Pessimistic-Nightingale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$453

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-30 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

86% 100% +$47

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	3	$1.3K	667	667	+0	open	—	05-30 02:49
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	608	608	+0	open	—	05-09 04:24
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	2	$1.2K	622	622	+0	open	—	05-28 04:05
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	1	$589	607	0	+607	Manchester United FC	+$18	05-09 04:55
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	1	$577	635	0	+635	open	—	05-28 04:09
Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	1	$559	588	0	+588	FathUnionSport	+$29	05-06 09:51
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	1	$550	585	0	+585	open	—	05-27 06:30
Spread: Nice (-2.5)	1	$523	545	0	+545	open	—	05-26 07:37
Spread: CD Concepción (-2.5)	1	$493	524	0	+524	open	—	05-24 08:20
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	1	$469	494	0	+494	open	—	05-23 04:02
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread home 2pt5	1	$278	288	0	+288	open	—	04-14 09:49
lal lev get 2026 04 13 spread home 2pt5	1	$266	278	0	+278	open	—	04-13 06:58
mex tig gua 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$250	263	0	+263	open	—	04-11 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 02:49:52	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0x79c98c…
05-30 02:49:19	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	SELL	575	93¢	$535	0xf9966e…
05-30 02:00:24	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	BUY	667	95¢	$634	0xc43c36…
05-28 04:09:56	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	No	BUY	635	91¢	$577	0x2c0f92…
05-28 04:05:28	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	SELL	622	93¢	$578	0xb61179…
05-28 02:52:56	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	BUY	622	94¢	$585	0xf43e8a…
05-27 06:30:56	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	BESTIA	BUY	585	94¢	$550	0xc97d31…
05-26 07:37:10	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	545	96¢	$523	0xcfaab1…
05-24 08:20:39	Spread: CD Concepción (-2.5)	CD Huachipato	BUY	524	94¢	$493	0xa43949…
05-23 04:02:41	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	494	95¢	$469	0x11c78f…
05-09 04:55:01	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	607	97¢	$589	0x027003…
05-09 04:24:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	538	97¢	$522	0x7fe928…
05-09 04:21:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0xf5b5fa…
05-09 02:49:45	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	608	97¢	$588	0xf8f23f…
05-06 09:51:04	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	FathUnionSport	BUY	588	95¢	$559	0xb8bec9…
04-14 09:49:41	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread home 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	288	96¢	$278	0x0ce353…
04-13 06:58:29	lal lev get 2026 04 13 spread home 2pt5	Getafe CF	BUY	278	96¢	$266	0x240d53…
04-11 07:35:31	mex tig gua 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Tigres de la UANL	BUY	263	95¢	$250	0x9f5e16…