French-Curl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

35% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	21	$21	19	18	+2	open	—	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	06-22 04:51
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 08:46
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-21 07:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 06:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:25
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:40
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 03:04
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	01-31 03:15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:39
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03
will the number of us flights delayed on march 27 be between 4500 and 5000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:19
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-27 02:58
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:36
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 27	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:23:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb7d012…
07-06 03:11:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf098b8…
07-04 02:19:37	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xca9ab7…
07-04 02:06:20	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c110c…
07-03 03:03:07	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd49ec8…
07-03 02:51:47	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12e8f6…
07-02 03:16:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x11e5b7…
07-02 03:09:22	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9e894e…
07-01 01:46:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xecc1eb…
07-01 01:35:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x42d9f5…
06-30 03:14:34	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x53e058…
06-30 02:53:17	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x488960…
06-29 10:46:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3fe34…
06-29 10:43:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8f19c0…
06-29 10:43:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c33d…
06-29 10:41:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7abca7…
06-27 02:34:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71f2f7…
06-27 02:34:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49d4f5…
06-27 02:27:25	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac0576…
06-27 02:13:26	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a09bc…
06-26 09:38:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76fbd1…
06-26 09:27:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e89c1…
06-25 08:59:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d6036…
06-25 08:23:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x96dff8…
06-24 09:33:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b699f…
06-24 09:22:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdccfcb…
06-23 08:34:59	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfed40b…
06-23 08:34:38	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3296ed…
06-23 08:22:56	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3d6956…
06-23 08:22:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xace5a4…
06-23 08:18:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93ce9f…
06-22 04:51:29	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2edc2e…
06-22 04:51:02	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbc6ea1…
06-22 04:31:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x56fe72…
06-22 04:11:40	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5ace62…
06-21 09:13:34	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xed46e4…
06-21 09:13:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5b11c3…
06-21 08:39:17	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x15e4b7…
06-21 08:37:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c012e…
06-18 08:43:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2211c7…
06-18 08:31:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62b355…
06-17 07:28:41	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5db71b…
06-17 07:28:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1c93a7…
06-17 07:19:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x705bc6…
06-17 07:18:13	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x951ffb…
06-16 07:02:04	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6fee3…
06-16 07:01:36	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x359dd9…
06-16 06:26:31	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f545b…
06-16 06:25:10	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa426bc…
06-15 08:21:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32406b…
06-15 08:21:27	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2b16f5…
06-15 08:08:10	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x785b38…
06-13 07:05:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xcc08ed…
06-13 07:04:13	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc95a57…
06-13 06:56:03	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98c9c6…
06-12 08:02:01	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe79591…
06-12 08:01:19	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb69f75…
06-12 07:42:51	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x050e4f…
06-12 07:41:27	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xedc786…
06-11 08:05:18	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2d38ea…
06-11 08:04:52	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x555a3e…
06-11 07:43:27	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x443c89…
06-11 07:41:57	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x33ecd9…
06-10 08:08:30	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf25aa6…
06-10 08:07:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x558927…
06-10 07:41:45	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7becc7…
06-10 07:40:18	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb92733…
06-09 07:38:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6d008a…
06-09 07:38:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9f471e…
06-09 07:20:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x71239c…
06-09 07:19:13	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x91aaa5…
06-08 07:00:24	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9daf3b…
06-08 06:49:37	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d6e08…
06-06 06:49:49	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe97db4…
06-06 06:49:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3bfa18…
06-06 06:23:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x50dafe…
06-06 06:18:28	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x725482…
06-05 06:58:43	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x066070…
06-05 06:29:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76523b…
06-04 08:46:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe5a872…
06-04 08:41:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1585…
06-03 08:03:31	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8749c6…
06-03 07:45:34	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1bcf9e…
06-02 04:51:21	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5093d9…
06-01 08:08:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2b9df…
06-01 07:54:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x703940…
05-30 02:39:59	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ccf3f…
05-30 02:33:55	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x975c9f…
05-29 07:06:35	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x090fe2…
05-29 07:04:59	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x898906…
05-29 06:41:23	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc8d79…
05-28 07:31:58	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0a6e86…
05-27 09:20:39	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd43edd…
05-27 09:15:10	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09b77f…
05-26 08:01:39	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x511835…
05-26 07:41:47	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x017923…
05-25 07:19:39	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b536a…
05-25 06:53:23	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3458e4…
05-19 04:01:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x53a5d4…
05-19 04:00:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb0edb…