Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$20
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-12 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
71% 50% $-7
Politics
29% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? No +8 $7 76¢ $6 $-1 05-10 11:51
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No +7 $6 76¢ $5 $-0 05-12 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-12 18:12
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-12 20:46
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-11 06:17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-11 06:17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-11 06:17