Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

104

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$457

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-10 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

30% 35% -$2

Other

27% 45% +$109

Politics

24% 34% -$1,084

Sports

12% 53% -$682

Tech

7% 67% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	-538	-$258	52¢	$-280	-$22	09-10 15:40
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	+200	$116	87¢	$174	+$58	07-09 12:30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-100	-$4	3¢	$-3	+$1	08-26 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$1.0K	1,290	50	+1,240	No	+$226	03-24 09:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$955	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	-$649	04-07 22:36
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	5	$724	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$2	04-09 21:19
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$651	903	0	+903	Yes	-$651	07-07 19:25
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$613	542	542	+0	open	—	08-24 11:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$440	400	400	+0	Yes	-$160	04-07 22:43
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$364	593	593	+0	Yes	-$176	04-01 19:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$331	231	231	+0	No	+$131	06-01 17:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$310	500	500	+0	Yes	+$60	01-29 22:49
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá?	5	$273	150	150	+0	No	+$0	05-31 22:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	4	$258	0	538	-538	open	—	09-10 15:40
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	1	$258	300	0	+300	Yes	+$42	04-28 01:52
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	1	$250	325	0	+325	Yes	+$75	07-02 01:45
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$233	360	360	+0	No	-$139	03-15 19:40
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$232	300	150	+150	No	+$116	02-03 02:09
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	2	$220	238	0	+238	Yes	+$18	01-23 16:43
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$191	1,080	200	+880	No	-$13	03-24 19:17
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$187	260	260	+0	No	-$62	03-16 23:09
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$183	262	200	+62	No	+$39	03-29 23:05
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	5	$182	239	100	+139	Gaethje	+$11	01-25 05:18
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$170	100	100	+0	Yes	+$30	03-06 14:01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$168	400	600	-200	Yes	-$20	03-23 13:37
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$161	100	172	-72	No	+$3	02-07 18:28
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	3	$160	200	200	+0	Yes	-$20	01-09 20:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$156	200	0	+200	No	+$44	01-10 05:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$145	200	200	+0	No	+$81	04-21 20:23
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	3	$135	173	73	+100	Movsar Evloev	-$86	03-21 23:23
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	5	$133	300	150	+150	No	-$43	06-19 04:00
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	9	$133	478	0	+478	No	-$133	08-08 12:23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$123	100	100	+0	Yes	+$37	04-15 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 15:40:43	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	112	48¢	$54	0xf94f71…
09-10 00:34:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x2964af…
09-09 16:50:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	392	48¢	$188	0x838875…
08-26 11:49:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x3ec406…
08-24 11:45:19	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	542	41¢	$223	0xfc39b6…
08-14 14:19:00	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	542	72¢	$390	0xe2d73b…
08-08 12:23:01	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	117	27¢	$32	0xd807ae…
08-08 11:09:24	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x008688…
08-07 21:34:12	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	87	27¢	$23	0x6991eb…
08-07 21:34:09	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	96	27¢	$26	0x0d85c5…
08-03 05:30:06	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0xecd6d9…
08-03 04:24:45	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x5393e2…
07-24 14:12:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3ddc85…
07-24 12:08:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	34	48¢	$16	0x8915d4…
07-10 05:29:52	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xce70ba…
07-10 00:56:04	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xbabcb6…
07-09 17:20:29	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x5bfc8e…
07-09 14:50:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x209e22…
07-09 14:50:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xde16b6…
07-09 12:30:22	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xf5d240…
07-07 19:25:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	66¢	$133	0x2a38ab…
07-07 19:22:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xa765eb…
07-07 19:20:44	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x6d7caf…
07-07 19:10:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	300	71¢	$212	0x335906…
07-07 19:07:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0x749876…
07-07 16:31:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xa21818…
07-07 04:26:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xb72d10…
07-04 16:31:49	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x73e10a…
07-04 00:32:40	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x3d0ef1…
07-04 00:31:22	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb14dde…
07-02 01:45:43	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	325	77¢	$250	0x317a1b…
06-22 13:40:11	will iliman ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x1d731b…
06-19 04:00:59	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0x66a926…
06-19 03:41:13	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0xe62a20…
06-17 22:29:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	34	72¢	$25	0x70ab30…
06-17 17:19:25	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	179	21¢	$38	0x8af130…
06-17 17:08:47	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xb042b9…
06-17 15:52:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$61	0xeceb0a…
06-17 14:47:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x420a5b…
06-11 14:33:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x5530dd…
06-06 11:09:30	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x228c5e…
06-04 23:55:00	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x576eaf…
06-01 22:48:29	Will Iliman Ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6614d8…
06-01 17:35:47	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x75e13c…
06-01 17:15:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x2b92e6…
06-01 16:14:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0x762883…
06-01 14:44:03	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xfc065a…
06-01 14:44:03	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x2b9ae9…
06-01 11:48:53	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8d40fb…
05-31 22:09:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x14376e…
05-31 22:09:28	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x0b390f…
05-31 22:06:51	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá?	No	SELL	117	91¢	$107	0x0377cd…
05-31 21:59:26	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc5d044…
05-31 20:43:27	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá?	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0xcc7ecb…
05-30 10:30:07	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x5998bf…
05-30 08:43:45	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x338aa4…
05-29 21:30:04	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xae1378…
05-10 04:20:37	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	78	70¢	$54	0xa407ab…
05-10 04:20:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x566d0e…
05-04 15:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc255a0…
05-01 00:29:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0xe011b2…
04-28 01:52:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x2aa94a…
04-21 20:23:18	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xc3bdbd…
04-21 20:09:58	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x11f835…
04-21 14:05:24	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xf8aaab…
04-17 12:52:26	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x765c8a…
04-17 12:42:36	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x898a2c…
04-15 13:21:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	80¢	$65	0xbf2a3a…
04-15 13:21:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x8d12ef…
04-14 05:00:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	176	14¢	$25	0xb1b03d…
04-14 04:57:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x63e4f2…
04-14 04:54:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xd3e7b1…
04-14 04:42:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xb2f48f…
04-14 03:35:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	184	35¢	$64	0x2948a5…
04-14 03:32:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xc1aa88…
04-14 03:31:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x6a6976…
04-14 03:25:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x44a704…
04-14 03:24:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5e34ee…
04-14 03:18:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa70454…
04-14 03:18:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x77ef25…
04-14 03:03:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe1f4c6…
04-14 02:59:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3537ea…
04-14 02:59:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x948fde…
04-14 01:30:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$32	0x47c89b…
04-12 17:30:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x642fe9…
04-12 11:59:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	88	13¢	$11	0xa3a9e0…
04-12 11:58:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x6e5c98…
04-12 03:17:27	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Azamat Murzakanov	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc14613…
04-12 03:13:31	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd9a03b…
04-12 02:42:37	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x72fd7e…
04-12 02:37:37	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x0552fa…
04-12 02:36:31	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x55c78b…
04-11 22:10:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x32c7c5…
04-09 21:19:37	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	33¢	$363	0x8666d9…
04-09 21:10:39	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xf222e5…
04-09 21:03:01	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xe6ad27…
04-09 20:54:19	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x4c1d6d…
04-09 19:12:27	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x493771…
04-09 18:01:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc6a7a7…
04-09 16:40:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0x06575f…