Ajar-Dialogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-16 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$8.2K	4,150	4,107	+44	open	—	05-16 22:45
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$187	150	150	+0	open	—	05-04 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	12	$154	120	120	+0	open	—	05-04 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	22	$108	200	100	+100	open	—	05-04 07:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	3	$86	74	74	+0	open	—	05-04 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	16	$70	200	0	+200	open	—	05-03 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 08:59
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$60	200	0	+200	open	—	05-03 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	2	$59	40	40	+0	Down	+$20	05-05 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	3	$50	140	0	+140	open	—	05-04 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	2	$50	140	0	+140	open	—	05-04 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3PM ET	6	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 16:00
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	2	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 16:01
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	4	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	10	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 15:11
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2PM ET	9	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 18:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$41	160	0	+160	Up	$-41	05-04 17:18
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$38	160	0	+160	open	—	05-04 17:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	3	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	05-04 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	1	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	05-04 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	5	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	6	$18	60	0	+60	open	—	05-04 13:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:46:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1327c1…
05-16 22:45:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2e7de0…
05-05 15:24:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa15a02…
05-05 08:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa026d4…
05-05 08:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x090819…
05-05 08:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xda2f88…
05-05 08:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf1737c…
05-05 08:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xad9818…
05-05 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x60f033…
05-05 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc73fce…
05-05 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc73fce…
05-05 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbb2d67…
05-05 08:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x323226…
05-05 08:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x0fe296…
05-05 00:40:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	4,100	100¢	$4,080	0x73cfc9…
05-04 17:33:20	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x0dfb47…
05-04 17:20:12	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	93	20¢	$19	0xfbfdcf…
05-04 17:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x2c2064…
05-04 17:17:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x996114…
05-04 17:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x321ca4…
05-04 17:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x1f784c…
05-04 17:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x84195b…
05-04 17:07:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x597130…
05-04 16:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xb2f627…
05-04 15:11:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	4,100	100¢	$4,084	0x7f4b73…
05-04 14:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	74	90¢	$67	0x4941bc…
05-04 14:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb46d57…
05-04 14:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe54742…
05-04 14:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xcee6be…
05-04 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x33d521…
05-04 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xd2c43f…
05-04 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xac9496…
05-04 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x10ff4d…
05-04 13:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x15ea1b…
05-04 13:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfd393a…
05-04 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xef2093…
05-04 13:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb70d69…
05-04 13:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x94dd8d…
05-04 13:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9e4a78…
05-04 13:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x77d154…
05-04 13:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	46	25¢	$12	0x1893a4…
05-04 13:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xd73939…
05-04 13:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x721b1b…
05-04 13:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xae8191…
05-04 13:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x18d880…
05-04 13:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xafb06d…
05-04 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xdadaec…
05-04 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd4199c…
05-04 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb79e7a…
05-04 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2355e4…
05-04 12:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa34ead…
05-04 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0ddc7a…
05-04 12:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x074d32…
05-04 12:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xd12b4a…
05-04 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x043dfc…
05-04 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x777e23…
05-04 11:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0xb86d73…
05-04 11:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x582f32…
05-04 11:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x674101…
05-04 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xe751f4…
05-04 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xd24cea…
05-04 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x74b5b2…
05-04 10:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xe7bd28…
05-04 10:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x030c3b…
05-04 10:31:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0xb4db48…
05-04 10:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0xe33282…
05-04 09:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc92919…
05-04 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xeef934…
05-04 09:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb922d2…
05-04 09:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x8cacb7…
05-04 09:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x148fc1…
05-04 09:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xbbad56…
05-04 09:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x00dfa3…
05-04 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xc1522e…
05-04 09:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb6c1aa…
05-04 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xcf0d2f…
05-04 09:38:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x21ecd6…
05-04 09:37:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	22¢	$18	0x627a70…
05-04 09:37:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x206743…
05-04 09:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc7d5b6…
05-04 09:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd6ed14…
05-04 09:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x188716…
05-04 09:10:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x2ad7e5…
05-04 08:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbc7f2e…
05-04 08:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x61f712…
05-04 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x6ad13f…
05-04 08:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x26c316…
05-04 08:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x25ae7e…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xdce57b…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc4276a…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb97018…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9c7150…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x7076e8…
05-04 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x40b7bd…
05-04 07:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x85b982…
05-04 07:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x2f81a4…
05-04 07:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2a7ae8…
05-04 07:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x2bb2bb…
05-04 07:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xaaec43…
05-04 07:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	80	49¢	$39	0xa72b8d…