Glorious-Noodle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$309

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

35% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	23	$22	21	19	+2	open	—	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-22 04:50
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 08:45
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 06:58
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 02:58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-06 06:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-25 08:59
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-08 07:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:38
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 07:01
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 09:34
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:04
will usdai launch a token by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:40
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 08:29
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	01-31 03:15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:40
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03
will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	3	$3	22	22	+0	open	—	01-24 02:33
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:17
will the number of us flights delayed on march 27 be between 4500 and 5000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:19
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:36
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 27	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:37
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:23:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x751885…
07-06 03:11:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ccb3f…
07-04 02:19:31	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0e8abe…
07-04 02:06:14	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13c5ba…
07-03 03:03:01	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc339f4…
07-03 02:51:44	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cb50a…
07-02 03:16:35	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfb5a1e…
07-02 03:09:19	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02b136…
07-01 01:46:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb7130e…
07-01 01:35:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc850a8…
06-30 03:14:31	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x099a74…
06-30 02:53:25	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a478c…
06-29 10:46:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34e2ba…
06-29 10:43:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9e5433…
06-29 10:43:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x589325…
06-29 10:41:32	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x20cc97…
06-27 02:34:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc60d0b…
06-27 02:34:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8896c1…
06-27 02:27:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf854ef…
06-27 02:13:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0db690…
06-26 09:38:29	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x64823a…
06-26 09:27:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9bf7e…
06-25 08:59:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x85fdb5…
06-25 08:23:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x158201…
06-24 09:33:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2d350…
06-24 09:22:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb9cf6…
06-23 08:34:58	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1b9cd5…
06-23 08:34:35	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe94379…
06-23 08:22:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd403c3…
06-23 08:22:14	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a376a…
06-23 08:18:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ed86a…
06-23 08:05:56	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85ee98…
06-22 04:51:20	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1b9593…
06-22 04:50:47	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa9e4f9…
06-22 04:31:23	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd8d107…
06-22 04:11:40	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1a159f…
06-21 09:13:29	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb0a304…
06-21 09:13:07	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x98e300…
06-21 08:39:11	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2cc4e6…
06-21 08:37:02	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf09746…
06-18 08:43:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf858b4…
06-18 08:31:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd8cfc…
06-17 07:28:32	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x788f60…
06-17 07:28:14	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa19e67…
06-17 07:19:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbb5bd5…
06-17 07:18:11	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbb1f4c…
06-16 07:02:04	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x270668…
06-16 07:01:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9151c…
06-16 06:26:28	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8fba8…
06-16 06:25:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a5380…
06-15 08:21:57	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb434c1…
06-15 08:21:25	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x00d590…
06-15 08:08:07	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab5dd6…
06-13 07:05:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9b414c…
06-13 07:04:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x254cba…
06-13 06:55:57	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92daca…
06-13 06:54:03	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd38cd7…
06-12 08:02:01	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb1acb9…
06-12 08:01:19	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2e6caf…
06-12 07:42:46	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac5193…
06-12 07:41:22	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6e9561…
06-11 08:05:13	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc77b8e…
06-11 08:04:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd743fe…
06-11 07:43:34	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xde70db…
06-11 07:41:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfbf256…
06-10 08:08:25	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69a547…
06-10 08:07:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0dd8e1…
06-10 07:41:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x485d3d…
06-10 07:40:00	will barron trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212491	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd73f13…
06-09 07:38:40	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc8c9d0…
06-09 07:38:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5785e7…
06-09 07:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1ad1c0…
06-09 07:19:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x743a4e…
06-08 07:00:18	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2d4010…
06-08 06:49:43	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ee0f6…
06-06 06:49:51	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbdbdf1…
06-06 06:49:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8aa2b0…
06-06 06:24:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4fd59…
06-06 06:19:13	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc027c2…
06-05 06:58:49	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xade0b3…
06-05 06:29:21	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x708352…
06-04 08:46:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf9650b…
06-04 08:41:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe4f308…
06-03 08:03:32	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8076c5…
06-03 07:45:41	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x527939…
06-02 04:51:24	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaebacd…
06-01 08:08:17	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5141e…
06-01 07:54:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x247c1c…
05-30 02:40:01	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6179e…
05-30 02:33:53	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ad20b…
05-29 07:06:28	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0960c2…
05-29 07:04:53	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x29300a…
05-29 06:41:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67900b…
05-28 07:32:02	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbd6a25…
05-27 09:20:43	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cb03f…
05-27 09:15:24	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x570b08…
05-26 08:01:40	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c77c2…
05-26 07:41:50	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3bd8f6…
05-25 07:19:38	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd438f9…
05-25 06:53:23	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d273a…