Forceful-Scratch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

+$97

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$373

Open exposure

$8.48K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-01 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

36% — —

Other

32% — —

Sports

32% 67% +$81

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes		-9,752	$-8,581	87¢	$-8484	+$97	06-01 01:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$8.6K	0	9,752	-9,752	open	—	06-01 01:11
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	3	$5.5K	3,094	3,094	+0	open	—	04-12 20:16
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	4	$2.2K	1,893	1,893	+0	open	—	03-19 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$2.1K	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	04-26 14:49
bra fla cre 2026 03 19 fla	2	$1.6K	874	874	+0	open	—	03-20 00:18
will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	4	$1.5K	809	809	+0	open	—	03-23 10:04
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	2	$1.3K	727	727	+0	open	—	03-17 20:31
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	4	$1.1K	685	685	+0	open	—	03-23 10:04
fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 4pt5	2	$1.1K	610	610	+0	open	—	03-22 00:31
bra fla cre 2026 03 19 btts	1	$865	1,134	0	+1,134	open	—	03-20 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$615	373	373	+0	open	—	05-26 02:45
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	2	$612	362	362	+0	open	—	03-18 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$584	991	0	+991	open	—	04-21 04:37
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 total 3pt5	2	$573	374	374	+0	open	—	03-17 22:20
bra sao pal 2026 03 21 total 3pt5	2	$466	267	267	+0	open	—	03-22 02:10
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	3	$377	278	278	+0	open	—	03-08 05:33
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	2	$285	196	196	+0	open	—	04-30 02:17
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$258	159	159	+0	open	—	03-22 19:20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	1	$250	362	0	+362	open	—	04-12 20:17
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$250	323	0	+323	open	—	04-12 20:18
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$245	327	0	+327	Spurs	+$82	05-07 02:06
will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	2	$231	132	132	+0	open	—	03-22 20:49
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$226	127	127	+0	open	—	04-13 10:08
f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	1	$200	345	0	+345	open	—	03-15 06:43
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$186	126	126	+0	open	—	04-11 19:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$172	292	0	+292	open	—	04-13 01:05
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	1	$150	263	0	+263	open	—	04-30 00:33
bra cor1 fla 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	1	$131	202	0	+202	open	—	03-22 23:36
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$127	318	0	+318	Pistons	$-127	05-07 21:07
nba lac min 2026 02 08	2	$122	72	72	+0	open	—	02-09 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 01:11:42	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9,752	88¢	$8,581	0x88521f…
05-26 02:45:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	373	98¢	$365	0xef1fb9…
05-07 21:07:40	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	318	40¢	$127	0x109139…
05-07 02:06:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	327	75¢	$245	0x40a659…
05-06 18:59:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	247	49¢	$121	0x6223c5…
04-30 02:45:56	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xc50672…
04-30 02:26:56	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xa9f28f…
04-30 02:17:06	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Raptors	SELL	196	94¢	$185	0xcfbf4d…
04-30 01:58:44	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Raptors	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc49d91…
04-30 00:33:32	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	263	57¢	$150	0x4e4342…
04-26 14:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0x574c9f…
04-26 14:49:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	900	99¢	$893	0xb56fb0…
04-21 04:37:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	991	59¢	$584	0x0d6791…
04-13 10:08:07	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0x9fcacf…
04-13 01:05:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	292	59¢	$172	0x4dd07f…
04-12 20:18:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	323	77¢	$250	0xf90599…
04-12 20:17:13	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	No	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x3a5be6…
04-12 20:16:21	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	3,094	99¢	$3,078	0xf06194…
04-11 19:16:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	116	74¢	$86	0xeba266…
04-11 19:15:55	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	126	68¢	$86	0x34432e…
04-07 23:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	900	44¢	$392	0x9b1c57…
04-07 23:46:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	680	58¢	$392	0x5b7b23…
04-07 23:19:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	680	55¢	$374	0x417021…
04-07 02:45:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x27c999…
04-04 12:01:29	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2,491	78¢	$1,946	0x12aa81…
04-03 22:15:39	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	602	76¢	$461	0xf6fc8f…
04-03 22:14:41	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x26138e…
03-23 10:04:21	will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	809	99¢	$801	0x297f19…
03-23 10:04:01	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	685	98¢	$673	0x525cd3…
03-22 23:36:05	bra cor1 fla 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	202	65¢	$131	0x771a03…
03-22 20:49:59	will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x08ff10…
03-22 19:20:45	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	193	82¢	$158	0x3e1d41…
03-22 19:20:05	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0xd8a6ee…
03-22 17:19:03	will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	609	90¢	$550	0x2a5381…
03-22 17:17:55	will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xe14960…
03-22 17:17:23	will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x90468b…
03-22 06:11:29	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa3f4d4…
03-22 06:08:03	will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xe4f1ca…
03-22 05:57:19	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xd91ab1…
03-22 05:55:29	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x7a8ea6…
03-22 05:55:09	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xdd3036…
03-22 02:10:21	bra sao pal 2026 03 21 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0x71d26c…
03-22 02:10:03	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Lakers	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xcc525a…
03-22 00:36:57	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Lakers	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x385743…
03-22 00:31:39	fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	610	100¢	$609	0x4fec68…
03-22 00:30:47	bra sao pal 2026 03 21 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x5cf4c4…
03-21 20:12:49	fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x7a385e…
03-20 00:18:53	bra fla cre 2026 03 19 btts	No	BUY	1,134	76¢	$865	0x258c63…
03-20 00:18:01	bra fla cre 2026 03 19 fla	Yes	SELL	874	99¢	$865	0x677d3e…
03-19 19:49:57	bra fla cre 2026 03 19 fla	Yes	BUY	874	86¢	$751	0xd29c7c…
03-19 19:39:35	bra gre vit 2026 03 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xc3c54c…
03-19 19:36:37	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x4b3ea1…
03-19 19:31:51	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xd9166d…
03-19 19:25:07	btc updown 5m 1773948000	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7caf92…
03-19 19:23:55	btc updown 5m 1773948000	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93331a…
03-19 19:18:45	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	1,893	40¢	$751	0xef0821…
03-18 23:06:53	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	540	67¢	$362	0x47c4ad…
03-18 23:06:37	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	362	100¢	$362	0x323ebc…
03-18 22:30:47	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	302	67¢	$202	0xf1e610…
03-18 20:30:13	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0x3df24e…
03-18 19:59:23	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xbbb494…
03-18 19:55:55	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x2eeb48…
03-17 22:43:31	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	1,052	83¢	$875	0x2efd4e…
03-17 22:20:13	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	374	100¢	$373	0x694dbd…
03-17 20:32:25	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	374	54¢	$200	0xc0a99c…
03-17 20:31:35	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	Real Madrid CF	SELL	727	97¢	$701	0x22a65c…
03-17 17:01:29	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	727	76¢	$552	0x8926df…
03-15 06:43:25	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xa49f57…
03-13 02:15:37	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x465d33…
03-13 02:14:35	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0xe77010…
03-13 02:11:13	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x961a2d…
03-13 02:09:55	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Heat	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3456cd…
03-13 00:45:31	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Heat	BUY	26	79¢	$20	0xbc4623…
03-13 00:43:23	bra sao cha 2026 03 12 sao	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x99ec58…
03-12 10:24:21	bra sao cha 2026 03 12 sao	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf31329…
03-08 16:12:55	fl1 rcl met 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x6d9ca5…
03-08 15:10:33	fl1 rcl met 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa100e8…
03-08 05:33:19	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0x051b01…
03-08 04:03:29	f1 australian grand prix winner russell 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	119	70¢	$83	0x29b24d…
03-08 04:02:27	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x6c293b…
03-08 04:01:05	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	236	36¢	$85	0x5a99cf…
02-13 00:57:13	bra int pal 2026 02 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	152	68¢	$103	0x542f13…
02-12 01:01:41	bra sao gre 2026 02 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x540b87…
02-12 00:39:39	bra sao gre 2026 02 11 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	103	32¢	$33	0x80897e…
02-09 21:38:03	lal vil esp 2026 02 09 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0xd02584…
02-09 02:57:13	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	SELL	148	1¢	$2	0x1a5702…
02-09 00:09:25	nba lac min 2026 02 08	Clippers	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0x17763a…
02-08 21:48:09	nba lac min 2026 02 08	Clippers	BUY	72	71¢	$51	0x9e4b91…
02-08 20:55:55	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	148	33¢	$49	0x177dde…