Stale-Screwup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$180

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-11 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Politics

15% 50% +$3

Sports

11% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	05-28 11:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$8	7	6	+0	open	—	04-10 12:41
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	2	$7	28	28	+0	open	—	03-18 17:44
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 22:04
bra cru san 2026 03 22 cru	3	$6	8	4	+4	open	—	03-21 17:44
atp kyrgios moutet 2026 06 08	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-09 12:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-05 19:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 00:09
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	03-09 00:09
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-31 19:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$4	35	0	+35	open	—	04-17 16:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	06-04 12:19
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-17 13:48
will real madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-16 14:33
fif nld ecu 2026 03 31 nld	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-31 22:04
fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 eng	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-31 22:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	$-1	04-24 16:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 16:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	2	$3	14	11	+4	open	—	04-18 17:30
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	3	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	06-11 14:47
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-11 14:25
will sentimental value win exactly 1 award at the oscars	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 02:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 10:40
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 21:40
fif mon slv1 2026 03 31 slv1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 19:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 00:49
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 21:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 21:59
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:47:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0667e7…
06-09 12:25:15	atp kyrgios moutet 2026 06 08	Corentin Moutet	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb3834d…
06-06 11:17:40	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe1eb53…
06-05 23:10:09	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1851ec…
06-05 23:08:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x235e2a…
06-04 12:19:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x83bfa0…
06-03 13:11:38	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa6d5ee…
06-01 13:05:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xadf63b…
05-28 11:51:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x1e6ee4…
05-27 18:03:53	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb175ec…
05-06 18:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x21ad1a…
05-06 18:24:42	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x56fd51…
04-26 13:33:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xff49b6…
04-24 16:54:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5405ce…
04-24 16:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xd2fe90…
04-24 00:38:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x452e43…
04-24 00:37:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc4b1e6…
04-24 00:37:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfc3083…
04-24 00:32:30	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6c9efa…
04-24 00:28:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa90436…
04-21 21:59:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xdc2736…
04-19 23:44:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdf3c5f…
04-19 23:42:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x60e849…
04-18 17:30:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xa50068…
04-17 16:14:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x78f4b0…
04-17 16:01:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x880969…
04-17 15:58:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1ac8a2…
04-17 15:53:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6f1cdb…
04-17 15:52:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc0fba1…
04-17 15:52:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x702e4e…
04-17 15:51:08	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x79c88a…
04-15 20:54:28	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbe9d43…
04-15 14:39:14	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe701ae…
04-15 14:33:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9f91fd…
04-14 11:13:47	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf6332a…
04-10 12:41:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x187c9d…
04-08 19:09:13	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x921eb6…
04-08 00:53:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x02b6a8…
04-08 00:49:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x73f432…
04-04 01:30:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb00f5d…
04-02 23:46:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9794c0…
04-02 13:51:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x88bef5…
04-01 22:33:49	bra san cre 2026 04 02 san	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf87bde…
04-01 22:33:17	bra flu cor1 2026 04 01 flu	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd9c932…
04-01 21:47:37	bra2 csc vln 2026 04 01 csc	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xdcc3de…
04-01 20:48:03	bra2 crb csc 2026 04 01 draw	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x771bca…
04-01 20:20:55	bra cru vit 2026 04 01 cru	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe05cad…
04-01 20:16:07	bra2 lon cui 2026 04 01 lon	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x14ebb9…
04-01 20:15:49	bra2 lon cui 2026 04 01 cui	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7a36ca…
03-31 22:04:47	fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 eng	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7f66fe…
03-31 22:04:43	fif nld ecu 2026 03 31 nld	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xafb98b…
03-31 22:04:35	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1bd8eb…
03-31 22:02:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1b3f89…
03-31 21:58:37	fif mex bel 2026 03 31 bel	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c5921…
03-31 21:57:55	fif can tun 2026 03 31 can	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0f8743…
03-31 19:45:55	fif mon slv1 2026 03 31 slv1	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x90aeac…
03-31 19:42:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x83142d…
03-31 16:59:41	fif arg zam 2026 03 31 arg	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4e3104…
03-31 16:58:47	fif aut kor1 2026 03 31 aut	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x792813…
03-31 16:58:31	fif nld ecu 2026 03 31 nld	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1bb681…
03-31 16:58:21	fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 eng	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x12b891…
03-31 00:09:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc2d328…
03-28 19:54:50	fif lit geo 2026 03 29 geo	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa9b05a…
03-27 20:35:49	fif mon slv1 2026 03 31 slv1	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x12a9cf…
03-27 20:35:09	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbd6989…
03-27 20:34:05	fif can isl 2026 03 28 can	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3eb01b…
03-27 10:40:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x325a58…
03-25 14:40:31	fif eng ury 2026 03 27 eng	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2b14b4…
03-25 14:40:05	fif grc par 2026 03 27 grc	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd3a12e…
03-25 14:39:51	fif mon and 2026 03 27 mon	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd64604…
03-25 14:39:33	fif aut gha 2026 03 27 aut	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x89db72…
03-25 14:38:03	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa2e684…
03-21 17:44:25	bra cru san 2026 03 22 cru	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xbf1504…
03-21 17:43:49	bra cru san 2026 03 22 cru	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2ac803…
03-21 17:41:45	bra cru san 2026 03 22 cru	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x31bffa…
03-21 17:41:13	bra bra bot 2026 03 21 bra	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x126d6e…
03-21 17:39:17	bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc51b62…
03-21 17:38:43	sea juv sas 2026 03 21 juv	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x151e51…
03-21 17:38:09	lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x392e5f…
03-21 13:28:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaacdf4…
03-21 00:57:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xda5fb2…
03-21 00:57:07	nba cle nop 2026 03 21	Cavaliers	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x88bf30…
03-21 00:56:09	nba atl hou 2026 03 20	Rockets	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5fa74e…
03-21 00:55:39	nba bos mem 2026 03 20	Grizzlies	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xea35a5…
03-21 00:54:31	nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	Nets	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf35f90…
03-20 22:12:43	nba tor den 2026 03 20	Raptors	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7aa82b…
03-18 17:44:55	no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x567e66…
03-18 10:54:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x999455…
03-17 13:48:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6b75c3…
03-16 14:33:55	will real madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x2c006f…
03-16 02:13:59	will sentimental value win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x70a37a…
03-15 17:59:13	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x051cb0…
03-15 17:55:55	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x383aae…
03-15 01:14:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x78d0e2…
03-15 01:13:31	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0bca3f…
03-15 01:12:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xffb210…
03-15 01:11:51	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x417cc5…
03-11 14:25:51	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc367d5…
03-10 21:49:23	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x33ff48…
03-10 21:43:23	will real madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe34b73…