Extraneous-Walkway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.5%

Resolved

156

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$489

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

51% 16% -$5

Politics

31% 27% +$0

Crypto

10% 12% -$2

Sports

5% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	25	$27	23	22	+2	No	-$1	02-18 01:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-29 03:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-25 08:59
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-11 04:09
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 07:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 03:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-24 04:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 03:15
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 04:51
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 06:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$5	4	2	+2	Yes	+$1	01-31 03:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-28 03:49
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-18 04:43
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:40
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-05 06:56
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-30 02:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 09:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 09:38
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:36
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:56
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-24 09:50
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-23 08:34
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 02:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-27 02:34
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-16 07:01
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 02:51
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-29 09:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 08:46
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:09:47	Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x868d5d…
08-01 09:08:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2f9265…
08-01 08:43:44	Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec2a4d…
08-01 08:37:56	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x671af2…
07-31 03:01:53	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb8363b…
07-31 03:01:30	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x26cb2b…
07-31 02:51:53	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81e17d…
07-31 02:50:42	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc62b9…
07-30 03:58:38	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa9a7d5…
07-30 03:58:12	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x152f7e…
07-30 03:16:14	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd07539…
07-30 03:15:21	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c5751…
07-29 09:50:45	Will Jersey Mike's Subs not IPO before October 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4f7cc5…
07-29 09:50:23	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbd9ce1…
07-29 09:27:51	Will Jersey Mike's Subs not IPO before October 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31dbd9…
07-29 09:26:47	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb46a3…
07-28 03:21:06	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x91768f…
07-28 03:20:19	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa7730e…
07-28 02:59:01	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71cd6e…
07-28 02:58:18	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d3e73…
07-27 10:33:21	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb59e5a…
07-27 10:33:00	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x25e51a…
07-27 10:30:51	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x12cf02…
07-27 10:28:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x862288…
07-25 08:17:07	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe9d9ef…
07-25 08:16:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd7ca61…
07-25 08:02:16	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9ef00…
07-25 08:01:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69bc3e…
07-24 09:51:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4da050…
07-24 09:50:43	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x889694…
07-24 09:31:03	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c2407…
07-24 09:30:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c09e8…
07-23 03:39:45	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcc7950…
07-23 03:39:09	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9fc81f…
07-23 03:21:06	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x435457…
07-23 03:19:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3508b0…
07-21 03:17:36	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd35935…
07-21 03:16:46	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x11929f…
07-21 02:47:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc50473…
07-21 02:46:22	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7f062…
07-20 06:44:39	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x021195…
07-20 06:44:06	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9aa13f…
07-20 06:28:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28e5b3…
07-20 06:28:07	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ecbe1…
07-18 03:16:51	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0164db…
07-18 03:15:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf6337e…
07-18 02:27:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x478357…
07-18 02:25:49	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f5764…
07-17 02:16:57	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xff66cd…
07-17 02:16:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x80ca6c…
07-17 02:04:58	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9af5f7…
07-17 02:04:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a0484…
07-16 01:37:40	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4272c6…
07-16 01:36:35	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5bec8c…
07-16 01:28:50	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8a535…
07-16 01:27:53	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b222d…
07-15 03:18:19	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3495e0…
07-15 03:15:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x476edb…
07-15 02:50:53	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xddc511…
07-15 02:50:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9fb2e2…
07-14 02:42:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x964446…
07-14 02:41:35	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0ca33…
07-14 01:58:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5431a0…
07-14 01:57:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b062d…
07-13 06:53:07	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x296eda…
07-13 06:52:23	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf15b8b…
07-13 04:02:32	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f98bd…
07-13 04:01:32	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf00cbd…
07-11 04:10:59	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x944602…
07-11 04:09:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa25715…
07-11 03:29:49	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb83ae3…
07-11 03:29:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x570a46…
07-10 03:00:56	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1dc749…
07-10 03:00:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5969a0…
07-10 02:40:32	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdfb5b…
07-10 02:39:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaaf887…
07-09 01:41:01	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd7bd46…
07-09 01:40:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a1701…
07-09 01:31:50	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2bbda2…
07-09 01:30:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a6333…
07-08 02:51:35	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7eb0d1…
07-08 02:50:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e6a19…
07-08 02:32:37	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ddcc3…
07-08 02:29:23	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d9d01…
07-07 02:29:28	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x719cc2…
07-07 02:28:47	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a71fe…
07-07 02:08:19	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0656ee…
07-07 02:07:02	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5e280…
07-06 03:24:19	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6400a1…
07-06 03:23:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa28e9…
07-06 03:11:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5aaa5c…
07-06 03:09:11	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf42ca9…
07-04 02:19:53	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x53dc25…
07-04 02:19:31	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x44e5bd…
07-04 02:08:14	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5430c…
07-04 02:06:11	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x866d69…
07-03 03:03:28	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x12370f…
07-03 03:02:52	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25e992…
07-03 02:51:43	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc92cf1…
07-03 02:51:04	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b3e08…