Boiling-Improvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

287

Trades

499

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$98

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-14 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

77% 61% -$52

Sports

12% 53% +$24

Crypto

7% 83% -$198

Politics

4% 85% +$45

Tech

0% 100% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-100	-$94	98¢	$-98	-$5	06-18 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	18	$1.2K	1,184	834	+350	Dplus KIA Challengers	-$39	06-21 11:17
lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	20	$814	821	414	+407	T1 Academy	+$13	06-21 11:17
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	2	$792	1,600	0	+1,600	G2 Esports	+$8	07-03 07:17
lol gen dk 2026 02 14 game4	15	$760	968	498	+470	Gen.G	-$73	02-14 11:45
lol kc tl2 2026 06 30 game2	3	$714	1,400	0	+1,400	Team Liquid	-$14	06-30 08:57
lol kc dcg 2026 06 27 game2	2	$707	1,400	0	+1,400	Karmine Corp	-$7	06-28 06:59
lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game4	5	$693	1,393	0	+1,393	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$7	06-21 11:39
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$693	1,400	0	+1,400	Over	+$7	06-24 14:55
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game3	2	$693	1,400	0	+1,400	Hanwha Life Esports	+$7	07-09 09:34
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game1	2	$693	1,400	0	+1,400	G2 Esports	+$7	07-08 05:50
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	2	$686	1,400	0	+1,400	T1	+$14	07-01 10:00
lol dk dnf 2026 02 20 game4	16	$294	600	0	+600	Dplus KIA	+$6	02-20 11:31
lol ly fur 2026 07 03 total games 3pt5	1	$230	333	0	+333	Under	+$103	07-04 05:19
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$189	190	0	+190	Yes	+$1	03-20 11:02
lol blg tes 2026 01 30	2	$168	200	0	+200	Top Esports	+$32	01-30 13:27
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$152	130	130	+0	No	-$64	01-29 17:48
lol ly fur 2026 07 03 game3	1	$112	330	0	+330	LYON	-$112	07-04 05:19
bitcoin up or down on january 28	8	$101	60	60	+0	Up	+$2	01-28 15:29
usisrael strike yemen by march 7	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-09 13:37
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	02-25 14:05
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	03-04 05:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$94	0	100	-100	open	—	06-18 13:41
ethereum up or down on january 25	7	$90	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	01-25 15:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$82	100	0	+100	No	+$18	03-04 05:19
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	2	$75	100	0	+100	No	-$75	01-13 09:58
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$73	90	0	+90	No	-$73	01-18 06:53
bitcoin up or down on january 29	2	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	01-29 13:05
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 total games 4pt5	1	$52	64	0	+64	Under	+$12	03-17 08:06
bitcoin up or down on january 25	6	$50	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	01-25 14:32
ethereum up or down on january 27	3	$48	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	01-27 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 17:09:28	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xe71868…
08-14 17:09:24	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xdcb3cf…
07-09 09:34:59	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game3	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	700	50¢	$350	0x9cf21a…
07-09 09:33:34	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game3	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	700	49¢	$343	0x9209fb…
07-08 05:50:14	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	700	26¢	$182	0xa6d2a2…
07-08 05:36:38	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game1	T1	BUY	700	73¢	$511	0x9b1b8d…
07-04 05:19:53	lol ly fur 2026 07 03 game3	FURIA Esports	BUY	330	34¢	$112	0x01da9b…
07-04 05:19:34	lol ly fur 2026 07 03 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	333	69¢	$230	0x0265ed…
07-03 07:17:04	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	G2 Esports	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0x986abe…
07-03 07:12:08	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	800	91¢	$728	0xc09cad…
07-01 10:00:52	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	Team Liquid	BUY	700	18¢	$126	0x223405…
07-01 10:00:17	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	T1	BUY	700	80¢	$560	0xf85217…
06-30 08:57:01	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	123	38¢	$47	0xbe9172…
06-30 08:56:59	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	577	38¢	$219	0x8302a1…
06-30 08:40:53	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	700	64¢	$448	0xb7c7e9…
06-28 06:59:44	lol kc dcg 2026 06 27 game2	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	700	24¢	$168	0x59a351…
06-28 06:34:52	lol kc dcg 2026 06 27 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	700	77¢	$539	0xf771e6…
06-24 14:55:14	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	700	44¢	$308	0x1b39dd…
06-24 12:43:14	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	700	55¢	$385	0xa9ae27…
06-21 11:39:11	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game4	T1 Academy	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x62f669…
06-21 11:32:01	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game4	T1 Academy	BUY	230	53¢	$122	0x06721a…
06-21 11:30:53	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game4	T1 Academy	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xbd6940…
06-21 11:25:53	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game4	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	627	46¢	$288	0x49ef07…
06-21 11:24:32	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game4	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	73	46¢	$34	0x1abe74…
06-21 11:17:49	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	SELL	384	100¢	$384	0x9e2da1…
06-21 11:17:28	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	SELL	414	100¢	$413	0x79dd00…
06-21 10:17:31	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xfdad83…
06-21 10:15:01	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x67d1c5…
06-21 10:13:40	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x73a8ed…
06-21 10:13:38	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5c73ce…
06-21 10:13:38	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0188f0…
06-21 10:13:37	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xeef835…
06-21 10:13:37	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	213	53¢	$113	0x48e2a8…
06-21 10:13:37	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x421700…
06-21 10:13:37	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3bf1af…
06-21 10:13:35	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xad3605…
06-21 10:13:35	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2316e7…
06-21 10:11:11	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	SELL	400	45¢	$180	0x15951a…
06-21 10:06:17	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xb646b7…
06-21 10:06:16	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xc6d9c9…
06-21 10:06:07	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xf8b5cd…
06-21 10:06:07	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5664b3…
06-21 10:06:04	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game2	T1 Academy	BUY	395	52¢	$205	0xc6d98e…
06-21 09:04:52	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5b406e…
06-21 09:04:14	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	140	44¢	$62	0xff62c9…
06-21 08:57:35	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xf96f61…
06-21 08:56:08	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc3579d…
06-21 08:52:25	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x73b35e…
06-21 08:50:44	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf9005c…
06-21 08:50:14	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1daceb…
06-21 08:50:01	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x0fad0d…
06-21 08:49:56	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x808a73…
06-21 08:49:22	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x15f362…
06-21 08:49:16	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd0bd11…
06-21 08:48:53	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x10fc15…
06-21 08:48:40	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x48e727…
06-21 08:45:02	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x686de9…
06-21 08:43:56	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	119	45¢	$54	0xac8312…
06-21 08:41:16	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x53191d…
06-21 08:40:26	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbfa0cd…
06-21 08:38:26	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	BUY	293	53¢	$155	0x9229ef…
06-21 08:38:10	lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21 game1	T1 Academy	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xfbe874…
06-18 13:41:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xef128f…
06-15 21:10:06	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xff1dd4…
06-03 18:10:03	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x44f123…
06-02 21:32:56	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x07d8ab…
06-02 21:05:10	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xee0198…
06-02 07:40:25	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x93406a…
06-01 18:22:41	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x95612f…
06-01 18:20:39	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x64d453…
06-01 17:39:15	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xcc1ecc…
06-01 15:06:11	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf51a5e…
06-01 14:22:18	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe26bd0…
06-01 13:57:37	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xbf2a5f…
06-01 13:02:26	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x912ba6…
06-01 13:02:26	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x64ed96…
06-01 13:01:28	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe50ecb…
06-01 12:45:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc18642…
06-01 12:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe14340…
06-01 12:14:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbc65b7…
06-01 11:59:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7daa54…
06-01 11:58:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2204aa…
05-25 05:46:53	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1c072a…
05-24 19:11:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc16597…
05-24 18:56:36	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9a8202…
05-24 17:52:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xdb0b67…
05-24 17:45:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xae9c6c…
05-24 17:45:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa13622…
05-24 17:43:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x959aa4…
05-24 17:40:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x429eaf…
05-24 17:39:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x2ab222…
05-24 17:39:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0xbbb3ec…
05-12 19:20:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x943cd4…
05-12 14:21:06	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5a3239…
05-12 13:49:59	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1ab487…
05-12 05:56:14	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5b27ff…
05-12 04:08:13	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x080f5d…
05-11 21:47:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xf638b7…
05-11 21:08:50	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x644590…
05-11 21:07:31	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdd15ce…