Insecure-Misplacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$97

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 100% +$9

Politics

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up		+32	$28	94¢	$30	+$1	05-08 09:20
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes		+25	$21	84¢	$21	$-0	05-08 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:04:33	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x07f467…
05-08 09:20:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x0c1e72…
05-06 15:37:08	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xf6e547…
05-05 08:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x47ff42…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	1	$28	32	+32	open	—	05-08 09:20
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$24	29	+29	Up	+$5	05-06 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$23	27	+27	Yes	+$4	05-05 08:20
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$21	25	+25	open	—	05-08 12:04