Bumpy-Gauge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-04 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Other

28% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	05-25 09:18
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	06-04 10:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-09 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-06 06:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-13 01:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	05-15 02:52
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-06 02:06
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-14 11:13
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-10 08:26
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-28 07:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-28 10:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	1	$88	89	+89	open	—	03-14 01:37
bitcoin above 80k on april 20	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	04-20 08:34
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	02-04 06:32
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	04-01 08:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-30 11:08
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	03-18 06:47
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	03-21 09:46
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	02-10 08:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	04-25 06:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 8	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	03-08 07:51
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	02-27 02:09
bitcoin above 86k on january 9	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-09 07:27
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-04 03:56
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	03-03 07:35
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-13 03:15
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 520 539	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-22 03:45
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-18 03:59
bitcoin above 92k on january 26	1	$67	67	+67	open	—	01-26 06:45
khl hcs sha 2026 01 26	1	$11	21	+21	open	—	01-26 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 10:47:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd543c6…
05-25 09:18:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8cc9ca…
05-15 02:52:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x13f474…
05-13 01:25:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x9ccca0…
05-09 06:25:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0e2cd2…
05-06 06:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb0bc59…
04-28 10:57:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x093ac7…
04-25 06:35:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x01a131…
04-25 06:34:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f3821…
04-25 06:34:36	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x710c49…
04-20 08:34:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb8521c…
04-20 08:33:56	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa6ce8…
04-14 11:13:31	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x53c7b4…
04-10 08:26:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x945e02…
04-10 08:26:05	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a1c1d…
04-10 08:25:53	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b8f91…
04-06 02:06:05	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x1f09b4…
04-01 08:25:55	will the white house be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x502316…
04-01 08:25:13	will mlb be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14fa7b…
04-01 08:24:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3a76cc…
03-28 07:15:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe75a38…
03-21 09:46:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa76067…
03-18 06:47:23	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x012c27…
03-14 01:37:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0xd41e92…
03-08 07:51:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x0dc635…
03-08 07:51:45	highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x208670…
03-08 07:51:31	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3dcd71…
03-03 07:35:57	will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6 127	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x66792c…
03-03 07:35:33	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x45f919…
03-03 07:35:23	will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93f365…
02-27 02:09:40	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xecd624…
02-10 08:52:41	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x6608e3…
02-10 08:52:29	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf90de4…
02-10 08:52:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01a80f…
02-04 06:32:02	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb20406…
02-04 06:31:30	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 165 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde8e0c…
02-04 06:30:26	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x734334…
01-30 11:08:40	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa19cb9…
01-26 06:45:18	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xb9c727…
01-26 06:23:24	khl hcs sha 2026 01 26	Shanghai Dragons	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x9570a8…
01-22 03:45:40	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 520 539	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x4c636c…
01-18 03:59:12	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xae667b…
01-18 03:58:46	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x512867…
01-13 03:15:35	bitcoin above 96k on january 13	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x13eadc…
01-13 03:15:25	ethereum above 2800 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x319a71…
01-13 03:15:11	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87696e…
01-09 07:27:28	bitcoin above 86k on january 9	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb38161…
01-04 03:56:21	ethereum above 2900 on january 4	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc78edd…