Glorious-Noodle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

155

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

50% 18% -$7

Politics

32% 21% -$1

Crypto

10% 13% -$1

Sports

6% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	23	$22	21	19	+2	No	-$2	02-10 02:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-29 03:39
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 07:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-25 08:59
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-11 04:09
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 04:50
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 08:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 03:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-18 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-24 04:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 03:15
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 06:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 08:45
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 02:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-28 03:49
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:40
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-05 06:57
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-30 02:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 09:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 09:38
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 01:36
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:56
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-24 09:50
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-23 08:34
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 02:16
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-16 07:01
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 02:51
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-29 09:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 08:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 03:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:09:39	Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x31d5ca…
08-01 09:08:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xab5f59…
08-01 08:43:33	Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ddaf1…
08-01 08:37:51	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd6d27…
07-31 03:01:50	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ca224…
07-31 03:01:29	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x141562…
07-31 02:51:50	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5dfbae…
07-31 02:50:41	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc331bf…
07-30 03:58:35	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x249a98…
07-30 03:58:14	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57d866…
07-30 03:16:11	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc39263…
07-30 03:15:17	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b4fcc…
07-29 09:50:51	Will Jersey Mike's Subs not IPO before October 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x35d2dd…
07-29 09:50:15	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x04e1cb…
07-29 09:27:45	Will Jersey Mike's Subs not IPO before October 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd70d96…
07-29 09:26:48	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b9c45…
07-28 03:21:03	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd65e08…
07-28 03:20:18	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4921e0…
07-28 02:58:58	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a61ff…
07-28 02:58:15	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0bd47e…
07-27 10:33:21	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x08c55c…
07-27 10:32:58	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6d406a…
07-27 10:30:48	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x787099…
07-27 10:28:31	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08aff4…
07-25 08:17:06	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xda11bb…
07-25 08:16:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5703a…
07-25 08:02:10	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a49ab…
07-25 08:01:03	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b1f9f…
07-24 09:51:03	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x621d16…
07-24 09:50:39	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc95b2…
07-24 09:30:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d0579…
07-24 09:30:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xebb1db…
07-23 03:39:43	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbd6b8a…
07-23 03:38:55	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf215c…
07-23 03:20:58	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d6995…
07-23 03:19:33	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x66073d…
07-21 03:17:34	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2ca84c…
07-21 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce9b2d…
07-21 02:47:24	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x779976…
07-21 02:46:16	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9deb29…
07-20 06:44:36	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf19cce…
07-20 06:44:04	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe11d82…
07-20 06:29:03	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba03bf…
07-20 06:28:07	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f6add…
07-18 03:16:49	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f824a…
07-18 03:15:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x94d9c1…
07-18 02:27:40	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xec8236…
07-18 02:25:48	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57890e…
07-17 02:16:55	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe5742f…
07-17 02:16:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5fdd04…
07-17 02:04:55	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9e64…
07-17 02:00:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6812a…
07-16 01:37:32	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe9d04e…
07-16 01:36:23	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d2221…
07-16 01:28:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3cfbeb…
07-16 01:27:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf2897e…
07-15 03:18:07	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1a8011…
07-15 03:15:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3bbc8…
07-15 02:50:49	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260710201027760	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbee719…
07-15 02:49:53	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf101ef…
07-14 02:42:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x31c0c2…
07-14 02:41:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf54eb6…
07-14 01:58:29	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48771c…
07-14 01:57:38	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33d995…
07-13 06:53:01	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x61e9b0…
07-13 06:52:23	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa4983b…
07-13 04:02:25	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x35b8d6…
07-13 04:01:29	will iran be in the headlines this week 20260710201027753	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14da27…
07-11 04:10:56	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5949cc…
07-11 04:09:11	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x014baf…
07-11 03:29:46	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb07b53…
07-11 03:28:55	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe01828…
07-10 03:00:58	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x872dcf…
07-10 03:00:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7dacd2…
07-10 02:40:44	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85a0e0…
07-10 02:39:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c7468…
07-09 01:41:01	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb7e35f…
07-09 01:40:32	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9a506c…
07-09 01:31:53	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ed668…
07-09 01:30:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc370b5…
07-08 02:51:37	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57859d…
07-08 02:51:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x238879…
07-08 02:31:49	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8eaca…
07-08 02:29:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2b368…
07-07 02:29:28	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd47fab…
07-07 02:28:49	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbc7277…
07-07 02:08:23	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf863c3…
07-07 02:07:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e4570…
07-06 03:24:19	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa16eec…
07-06 03:23:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x751885…
07-06 03:11:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ccb3f…
07-06 03:09:10	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe7e8a…
07-04 02:19:55	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc61307…
07-04 02:19:31	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0e8abe…
07-04 02:08:16	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1719b…
07-04 02:06:14	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13c5ba…
07-03 03:03:32	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa641ba…
07-03 03:03:01	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc339f4…
07-03 02:51:44	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cb50a…
07-03 02:51:05	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2acd8…