Sturdy-Population — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-31 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 0% —

Sports

42% 86% +$12

Politics

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+15	$1	6¢	$1	$-0	05-31 21:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773754200	5	$290	315	214	+100	open	—	03-17 13:45
eth updown 15m 1773921600	12	$214	130	129	+0	open	—	03-19 12:13
btc updown 5m 1773672900	14	$206	113	113	+0	open	—	03-16 14:59
eth updown 15m 1773929700	4	$132	82	81	+1	open	—	03-19 14:26
eth updown 15m 1773928800	3	$106	118	3	+114	open	—	03-19 14:11
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	03-20 11:02
nba ind sas 2026 03 21	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	03-21 06:16
btc updown 15m 1767419100	1	$85	88	0	+88	open	—	01-03 05:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$78	61	61	+0	open	—	02-14 05:31
nba nop lal 2026 03 03	3	$66	92	0	+92	open	—	03-04 05:30
nba sas mem 2026 03 25	2	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	03-26 01:28
nba okc phi 2026 03 23	2	$60	67	0	+67	open	—	03-23 14:38
eth updown 15m 1773930600	6	$56	47	46	+1	open	—	03-19 14:43
Thunder vs. Lakers	10	$52	31	31	+0	Thunder	+$4	05-12 05:10
nba phx sac 2026 03 03	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	03-04 02:58
nba okc was 2026 03 21	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	03-21 06:16
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	1	$49	70	0	+70	open	—	03-02 18:13
nba sas bkn 2026 02 26	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	02-27 02:19
nba sas sac 2026 03 17	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 12:13
eth updown 15m 1773925200	5	$43	42	41	+1	open	—	03-19 13:10
btc updown 15m 1770561900	2	$43	24	23	+1	open	—	02-08 14:59
eth updown 15m 1772451900	1	$40	118	0	+118	open	—	03-02 11:56
btc updown 15m 1774102500	4	$38	46	46	+0	open	—	03-21 14:27
nba sac atl 2026 03 28	2	$31	34	0	+34	open	—	03-28 14:07
nba den nop 2026 01 13	1	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	01-13 11:23
eth updown 15m 1773934200	6	$29	28	28	+0	open	—	03-19 15:41
eth updown 15m 1773927000	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	03-19 13:43
btc updown 15m 1773673200	4	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	03-16 15:05
eth updown 15m 1773670500	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-16 14:27
eth updown 15m 1773922500	10	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	03-19 12:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:42:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x008fe3…
05-25 02:15:36	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x80f2ff…
05-25 01:39:26	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4aacf6…
05-25 00:21:47	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6243b1…
05-24 07:57:28	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x170fc9…
05-24 03:39:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xbec472…
05-24 03:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb948a4…
05-24 03:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x47818b…
05-24 03:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa68435…
05-23 17:46:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x1f97ce…
05-23 17:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcabfc7…
05-23 17:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xdb0f6f…
05-23 17:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xc19a54…
05-23 17:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x7a5a04…
05-23 17:20:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xec4330…
05-23 17:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x174e4c…
05-23 17:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x226ff9…
05-23 17:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x12a7db…
05-23 16:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x65c804…
05-23 16:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdf25f9…
05-23 12:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x113b29…
05-23 12:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x8740bc…
05-23 12:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7995c1…
05-23 12:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x338ca7…
05-23 12:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x528b81…
05-23 12:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19f1f8…
05-23 12:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa64bd8…
05-23 12:18:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbb7207…
05-23 12:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0563f7…
05-23 08:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbdd0a5…
05-21 10:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x7d5566…
05-21 10:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd0b3a6…
05-21 10:22:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0xc05383…
05-21 10:21:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc2c513…
05-21 10:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x4bbb4f…
05-21 10:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x406096…
05-21 09:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x32217f…
05-21 09:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe761c2…
05-21 08:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x1f1454…
05-21 08:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd8e2c0…
05-20 02:41:28	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x46bf46…
05-20 02:10:56	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6f8f4c…
05-19 03:19:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xff9b35…
05-19 01:17:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe53cb8…
05-18 14:28:38	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x403618…
05-18 14:28:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6c9b07…
05-14 13:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x8f4b30…
05-14 13:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc4827d…
05-14 12:44:08	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8479c6…
05-14 12:43:24	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5ebea8…
05-14 05:39:07	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4ec640…
05-12 05:10:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0xd02556…
05-12 05:10:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x988d6b…
05-12 05:10:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x955adc…
05-12 05:10:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x6d3008…
05-12 05:10:14	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xf38f25…
05-12 04:52:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5bc512…
05-12 04:42:02	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x066ddd…
05-12 04:36:26	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe11695…
05-12 03:12:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8c3da2…
05-11 01:43:39	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x0d5c89…
05-11 00:41:25	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x680507…
05-10 07:13:27	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xba7ad8…
05-10 07:13:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x225639…
05-10 07:13:05	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3dce1c…
05-10 07:12:49	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x12ebc9…
05-09 10:44:00	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa3604d…
05-09 10:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x34b88e…
05-09 10:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7e0fc9…
05-09 09:35:08	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x79a0b1…
05-04 09:07:44	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9dea73…
04-26 06:57:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0c40fe…
04-26 06:47:28	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x689b84…
04-26 06:47:16	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xda823e…
04-26 06:47:06	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x04fdd4…
04-23 12:29:04	eth updown 15m 1776946500	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x0c4ebf…
04-23 12:26:48	eth updown 15m 1776946500	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa57669…
04-22 03:14:14	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Pistons	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdc0dc0…
04-22 03:13:40	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x599e6a…
04-19 01:21:54	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x98caef…
04-15 12:36:54	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc84e4b…
04-15 12:36:44	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Knicks	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd9c4e6…
04-15 12:36:36	nba min den 2026 04 18	Nuggets	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf93b3b…
04-15 12:36:28	nba tor cle 2026 04 18	Cavaliers	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf95e52…
04-15 12:35:54	nba orl phi 2026 04 15	76ers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b3a0d…
04-13 15:27:33	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Clippers	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xae0e28…
04-13 15:26:47	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x97704f…
04-13 15:26:39	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8df97c…
04-08 15:37:11	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Magic	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa03300…
04-08 15:36:57	nba dal phx 2026 04 08	Suns	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x72ff1e…
04-08 15:36:29	nba okc lac 2026 04 08	Thunder	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x287bfe…
04-08 15:36:19	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Spurs	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7301dc…
04-03 14:14:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c0430…
04-03 11:59:45	nba orl dal 2026 04 03	Magic	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x65edef…
04-03 11:58:35	nba min phi 2026 04 03	Timberwolves	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1faeee…
04-03 04:19:21	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Cavaliers	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x2b13f0…
04-03 04:10:55	nba nop por 2026 04 02	Trail Blazers	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x4a8a8a…
04-03 04:04:55	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Cavaliers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3bab57…
04-03 03:44:45	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Cavaliers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x891e49…
04-03 03:32:57	nba nop por 2026 04 02	Trail Blazers	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x7b7156…