-150	open	—	05-07 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 21:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x353e14…
05-07 14:11:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xf1ff22…
05-07 06:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x28d011…
05-06 11:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	191	5¢	$10	0x4c7db1…
05-06 05:09:30	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x05526d…
05-06 04:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xbedae4…
05-06 04:53:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	191	2¢	$3	0x93a13c…
05-05 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x44a78c…
05-05 06:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8392dc…
05-05 06:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xceb322…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	7	$520	22	05-07 21:16
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$4.85K	33	05-07 21:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$768	10	05-07 21:18
Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c	3	$2.93K	5	05-07 10:40