Serpentine-Speedboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$1.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-08 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% — —

Politics

19% — —

Other

15% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes		+17	$2	9¢	$1	$-1	06-09 19:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+3	$1	34¢	$1	$-0	07-06 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	6	$277	261	261	+0	open	—	02-01 17:33
btc updown 5m 1775991600	11	$138	112	108	+3	open	—	04-12 11:05
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$102	303	303	+0	open	—	02-06 02:52
btc updown 5m 1775990400	6	$69	50	49	+1	open	—	04-12 10:45
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	2	$64	49	49	+0	open	—	02-05 18:22
btc updown 5m 1775928600	6	$60	44	43	+1	open	—	04-11 17:35
btc updown 5m 1775990700	2	$55	40	39	+2	open	—	04-12 10:49
btc updown 5m 1776100200	4	$55	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 17:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$52	94	94	+0	open	—	03-28 15:11
btc updown 5m 1775991900	4	$39	57	17	+40	open	—	04-12 11:07
btc updown 5m 1775991000	2	$37	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 10:52
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-11 05:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$24	90	40	+50	open	—	06-19 13:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$21	64	59	+5	open	—	03-18 08:09
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	03-05 02:46
btc updown 5m 1775927700	3	$21	27	6	+21	open	—	04-11 17:18
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	2	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	02-06 20:05
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	02-06 11:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	06-01 13:24
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	3	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	06-04 02:49
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	7	$18	27	27	+0	open	—	06-14 18:47
btc updown 5m 1776101400	10	$18	21	20	+0	open	—	04-13 17:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$16	232	118	+114	open	—	02-28 19:48
btc updown 5m 1775926200	2	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	04-11 16:53
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$15	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 16:55
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	06-30 18:34
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	02-03 08:31
btc updown 5m 1776085800	3	$14	41	0	+41	open	—	04-13 13:11
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	02-05 18:23
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	02-06 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 18:56:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x03e383…
07-08 19:08:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xea15e2…
07-08 18:47:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xee75d0…
07-08 18:47:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa5dd82…
07-06 19:34:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b354d…
07-04 17:40:23	val vit nrg 2026 07 04	Team Vitality	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9cb9b5…
07-04 15:00:16	cs2 eye nem 2026 07 04	Team Nemesis	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x200eda…
07-04 14:59:16	val vit nrg 2026 07 04	Team Vitality	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9aff2a…
07-03 16:51:41	cs2 bb3 nem 2026 07 03	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4faa15…
07-02 02:54:46	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb1b696…
06-30 18:34:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xb59032…
06-28 05:00:44	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9c01ed…
06-28 04:52:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x2e4218…
06-27 07:56:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xec781b…
06-27 07:55:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8b5b38…
06-26 19:33:35	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x502231…
06-26 18:45:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda1a77…
06-26 18:45:16	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x919c72…
06-25 06:03:37	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x33c9f0…
06-23 19:16:56	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xae403f…
06-21 17:03:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0ffc4a…
06-21 16:53:29	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x001cc6…
06-21 16:36:43	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game2	FURIA	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc627d2…
06-20 20:46:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x7f23ab…
06-20 19:19:37	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Spirit	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4ce32d…
06-20 19:13:16	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Spirit	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2324e1…
06-19 13:10:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x080673…
06-19 13:05:41	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc67318…
06-19 13:04:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xc7e8b2…
06-19 13:04:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x662faa…
06-19 12:59:22	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x20b52e…
06-19 12:59:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b3d80…
06-17 02:56:13	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xaac769…
06-16 18:22:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xbd909b…
06-16 18:21:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc087c1…
06-16 16:17:28	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x06ee02…
06-15 10:00:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x317991…
06-15 08:47:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x17036e…
06-15 08:45:48	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf6a18c…
06-14 19:18:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xf84145…
06-14 18:47:12	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x56ced5…
06-14 18:42:36	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd50b68…
06-14 16:45:48	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x252f3c…
06-14 10:06:45	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf5f7fe…
06-13 14:33:49	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf0a301…
06-12 19:06:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8a3b2f…
06-12 17:33:12	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x45b3ff…
06-12 16:26:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x8d7081…
06-12 14:57:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xec6e4f…
06-12 10:24:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa23614…
06-11 20:04:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xeb4ef5…
06-11 18:24:28	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf4dc8e…
06-11 17:44:54	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x232058…
06-11 17:44:01	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xde48e3…
06-11 17:41:34	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x4450e4…
06-11 17:41:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xb958f4…
06-11 04:27:12	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x35640a…
06-10 18:15:37	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x4a832a…
06-10 17:54:37	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa8f5d9…
06-10 17:27:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x2d964a…
06-10 16:41:09	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x88af31…
06-10 16:40:55	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x708769…
06-10 10:31:49	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xe7c012…
06-10 06:37:58	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x39e3d4…
06-10 06:37:36	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5c6136…
06-09 19:08:24	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfa8d4f…
06-09 17:16:36	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97b5bc…
06-09 17:09:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x12176a…
06-09 14:01:48	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xaba305…
06-09 14:00:16	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xac59aa…
06-09 13:57:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe67a8d…
06-09 03:30:18	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x939483…
06-08 18:45:55	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xe3c15c…
06-08 18:12:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfdc676…
06-08 11:22:48	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3949fa…
06-08 10:53:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0xc40872…
06-08 04:27:52	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd2b329…
06-08 02:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa22dd3…
06-08 02:49:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7b6481…
06-07 18:04:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x20fc99…
06-07 18:03:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcd2897…
06-07 18:01:51	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3e4899…
06-07 17:58:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xad0919…
06-07 12:08:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2c665e…
06-07 12:00:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe4dc33…
06-06 16:00:22	world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	Alvarez	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x23f1f1…
06-06 05:14:15	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x6434f3…
06-06 05:13:54	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x782dc9…
06-05 18:28:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x6dd7fd…
06-05 04:53:00	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6895a2…
06-05 04:52:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x34669e…
06-05 04:24:51	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf070f8…
06-05 04:23:55	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xed6aa2…
06-05 03:27:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x41722e…
06-04 14:10:40	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04	Team Liquid	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc394d…
06-04 02:49:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x417e77…
06-03 10:31:49	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x51e2db…
06-03 07:45:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xa35719…
06-03 06:21:06	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xafa783…
06-03 05:19:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x34adba…