Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
open
Total volume
$23,304
$112 in 24h
Trades
925
Unique wallets
278
Liquidity
$1,784
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 20:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $310
vs crowd: 7% YES on $13.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $67 | $794 | $727 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $543 | $7.2K | $6.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 57 | $228 | $3.4K | $3.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 177 | $134 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $310 | $310 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $60 | $3.0K | $3.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $14 | $268 | $254 |
| Median | 91 | $5 | $404 | $399 |
| Below median | 35 | $208 | $486 | $278 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $56 | $665 | $609 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $211 | $2.9K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $294 | $566 | $273 |
| unranked | 94 | $127 | $4.1K | $4.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwelcome-Skywalk 0xab51…2473 | Yes | +2,712 | $259 | $259 | 1 | 06-09 19:58 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +1,240 | $1,174 | $1,174 | 4 | 06-17 10:27 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +785 | $51 | $91 | 10 | 06-17 20:25 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +785 | $752 | $2,036 | 17 | 06-17 23:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +622 | $26 | $26 | 22 | 06-29 16:01 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +469 | $452 | $452 | 18 | 06-28 13:30 |
| Humble-Vestment 0x9fd4…325c | No | +435 | $392 | $392 | 2 | 05-31 18:39 |
| cr1mean 0x197c…9b94 | No | +412 | $411 | $411 | 2 | 07-01 09:05 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +365 | $7 | $68 | 41 | 06-29 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d7b…4416 | No | +349 | $343 | $343 | 3 | 06-29 08:24 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | +310 | $310 | $310 | 1 | 07-01 11:40 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +266 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-12 08:02 |
| Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | +250 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 19:48 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +150 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 06-04 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d08…9165 | Yes | +130 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 23:55 |
| Sweet-Writer 0xb2ca…5fb0 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 22:02 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 16:04 |
| Quintessential-Pig 0xc406…376b | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-17 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 19 | 06-23 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +99 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 16:05 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +99 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 20:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | No | +96 | $95 | $95 | 3 | 06-27 01:17 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | Yes | +96 | $4 | $4 | 12 | 06-17 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe18f…5a63 | Yes | +86 | $3 | $3 | 21 | 06-19 07:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xca78…e67e | No | +77 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-24 09:56 |
| Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | +72 | $71 | $71 | 8 | 06-28 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x066f…2e56 | Yes | +71 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x54a9…d60c | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 06-29 08:23 |
| Experienced-Rider 0x2c4c…d057 | Yes | +59 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-12 09:03 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +53 | $4 | $27 | 6 | 05-31 18:39 |
| Defiant-Door 0xac72…07c1 | Yes | +52 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 10:24 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 09:05 |
| Cavernous-Proportion 0xe192…7689 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-23 13:48 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 06-17 16:03 |
| Bite-Sized-Dolphin 0x84aa…44e8 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 18:22 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +43 | $42 | $1,091 | 24 | 06-19 17:41 |
| Shadowy-Afterlife 0xfbc4…85a2 | No | +37 | $33 | $116 | 7 | 06-02 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcf9…9b13 | No | +34 | $33 | $131 | 4 | 06-20 12:42 |
| Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-26 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-27 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9be…7517 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 06-02 09:24 |
| Boiling-Improvement 0x7109…a765 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 06-01 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe4b…94a9 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-29 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x82db…2156 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 07:04 |
| Bewitched-Subconscious 0xdd37…9f53 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3f6…4a09 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 07:59 |
| Defiant-Dozen 0xa302…1061 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 13:36 |
| Ripe-Decade 0x4ce6…8ad7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-20 08:17 |
| Horrible-Sweatshop 0xe8b8…35c7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-20 12:34 |
| Apt-Dare 0xa37e…fc4d | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-20 12:42 |
| Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | +19 | $-0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 16:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 20:15:37 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5abebf… |
| 07-01 20:15:37 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5abebf… |
| 07-01 11:40:04 | (anonymous) 0x893a…bea4 | No | SELL | 310 | 100¢ | $310 | 0x310af2… |
| 07-01 11:40:04 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 310 | 100¢ | $310 | 0x310af2… |
| 07-01 09:05:50 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17c41f… |
| 07-01 09:05:50 | cr1mean 0x197c…9b94 | No | BUY | 159 | 100¢ | $159 | 0x17c41f… |
| 07-01 09:05:50 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17c41f… |
| 07-01 09:05:50 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17c41f… |
| 06-30 16:21:41 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3c678… |
| 06-30 16:21:41 | Fancy-Pet 0x40bb…de78 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xf3c678… |
| 06-30 10:13:22 | Virtual-Query 0x4aec…a376 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x57b9d3… |
| 06-30 10:13:22 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57b9d3… |
| 06-30 08:39:26 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa87ebd… |
| 06-30 08:39:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa87ebd… |
| 06-30 08:39:26 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa87ebd… |
| 06-30 07:58:14 | Impartial-Pause 0x2c2e…73da | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x9a05f7… |
| 06-30 07:58:14 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a05f7… |
| 06-30 07:43:08 | Inexperienced-Osprey 0xd2dd…9b7b | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xaab155… |
| 06-30 07:43:08 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaab155… |
| 06-29 20:24:08 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 253 | 100¢ | $252 | 0x901a02… |
| 06-29 20:24:08 | cr1mean 0x197c…9b94 | No | BUY | 253 | 100¢ | $252 | 0x901a02… |
| 06-29 16:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab968a… |
| 06-29 16:05:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 205 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab968a… |
| 06-29 16:05:46 | Delayed-Trust 0x7b82…8d9f | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xab968a… |
| 06-29 16:05:46 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | SELL | 312 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xab968a… |
| 06-29 16:04:16 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc268b4… |
| 06-29 16:04:16 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc268b4… |
| 06-29 16:01:29 | Weird-Sensitivity 0x6594…9a61 | No | SELL | 398 | 99¢ | $395 | 0x1f8468… |
| 06-29 16:01:29 | Broken-Teriyaki 0xbb9c…072b | Yes | SELL | 448 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x1f8468… |
| 06-29 16:01:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f8468… |
| 06-29 08:24:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x696499… |
| 06-29 08:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x3d7b…4416 | No | BUY | 136 | 99¢ | $134 | 0x696499… |
| 06-29 08:24:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 81 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x696499… |
| 06-29 08:24:26 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x696499… |
| 06-29 08:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x54a9…d60c | No | BUY | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0xe2d8e7… |
| 06-29 08:23:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe2d8e7… |
| 06-29 08:23:50 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xe2d8e7… |
| 06-29 08:23:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe2d8e7… |
| 06-29 02:15:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa7a9ff… |
| 06-29 02:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xbe4b…94a9 | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xa7a9ff… |
| 06-29 00:01:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad885f… |
| 06-29 00:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x7ac9…a4f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xad885f… |
| 06-28 13:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x3d7b…4416 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x049b5d… |
| 06-28 13:30:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x049b5d… |
| 06-28 13:30:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xf7c75a… |
| 06-28 13:30:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xf7c75a… |
| 06-28 13:30:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf7c75a… |
| 06-28 13:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x3d7b…4416 | No | BUY | 163 | 98¢ | $160 | 0xf7c75a… |
| 06-28 13:30:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf7c75a… |
| 06-28 13:30:13 | (anonymous) 0xbe5a…1b61 | No | SELL | 320 | 98¢ | $313 | 0xf7c75a… |
| 06-28 07:31:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaadfa6… |
| 06-28 07:31:19 | Costly-Puddle 0x859e…ea9b | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xaadfa6… |
| 06-28 07:30:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e6423… |
| 06-28 07:30:16 | Virtual-Query 0x4aec…a376 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4e6423… |
| 06-28 07:14:44 | Snappy-Detour 0x3555…99d7 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4f4748… |
| 06-28 07:14:44 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4f4748… |
| 06-28 07:11:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2da30b… |
| 06-28 07:11:37 | Daring-Dose 0xb0c1…ac22 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x2da30b… |
| 06-28 06:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xd7aa…9102 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x4a8773… |
| 06-28 06:59:34 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a8773… |
| 06-28 06:31:02 | (anonymous) 0x28cd…d99a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x202081… |
| 06-28 06:31:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x202081… |
| 06-28 01:44:16 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x070bb3… |
| 06-28 01:44:16 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x070bb3… |
| 06-28 01:44:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x070bb3… |
| 06-28 01:44:16 | Weird-Sensitivity 0x6594…9a61 | No | SELL | 168 | 99¢ | $166 | 0x070bb3… |
| 06-28 01:44:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x070bb3… |
| 06-27 15:58:53 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x26d306… |
| 06-27 15:58:53 | (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x26d306… |
| 06-27 07:14:01 | Obvious-Smolt 0x8e02…40e6 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x15f2b0… |
| 06-27 07:14:01 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x15f2b0… |
| 06-27 07:06:53 | Previous-Jaw 0x1338…6056 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x81a264… |
| 06-27 07:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x81a264… |
| 06-27 07:06:53 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x81a264… |
| 06-27 02:34:44 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa6249c… |
| 06-27 02:34:44 | Extraneous-Walkway 0x8842…e4fd | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa6249c… |
| 06-27 02:34:43 | New-Front 0x986b…1fdd | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x639587… |
| 06-27 02:34:43 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x639587… |
| 06-27 02:34:17 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49d4f5… |
| 06-27 02:34:17 | Grimy-Farm 0xa0d8…dfd3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3f63af… |
| 06-27 02:34:17 | French-Curl 0xfcdb…641c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49d4f5… |
| 06-27 02:34:17 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3f63af… |
| 06-27 02:34:16 | Diligent-Shawl 0x8cac…ab70 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8896c1… |
| 06-27 02:34:16 | Glorious-Noodle 0xa02b…5928 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8896c1… |
| 06-27 02:27:56 | New-Front 0x986b…1fdd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xef6422… |
| 06-27 02:27:56 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xef6422… |
| 06-27 02:27:53 | Extraneous-Walkway 0x8842…e4fd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x512910… |
| 06-27 02:27:53 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x512910… |
| 06-27 02:27:25 | French-Curl 0xfcdb…641c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac0576… |
| 06-27 02:27:25 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac0576… |
| 06-27 02:27:22 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc68398… |
| 06-27 02:27:22 | Grimy-Farm 0xa0d8…dfd3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc68398… |
| 06-27 02:27:17 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf854ef… |
| 06-27 02:27:17 | Glorious-Noodle 0xa02b…5928 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf854ef… |
| 06-27 01:17:17 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x158ae8… |
| 06-27 01:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | No | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x158ae8… |
| 06-27 01:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | No | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xc4f7b3… |
| 06-27 01:15:10 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xc4f7b3… |
| 06-27 01:13:10 | Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76db…6987 | No | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x89638f… |
| 06-27 01:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | No | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x89638f… |