Extraneous-Walkway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$312

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

33% 75% +$1

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	25	$27	23	22	+2	open	—	02-18 01:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 04:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	01-31 03:16
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 06:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 02:34
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 02:05
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 03:04
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:39
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:39
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$3	5	2	+2	Yes	+$1	01-07 08:32
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:17
will the number of us flights delayed on march 27 be between 4500 and 5000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:19
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-27 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:23:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa28e9…
07-06 03:11:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5aaa5c…
07-04 02:19:31	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x44e5bd…
07-04 02:06:11	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x866d69…
07-03 03:02:52	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25e992…
07-03 02:51:43	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc92cf1…
07-02 03:16:31	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1131e9…
07-02 03:09:16	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc6f54e…
07-01 01:46:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbc285c…
07-01 01:35:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x00f79c…
06-30 03:14:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x31de7b…
06-30 02:53:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa78275…
06-29 10:46:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x179caa…
06-29 10:43:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x33800f…
06-29 10:43:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x193367…
06-29 10:41:37	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xefe83d…
06-27 02:34:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6249c…
06-27 02:34:14	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10bcec…
06-27 02:27:53	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x512910…
06-27 02:27:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x152dab…
06-27 02:13:20	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3aeaed…
06-26 09:38:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf1c18e…
06-26 09:27:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b8853…
06-25 08:59:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe9ea0e…
06-25 08:23:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8edd6e…
06-24 09:33:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x527bc2…
06-24 09:27:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe89e32…
06-23 08:34:58	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd69a24…
06-23 08:34:35	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6fcaf3…
06-23 08:22:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b4933…
06-23 08:22:20	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x414b2a…
06-23 08:18:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37bcbd…
06-23 08:05:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43b2bb…
06-22 04:51:28	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xef81d4…
06-22 04:51:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x405ca3…
06-22 04:31:17	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x152252…
06-22 04:28:49	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7de5f8…
06-21 09:13:32	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb79fea…
06-21 09:13:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd7c232…
06-21 08:39:14	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe59f41…
06-21 08:37:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4bb92f…
06-18 08:43:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xba8bb8…
06-18 08:32:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6967f5…
06-17 07:28:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf9f627…
06-17 07:28:14	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbddcfc…
06-17 07:19:56	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd47490…
06-17 07:18:11	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2532de…
06-16 07:01:54	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f5480…
06-16 07:01:13	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc39b4…
06-16 06:26:24	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ea91d…
06-16 06:25:00	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdff152…
06-15 08:21:55	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x90ade5…
06-15 08:21:25	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf9e803…
06-15 08:08:06	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x617a41…
06-13 07:05:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x85a515…
06-13 07:04:06	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x427e6f…
06-13 06:55:51	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66d458…
06-13 06:53:57	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ca569…
06-12 08:02:12	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x66af24…
06-12 08:01:18	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2ebf99…
06-12 07:42:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x574ae3…
06-12 07:41:25	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2a07bc…
06-11 08:26:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x977be5…
06-11 08:25:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0855a1…
06-11 08:10:39	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3d861e…
06-11 08:09:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbf092…
06-10 08:08:27	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e32af…
06-10 08:07:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2074b1…
06-10 07:41:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc7664c…
06-10 07:40:00	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e18a1…
06-09 07:38:31	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbd6616…
06-09 07:38:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd672de…
06-09 07:20:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc9dd4e…
06-09 07:19:10	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x170dcb…
06-08 07:00:22	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x938af3…
06-08 06:49:37	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd26d03…
06-06 06:49:48	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc5ba98…
06-06 06:49:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7578e6…
06-06 06:23:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2aad28…
06-06 06:18:22	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe33b5d…
06-05 06:58:42	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xad4464…
06-05 06:29:01	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ce7aa…
06-04 08:46:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x729ddf…
06-04 08:41:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9b9a8…
06-03 08:03:31	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2f3249…
06-03 07:45:34	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe26bc5…
06-02 04:51:19	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafdc55…
06-01 08:08:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xadd587…
06-01 07:54:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x877b40…
05-30 02:39:57	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfcf3ab…
05-30 02:33:55	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e4dcc…
05-29 07:06:19	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62b917…
05-29 07:04:57	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaafcb2…
05-29 06:41:21	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf9f21…
05-28 07:31:58	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfd9efe…
05-27 09:20:39	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0aa491…
05-27 09:15:09	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4df7a…
05-26 08:01:33	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x03162d…
05-26 07:41:45	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xce5234…
05-25 07:19:39	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe05126…