Darling-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

725

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-18 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 87% $-38

Other

8% 60% $-12

Politics

3% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$813	417	417	+0	open	—	04-29 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$750	800	11	+789	open	—	04-29 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$600	735	0	+735	open	—	04-29 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$500	578	0	+578	open	—	04-29 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$470	544	0	+544	open	—	04-29 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$470	480	0	+480	open	—	04-29 10:42
btc updown 5m 1781694300	9	$419	341	232	+109	open	—	06-17 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$411	249	249	+0	open	—	05-14 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$400	424	0	+424	open	—	04-29 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$313	113	224	-111	Up	+$2	05-10 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$312	304	304	+0	Up	$-88	05-11 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$300	374	0	+374	open	—	04-29 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$300	349	0	+349	open	—	04-29 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$293	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$291	163	163	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$284	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 10:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	8	$261	101	176	-75	open	—	05-01 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$246	147	147	+0	open	—	05-14 14:25
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$232	166	166	+0	open	—	05-14 14:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$227	129	128	+1	open	—	05-01 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$224	209	208	+1	open	—	05-14 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$218	128	128	+0	Up	+$18	05-10 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$212	148	148	+0	open	—	05-14 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$212	114	113	+1	open	—	05-01 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	05-14 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	05-01 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-30 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	04-29 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	04-29 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$200	207	0	+207	open	—	04-30 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 06:57:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6fda52…
06-17 15:59:02	btc updown 5m 1781711700	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x855d7f…
06-17 15:58:32	btc updown 5m 1781711700	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6d7522…
06-17 11:21:37	btc updown 5m 1781695200	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc17ee6…
06-17 11:18:41	btc updown 5m 1781694900	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xbc7e92…
06-17 11:18:32	btc updown 5m 1781694900	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x9234b7…
06-17 11:11:50	btc updown 5m 1781694600	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x833478…
06-17 11:09:22	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xec2739…
06-17 11:08:59	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	SELL	97	89¢	$86	0x8b6a45…
06-17 11:08:25	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x480461…
06-17 11:08:25	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x0eced2…
06-17 11:08:19	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0d0c76…
06-17 11:07:46	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	SELL	135	61¢	$82	0x2a8108…
06-17 11:07:05	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xbd8f10…
06-17 11:07:05	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8fa1e9…
06-17 11:07:04	btc updown 5m 1781694300	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe99eb7…
06-17 11:05:31	btc updown 5m 1781694000	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xa693a3…
06-17 11:02:40	btc updown 5m 1781694000	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xad1287…
06-17 11:02:38	btc updown 5m 1781694000	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x1b7888…
06-17 11:02:37	btc updown 5m 1781694000	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x98e839…
06-17 10:56:47	btc updown 5m 1781693700	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x5e7bca…
06-17 10:56:47	btc updown 5m 1781693700	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x3dc30f…
06-17 10:53:37	btc updown 5m 1781693400	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x360561…
06-17 10:53:29	btc updown 5m 1781693400	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x22b7ae…
06-17 09:21:26	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x243105…
06-17 09:18:59	btc updown 5m 1781687700	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xe88e7e…
06-15 17:41:43	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6e3192…
06-15 15:49:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x5622cd…
06-15 11:01:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xbfac36…
06-15 10:27:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x70abc4…
06-15 05:21:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc67e75…
06-14 15:30:39	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xdce527…
06-14 09:52:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4f0ced…
06-13 15:07:33	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd0c75a…
06-11 23:57:25	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x392ce8…
06-11 20:32:25	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x72f746…
06-11 19:18:28	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6d9bd7…
06-11 14:40:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x58fbfe…
06-11 00:25:55	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x4ae3ea…
06-10 11:39:39	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa30024…
06-10 11:38:25	btc updown 5m 1781091300	Up	SELL	51	29¢	$15	0x6fd2f8…
06-10 11:36:42	btc updown 5m 1781091300	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x592b66…
06-10 11:31:33	btc updown 5m 1781091000	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x4b22da…
06-10 11:29:06	btc updown 5m 1781090700	Down	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x4cc15f…
06-10 11:28:07	btc updown 5m 1781090700	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x76378e…
06-09 23:09:45	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x39e638…
06-09 20:42:49	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xae12a1…
06-09 20:07:34	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf5ffe7…
06-04 06:14:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0x073d4b…
06-04 06:13:45	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3f226e…
06-03 20:20:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x79c3cb…
06-02 18:16:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x91fc1a…
06-02 16:49:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xc74a1e…
06-02 12:51:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xd26890…
06-02 09:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x02913d…
06-01 15:30:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x4d6a79…
05-29 14:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x140d1c…
05-28 21:57:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x0e1997…
05-27 10:22:10	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	93¢	$86	0xb25fad…
05-25 12:38:55	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x266e47…
05-25 12:38:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x830d40…
05-25 12:32:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xb67327…
05-25 11:57:18	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc53934…
05-25 11:35:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe7321e…
05-25 09:53:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x60776e…
05-25 09:40:07	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x779633…
05-21 23:52:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xac35ba…
05-21 21:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xcd4ccb…
05-21 21:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1bc0f3…
05-21 20:51:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xaa8574…
05-21 20:51:09	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x2fd515…
05-19 08:38:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xe8d2a2…
05-19 02:39:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xfe86c9…
05-19 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x6dd384…
05-19 00:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x57fdc7…
05-18 15:23:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x65b6bc…
05-18 14:32:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd6dc19…
05-18 14:32:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe76c97…
05-17 23:27:09	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x4d32fa…
05-17 15:53:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x2f0856…
05-17 14:57:21	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x3e12fb…
05-17 07:55:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xb76a3b…
05-17 00:04:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xd7558c…
05-16 22:20:02	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x91fc87…
05-16 10:28:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x4b094d…
05-16 07:17:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x560f25…
05-15 17:08:06	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x4bdc4b…
05-15 15:39:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x2dc57f…
05-15 14:58:26	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xaea83d…
05-15 13:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0xd1b557…
05-15 13:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xfce13d…
05-15 13:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xec09c8…
05-15 13:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7b9e48…
05-15 13:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc86c36…
05-15 13:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xf5990c…
05-15 13:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5b5c33…
05-15 12:54:33	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xeb5a66…
05-15 11:50:46	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x6b306e…
05-15 11:23:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xb9dc65…
05-15 11:22:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xf34782…