Grimy-Farm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$354

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

33% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	21	$21	19	18	+2	open	—	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 04:09
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-22 04:51
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 03:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 03:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 08:46
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:36
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 02:16
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:39
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 03:16
trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 08:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	01-31 03:15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:39
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:17:10	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x20e3fa…
07-25 08:16:48	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3accd8…
07-25 08:02:31	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f06b2…
07-25 08:01:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd7ba8…
07-24 09:51:18	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2400f3…
07-24 09:50:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7ec981…
07-24 09:31:09	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e40b3…
07-24 09:30:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0dfd87…
07-23 03:39:46	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x149168…
07-23 03:39:03	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9c2440…
07-23 03:21:09	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf77bce…
07-23 03:19:46	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3b9879…
07-21 03:17:48	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x38865c…
07-21 03:16:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x82235c…
07-21 02:47:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x618fb1…
07-21 02:46:28	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c05b6…
07-20 06:44:09	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdd631d…
07-20 06:29:01	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad7d2a…
07-18 03:16:54	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4bd2e4…
07-18 03:15:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x75f725…
07-18 02:27:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4c20a7…
07-18 02:25:55	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd52e4b…
07-17 02:17:04	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f5a41…
07-17 02:16:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x164ca1…
07-17 02:05:01	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf156b5…
07-17 02:00:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x807dd9…
07-16 01:37:44	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd39cd0…
07-16 01:36:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e38cb…
07-16 01:28:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8874c8…
07-16 01:27:58	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x98769c…
07-15 03:18:17	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc08800…
07-15 03:16:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x52581a…
07-15 02:50:58	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa2c788…
07-15 02:50:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x665790…
07-14 02:42:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05a301…
07-14 02:41:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea271a…
07-14 01:58:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x903976…
07-14 01:57:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4527f0…
07-13 06:53:08	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf3787…
07-13 06:52:28	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8cfb28…
07-13 04:02:34	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3cd617…
07-13 04:01:34	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x354368…
07-11 04:09:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa50b3a…
07-11 03:29:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x177a7e…
07-10 03:00:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x483d1d…
07-10 02:39:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c287e…
07-09 01:40:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x72ec78…
07-09 01:30:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ceb00…
07-08 02:51:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x389fe6…
07-08 02:29:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x62daa2…
07-07 02:28:49	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe5ec83…
07-07 02:07:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c7f30…
07-06 03:23:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfdd494…
07-06 03:11:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43319a…
07-04 02:19:34	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec4c75…
07-04 02:06:16	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc039c2…
07-03 03:03:02	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5bc1c…
07-03 02:51:44	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb29a9…
07-02 03:16:37	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4c50b7…
07-02 03:09:25	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfe8779…
07-01 01:46:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x43822d…
07-01 01:35:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd41ea6…
06-30 03:14:32	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x995f01…
06-30 02:53:14	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b1dc1…
06-27 02:34:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4f467…
06-27 02:34:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f63af…
06-27 02:27:22	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc68398…
06-27 02:13:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd14376…
06-26 09:38:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6b490…
06-26 09:27:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa69655…
06-25 08:59:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaab1f3…
06-25 08:23:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf851c8…
06-24 09:33:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x332ac4…
06-24 09:22:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x95db24…
06-23 08:35:02	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6575c0…
06-23 08:34:40	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe07e9e…
06-23 08:22:59	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaebdb6…
06-23 08:22:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x015318…
06-23 08:18:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17d37c…
06-23 08:05:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcdd243…
06-22 04:51:32	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5fcd5c…
06-22 04:51:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7f3c16…
06-22 04:31:28	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbd4771…
06-22 04:11:41	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc7a14e…
06-21 09:13:35	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe0b428…
06-21 09:13:11	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c2b6e…
06-21 08:39:19	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa9be3c…
06-21 08:37:13	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x225665…
06-18 08:40:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5eb1c0…
06-18 08:31:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb22f21…
06-17 07:28:44	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb9a4d0…
06-17 07:28:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x757bab…
06-17 07:20:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0f5c75…
06-17 07:18:14	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x46265a…
06-16 07:02:04	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76c284…
06-16 07:01:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf70d34…
06-16 06:26:28	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75dfc2…
06-16 06:25:06	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x479272…
06-15 08:21:57	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x83752e…
06-15 08:21:27	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe420b6…