French-Curl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$355

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

34% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	21	$21	19	18	+2	open	—	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 04:09
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	06-22 04:51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 03:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 03:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 08:46
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-21 07:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:36
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-24 09:50
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 02:16
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:25
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:40
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 03:04
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 03:16
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:17:09	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb26f8f…
07-25 08:16:45	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02db91…
07-25 08:02:22	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffceff…
07-25 08:01:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde0e5e…
07-24 09:51:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07193f…
07-24 09:50:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x403f61…
07-24 09:31:04	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x092e99…
07-24 09:30:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb9b6eb…
07-23 03:39:45	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5d1f06…
07-23 03:39:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x70a273…
07-23 03:21:07	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf97eb2…
07-23 03:19:43	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x799cda…
07-21 03:17:37	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6d446a…
07-21 03:16:51	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x09779c…
07-21 02:47:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x43728d…
07-21 02:46:24	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b0bb5…
07-20 06:44:06	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xab30ae…
07-20 06:29:07	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x32792b…
07-18 03:16:51	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa26d2b…
07-18 03:15:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x11b5a6…
07-18 02:27:45	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb91783…
07-18 02:25:52	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x900726…
07-17 02:16:58	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe505f1…
07-17 02:16:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a2e4c…
07-17 02:05:00	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f5859…
07-17 02:00:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bfd45…
07-16 01:37:41	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd79bd4…
07-16 01:36:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x977e5a…
07-16 01:28:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d74fd…
07-16 01:27:56	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdf7ae1…
07-15 03:18:17	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x053237…
07-15 03:16:01	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd0f49c…
07-15 02:50:55	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b2821…
07-15 02:50:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x18114d…
07-14 02:42:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x733c86…
07-14 02:41:35	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fdbe8…
07-14 01:58:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8cfdc…
07-14 01:57:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a7d9d…
07-13 06:53:07	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8e08e5…
07-13 06:52:26	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x195636…
07-13 04:02:31	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb0f08…
07-13 04:01:55	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x414d72…
07-11 04:09:17	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb03f90…
07-11 03:28:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28ede3…
07-10 03:00:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd726ba…
07-10 02:39:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfd4186…
07-09 01:40:35	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6d4d83…
07-09 01:31:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaadda8…
07-08 02:51:05	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x21a21a…
07-08 02:29:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd74ebf…
07-07 02:28:50	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x485cb4…
07-07 02:07:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78f256…
07-06 03:23:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb7d012…
07-06 03:11:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf098b8…
07-04 02:19:37	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xca9ab7…
07-04 02:06:20	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c110c…
07-03 03:03:07	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd49ec8…
07-03 02:51:47	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12e8f6…
07-02 03:16:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x11e5b7…
07-02 03:09:22	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9e894e…
07-01 01:46:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xecc1eb…
07-01 01:35:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x42d9f5…
06-30 03:14:34	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x53e058…
06-30 02:53:17	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x488960…
06-29 10:46:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3fe34…
06-29 10:43:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8f19c0…
06-29 10:43:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c33d…
06-29 10:41:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7abca7…
06-27 02:34:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71f2f7…
06-27 02:34:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49d4f5…
06-27 02:27:25	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac0576…
06-27 02:13:26	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a09bc…
06-26 09:38:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76fbd1…
06-26 09:27:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e89c1…
06-25 08:59:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d6036…
06-25 08:23:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x96dff8…
06-24 09:33:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b699f…
06-24 09:22:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdccfcb…
06-23 08:34:59	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfed40b…
06-23 08:34:38	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3296ed…
06-23 08:22:56	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3d6956…
06-23 08:22:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xace5a4…
06-23 08:18:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93ce9f…
06-22 04:51:29	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2edc2e…
06-22 04:51:02	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbc6ea1…
06-22 04:31:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x56fe72…
06-22 04:11:40	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5ace62…
06-21 09:13:34	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xed46e4…
06-21 09:13:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5b11c3…
06-21 08:39:17	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x15e4b7…
06-21 08:37:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c012e…
06-18 08:43:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2211c7…
06-18 08:31:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62b355…
06-17 07:28:41	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5db71b…
06-17 07:28:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1c93a7…
06-17 07:19:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x705bc6…
06-17 07:18:13	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x951ffb…
06-16 07:02:04	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6fee3…
06-16 07:01:36	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x359dd9…
06-16 06:26:31	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f545b…