Grimy-Farm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$302

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

33% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	21	$21	19	18	+2	open	—	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-22 04:51
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:35
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 08:46
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-06 06:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:39
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	01-31 03:15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:39
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03
will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	3	$3	22	22	+0	open	—	01-24 02:39
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:17
will the number of us flights delayed on march 27 be between 4500 and 5000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:19
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-27 02:58
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:36
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 27	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:23:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfdd494…
07-06 03:11:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43319a…
07-04 02:19:34	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec4c75…
07-04 02:06:16	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc039c2…
07-03 03:03:02	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5bc1c…
07-03 02:51:44	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb29a9…
07-02 03:16:37	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4c50b7…
07-02 03:09:25	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfe8779…
07-01 01:46:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x43822d…
07-01 01:35:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd41ea6…
06-30 03:14:32	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x995f01…
06-30 02:53:14	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b1dc1…
06-27 02:34:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4f467…
06-27 02:34:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f63af…
06-27 02:27:22	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc68398…
06-27 02:13:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd14376…
06-26 09:38:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6b490…
06-26 09:27:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa69655…
06-25 08:59:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaab1f3…
06-25 08:23:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf851c8…
06-24 09:33:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x332ac4…
06-24 09:22:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x95db24…
06-23 08:35:02	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6575c0…
06-23 08:34:40	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe07e9e…
06-23 08:22:59	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaebdb6…
06-23 08:22:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x015318…
06-23 08:18:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17d37c…
06-23 08:05:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcdd243…
06-22 04:51:32	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5fcd5c…
06-22 04:51:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7f3c16…
06-22 04:31:28	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbd4771…
06-22 04:11:41	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc7a14e…
06-21 09:13:35	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe0b428…
06-21 09:13:11	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c2b6e…
06-21 08:39:19	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa9be3c…
06-21 08:37:13	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x225665…
06-18 08:40:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5eb1c0…
06-18 08:31:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb22f21…
06-17 07:28:44	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb9a4d0…
06-17 07:28:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x757bab…
06-17 07:20:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0f5c75…
06-17 07:18:14	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x46265a…
06-16 07:02:04	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76c284…
06-16 07:01:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf70d34…
06-16 06:26:28	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75dfc2…
06-16 06:25:06	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x479272…
06-15 08:21:57	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x83752e…
06-15 08:21:27	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe420b6…
06-15 08:08:09	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x72827c…
06-13 07:05:09	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x13d807…
06-13 07:04:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x935144…
06-13 06:56:00	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c7f70…
06-13 06:54:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9f56f2…
06-12 07:56:31	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xdce724…
06-12 07:56:13	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb830c6…
06-12 07:42:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x508e11…
06-12 07:41:27	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbe9882…
06-11 08:05:12	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x165137…
06-11 08:04:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2f9525…
06-11 07:43:21	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe3cefd…
06-11 07:41:51	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x656c73…
06-10 08:08:31	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd480ad…
06-10 08:07:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6b7eaf…
06-10 07:41:48	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x29ee0e…
06-10 07:40:03	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc52461…
06-09 07:38:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x81808c…
06-09 07:38:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x540620…
06-09 07:20:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x020d43…
06-09 07:19:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6bfb42…
06-08 07:00:42	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaab698…
06-08 06:49:40	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4dc5c…
06-06 06:49:46	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb496d0…
06-06 06:49:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x50bbb3…
06-06 06:23:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x418e1c…
06-06 06:18:36	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7cf90…
06-05 06:58:39	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb50017…
06-05 06:29:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x13ae0f…
06-04 08:46:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a53a9…
06-04 08:41:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x208871…
06-03 08:03:29	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf349f6…
06-03 07:45:38	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac64fd…
06-02 04:51:22	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2df297…
06-01 08:08:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcf275e…
06-01 07:54:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xef51cd…
05-30 02:39:52	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x141e6f…
05-30 02:33:53	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1622b4…
05-29 07:06:26	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd3050…
05-29 07:05:06	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd37133…
05-29 06:41:26	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xebedf3…
05-28 07:31:55	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe66cb5…
05-27 09:20:43	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2c4d8…
05-27 09:15:16	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70ba02…
05-26 08:01:21	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4bd3a9…
05-26 07:41:47	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9e0b17…
05-25 07:19:41	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fc1fb…
05-25 06:53:19	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06d534…
05-19 04:01:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2897d7…
05-19 04:00:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc26da…
05-19 03:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x049fd1…
05-19 03:11:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ed385…