Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-14 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

70% 94% +$4

Politics

16% 100% +$11

Crypto

14% 88% +$6

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No		+50	$48	98¢	$49	+$1	09-29 12:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$556	561	0	+561	No	+$5	05-28 02:31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$549	551	0	+551	No	+$3	04-02 13:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	2	$476	483	0	+483	No	+$7	10-14 08:00
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$410	407	19	+388	No	+$16	07-01 00:47
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	1	$388	389	0	+389	Yes	+$1	09-22 01:58
will canada strike iran by march 31	2	$281	143	143	+0	No	+$1	03-09 06:46
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	2	$268	139	139	+0	No	+$6	01-30 04:12
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 24 20260720003505491	1	$265	265	0	+265	No	+$0	07-24 08:46
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 30?	4	$259	131	131	+0	No	+$0	08-30 09:50
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$241	242	0	+242	No	+$1	03-09 06:54
will tsla dip to 263 in march	3	$210	106	106	+0	No	+$2	03-22 07:03
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 18?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	05-17 06:35
maduro mugshot released by monday	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-06 06:40
will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	3	$189	191	0	+191	No	+$2	08-07 13:07
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	1	$154	155	0	+155	No	+$1	06-07 03:55
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	1	$137	138	0	+138	No	+$0	01-30 04:14
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on August 28?	1	$119	121	0	+121	Yes	+$1	08-28 06:45
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$1	09-29 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on July 25?	2	$111	111	0	+111	No	+$0	07-24 07:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$106	119	0	+119	No	+$13	03-22 07:12
will tsla reach 570 in march	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	03-11 10:36
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-07 03:55
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-09 06:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-05 09:58
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by September 30?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-29 10:28
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 18?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-17 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on July 25?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	07-24 08:10
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	06-24 07:15
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	09-29 10:36
Will Xi leave the USA on September 28, 2026?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	09-22 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 08:00:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	346	99¢	$343	0x42e7fb…
10-14 07:59:25	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xd9014f…
09-29 18:19:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xedd327…
09-29 12:12:27	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x888825…
09-29 10:36:53	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x7fae8b…
09-29 10:31:17	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xb1d342…
09-29 10:29:06	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x268c21…
09-29 10:28:53	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by September 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe25091…
09-29 10:11:53	Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xfc579e…
09-22 02:01:51	Will Xi leave the USA on September 29, 2026 or later?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xeb1af8…
09-22 01:59:21	Will Xi leave the USA on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa5ba87…
09-22 01:58:02	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	389	100¢	$388	0xc857d0…
09-14 08:47:10	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x108b0d…
09-01 07:21:51	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4299dd…
08-30 09:50:13	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 30?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xc01cd0…
08-30 06:44:45	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa0ae37…
08-30 04:07:36	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xf73d70…
08-28 07:07:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 30?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x609fdf…
08-28 06:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xe2e942…
08-28 06:55:09	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x151cd0…
08-28 06:47:15	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on August 28?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x1c0824…
08-28 06:45:24	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on August 28?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa1e82a…
08-28 06:45:15	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$119	0x400d9d…
08-28 04:09:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa7ea56…
08-28 03:42:45	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x53fd98…
08-28 03:42:36	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in August?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xaaf5dd…
08-07 13:07:55	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xb88bba…
08-07 13:07:48	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x135687…
08-07 13:07:37	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x38fe65…
08-07 13:07:12	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe7f102…
08-07 13:05:46	Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x844119…
07-24 08:46:10	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 24 20260720003505491	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x8c49c1…
07-24 08:22:03	hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x2f5025…
07-24 08:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5303c4…
07-24 08:14:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc94d1e…
07-24 08:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf9e83c…
07-24 08:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xeb95f9…
07-24 07:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf9b9ba…
07-24 07:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xe33b1e…
07-24 07:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x7dc866…
07-24 07:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xaeebf9…
07-24 07:33:06	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xecbe74…
07-01 09:01:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x78a62f…
07-01 02:09:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x4e50f8…
07-01 02:07:29	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x11158d…
07-01 00:47:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc4333c…
06-30 02:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 30?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x672df9…
06-24 09:56:49	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x3d2859…
06-24 09:49:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$91	0x8ac6a9…
06-24 09:43:49	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x55cfb0…
06-24 07:42:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x709329…
06-24 07:17:02	Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xda1eb0…
06-24 07:15:44	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x205cf5…
06-07 03:56:34	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	407	96¢	$391	0x590840…
06-07 03:55:31	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x28e6b0…
06-07 03:55:18	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x1b7b93…
06-07 03:55:09	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x2f3d57…
06-07 03:54:52	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94a44d…
05-28 02:31:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	561	99¢	$556	0xdb324c…
05-17 06:37:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xc77f5c…
05-17 06:36:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeadbd9…
05-17 06:35:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x8399bc…
05-17 06:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b477c…
05-17 06:33:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x494267…
05-17 06:33:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd36ced…
05-17 06:30:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xbdc90e…
05-05 09:58:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa1cbd8…
04-02 13:14:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	551	99¢	$549	0x0feefe…
03-22 07:12:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	119	89¢	$106	0x55fb90…
03-22 07:03:55	will tsla dip to 263 in march	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x28b6e0…
03-11 10:36:49	will tsla reach 570 in march	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2b1223…
03-09 09:44:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xdc710e…
03-09 07:00:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd0e698…
03-09 06:59:59	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3c190b…
03-09 06:58:33	will tsla dip to 263 in march	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe6e8ed…
03-09 06:58:19	will tsla dip to 263 in march	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9a92ed…
03-09 06:54:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40efdb…
03-09 06:52:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xa09939…
03-09 06:46:55	will canada strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	143	98¢	$141	0xbf6811…
03-01 14:02:13	will canada strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x049187…
02-23 14:46:26	bitcoin above 64k on february 23	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x158988…
02-23 11:54:34	bitcoin above 64k on february 23	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7c7aa8…
02-03 08:45:10	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xab4f35…
02-03 08:44:48	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x379fb9…
01-30 04:14:04	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x9926f9…
01-30 04:12:20	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0xa53565…
01-26 02:40:32	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	139	94¢	$131	0x63625e…
01-06 06:40:45	maduro mugshot released by monday	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xde8244…
01-06 03:40:21	maduro mugshot released by monday	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe149e9…