Grimy-Farm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.3%

Resolved

153

Trades

486

lifetime

Volume

$479

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

51% 16% -$6

Politics

31% 24% -$1

Crypto

10% 7% -$1

Sports

6% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	21	$21	19	18	+2	No	-$1	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-29 03:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-25 08:59
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-11 04:09
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 07:00
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 04:51
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 03:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-24 04:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	08-01 09:08
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 03:15
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 06:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 08:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-28 03:49
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:40
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-05 06:57
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-30 02:39
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 09:38
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:36
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:56
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-23 08:34
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 02:16
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-16 07:01
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 02:51
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-29 10:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 08:46
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 04:07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:09:42	Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9d692…
08-01 09:08:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0b9109…
08-01 08:44:03	Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac29fa…
08-01 08:37:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8273a4…
07-31 03:01:57	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x247bbb…
07-31 03:01:32	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2251ad…
07-31 02:51:54	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x307371…
07-31 02:50:45	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51be11…
07-30 03:58:41	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x76c1ea…
07-30 03:58:17	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04032c…
07-30 03:16:20	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25688b…
07-30 03:15:29	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a8e45…
07-29 10:30:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1a103d…
07-29 10:29:48	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4d41a8…
07-29 10:06:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5343c2…
07-29 10:06:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x743b16…
07-28 03:21:07	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xee4491…
07-28 03:20:21	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x91201b…
07-28 02:59:06	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22ca22…
07-28 02:58:22	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdb5ba7…
07-27 10:33:25	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd54440…
07-27 10:33:03	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xddbb1e…
07-27 10:30:58	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbec19c…
07-27 10:28:36	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ec26a…
07-25 08:17:10	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x20e3fa…
07-25 08:16:48	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3accd8…
07-25 08:02:31	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f06b2…
07-25 08:01:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd7ba8…
07-24 09:51:18	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2400f3…
07-24 09:50:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7ec981…
07-24 09:31:09	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e40b3…
07-24 09:30:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0dfd87…
07-23 03:39:46	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x149168…
07-23 03:39:03	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9c2440…
07-23 03:21:09	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf77bce…
07-23 03:19:46	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3b9879…
07-21 03:17:48	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x38865c…
07-21 03:16:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x82235c…
07-21 02:47:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x618fb1…
07-21 02:46:28	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c05b6…
07-20 06:44:45	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b448b…
07-20 06:44:09	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdd631d…
07-20 06:29:01	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad7d2a…
07-20 06:28:07	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d39ef…
07-18 03:16:54	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4bd2e4…
07-18 03:15:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x75f725…
07-18 02:27:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4c20a7…
07-18 02:25:55	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd52e4b…
07-17 02:17:04	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f5a41…
07-17 02:16:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x164ca1…
07-17 02:05:01	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf156b5…
07-17 02:00:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x807dd9…
07-16 01:37:44	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd39cd0…
07-16 01:36:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e38cb…
07-16 01:28:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8874c8…
07-16 01:27:58	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x98769c…
07-15 03:18:17	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc08800…
07-15 03:16:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x52581a…
07-15 02:50:58	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa2c788…
07-15 02:50:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x665790…
07-14 02:42:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05a301…
07-14 02:41:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea271a…
07-14 01:58:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x903976…
07-14 01:57:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4527f0…
07-13 06:53:08	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf3787…
07-13 06:52:28	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8cfb28…
07-13 04:02:34	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3cd617…
07-13 04:01:34	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x354368…
07-11 04:11:02	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfde59e…
07-11 04:09:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa50b3a…
07-11 03:29:50	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd11f21…
07-11 03:29:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x177a7e…
07-10 03:00:58	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5de2b2…
07-10 03:00:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x483d1d…
07-10 02:40:49	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac4e25…
07-10 02:39:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c287e…
07-09 01:41:01	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd986aa…
07-09 01:40:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x72ec78…
07-09 01:31:53	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec9609…
07-09 01:30:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ceb00…
07-08 02:51:38	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc46a33…
07-08 02:51:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x389fe6…
07-08 02:31:50	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x257bf6…
07-08 02:29:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x62daa2…
07-07 02:29:29	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfff2a6…
07-07 02:28:49	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe5ec83…
07-07 02:08:23	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x048f3a…
07-07 02:07:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c7f30…
07-06 03:24:20	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x875823…
07-06 03:23:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfdd494…
07-06 03:11:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43319a…
07-06 03:09:10	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x026562…
07-04 02:19:55	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb51ec8…
07-04 02:19:34	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec4c75…
07-04 02:08:17	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f9c0d…
07-04 02:06:16	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc039c2…
07-03 03:03:34	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6ff1a8…
07-03 03:03:02	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5bc1c…
07-03 02:51:44	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb29a9…
07-03 02:51:10	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ec33f…