Extraneous-Walkway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$368

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-27 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

33% 75% +$1

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	25	$27	23	22	+2	open	—	02-18 01:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 04:09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 03:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 03:15
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 04:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	01-31 03:16
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:36
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-24 09:50
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 02:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 02:34
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 02:05
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 03:04
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:39
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 03:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 10:33:21	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb59e5a…
07-27 10:33:00	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x25e51a…
07-27 10:30:51	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x12cf02…
07-27 10:28:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x862288…
07-25 08:17:07	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe9d9ef…
07-25 08:16:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd7ca61…
07-25 08:02:16	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9ef00…
07-25 08:01:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69bc3e…
07-24 09:51:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4da050…
07-24 09:50:43	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x889694…
07-24 09:31:03	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c2407…
07-24 09:30:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c09e8…
07-23 03:39:45	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcc7950…
07-23 03:39:09	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9fc81f…
07-23 03:21:06	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x435457…
07-23 03:19:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3508b0…
07-21 03:17:36	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd35935…
07-21 03:16:46	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x11929f…
07-21 02:47:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc50473…
07-21 02:46:22	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7f062…
07-20 06:44:06	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9aa13f…
07-20 06:28:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28e5b3…
07-18 03:16:51	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0164db…
07-18 03:15:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf6337e…
07-18 02:27:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x478357…
07-18 02:25:49	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f5764…
07-17 02:16:57	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xff66cd…
07-17 02:16:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x80ca6c…
07-17 02:04:58	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9af5f7…
07-17 02:04:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a0484…
07-16 01:37:40	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4272c6…
07-16 01:36:35	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5bec8c…
07-16 01:28:50	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8a535…
07-16 01:27:53	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b222d…
07-15 03:18:19	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3495e0…
07-15 03:15:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x476edb…
07-15 02:50:53	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xddc511…
07-15 02:50:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9fb2e2…
07-14 02:42:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x964446…
07-14 02:41:35	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0ca33…
07-14 01:58:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5431a0…
07-14 01:57:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b062d…
07-13 06:53:07	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x296eda…
07-13 06:52:23	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf15b8b…
07-13 04:02:32	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f98bd…
07-13 04:01:32	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf00cbd…
07-11 04:09:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa25715…
07-11 03:29:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x570a46…
07-10 03:00:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5969a0…
07-10 02:39:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaaf887…
07-09 01:40:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a1701…
07-09 01:30:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a6333…
07-08 02:50:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e6a19…
07-08 02:29:23	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d9d01…
07-07 02:28:47	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a71fe…
07-07 02:07:02	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5e280…
07-06 03:23:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa28e9…
07-06 03:11:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5aaa5c…
07-04 02:19:31	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x44e5bd…
07-04 02:06:11	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x866d69…
07-03 03:02:52	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25e992…
07-03 02:51:43	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc92cf1…
07-02 03:16:31	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1131e9…
07-02 03:09:16	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc6f54e…
07-01 01:46:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbc285c…
07-01 01:35:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x00f79c…
06-30 03:14:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x31de7b…
06-30 02:53:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa78275…
06-29 10:46:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x179caa…
06-29 10:43:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x33800f…
06-29 10:43:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x193367…
06-29 10:41:37	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xefe83d…
06-27 02:34:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6249c…
06-27 02:34:14	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10bcec…
06-27 02:27:53	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x512910…
06-27 02:27:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x152dab…
06-27 02:13:20	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3aeaed…
06-26 09:38:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf1c18e…
06-26 09:27:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b8853…
06-25 08:59:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe9ea0e…
06-25 08:23:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8edd6e…
06-24 09:33:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x527bc2…
06-24 09:27:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe89e32…
06-23 08:34:58	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd69a24…
06-23 08:34:35	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6fcaf3…
06-23 08:22:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b4933…
06-23 08:22:20	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x414b2a…
06-23 08:18:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37bcbd…
06-23 08:05:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43b2bb…
06-22 04:51:28	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xef81d4…
06-22 04:51:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x405ca3…
06-22 04:31:17	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x152252…
06-22 04:28:49	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7de5f8…
06-21 09:13:32	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb79fea…
06-21 09:13:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd7c232…
06-21 08:39:14	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe59f41…
06-21 08:37:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4bb92f…
06-18 08:43:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xba8bb8…
06-18 08:32:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6967f5…
06-17 07:28:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf9f627…