Quintessential-Pig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$234

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

105

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-31 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Sports

40% 29% +$304

Crypto

38% 12% -$17

Other

19% 23% -$34

Politics

2% 11% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes		+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	05-25 06:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$942	500	500	+0	open	—	10-31 17:48
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$836	1,463	1,433	+30	No	+$313	07-18 01:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$160	205	225	-20	Yes	+$81	07-15 21:29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$86	500	0	+500	No	-$86	06-16 02:14
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	2	$75	51	51	+0	Yes	+$26	04-01 05:00
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	2	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	01-20 21:52
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	4	$71	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-02 07:55
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	06-16 20:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$46	200	200	+0	Yes	-$10	04-07 11:35
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	11	$31	150	150	+0	Yes	+$2	05-18 14:26
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$23	55	0	+55	Spain	-$23	07-19 18:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$17	150	150	+0	No	+$10	08-11 16:07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$17	43	0	+43	Yes	-$17	03-09 17:59
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	2	$14	50	50	+0	No	+$10	06-19 13:20
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$14	47	0	+47	England	-$14	07-18 22:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$14	50	50	+0	No	-$1	04-02 09:21
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 12c	6	$12	1,200	100	+1,100	No	+$7	04-08 16:05
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	05-19 20:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 12c	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	04-10 12:19
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 17c	1	$11	51	0	+51	No	-$11	03-31 23:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	9	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$10	04-01 03:51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$5	05-24 16:12
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	2	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	07-09 21:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	05-30 17:56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$9	22	16	+6	No	-$3	05-30 17:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$8	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-14 05:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$7	200	0	+200	No	-$7	04-01 21:56
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 16corhigher	1	$6	49	0	+49	No	-$6	04-03 10:23
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	3	$6	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 19:27
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte2	1	$6	20	0	+20	No	-$6	06-23 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:48:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0xbe48fe…
10-31 16:52:09	Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xba9464…
08-11 16:07:49	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xd69841…
07-27 17:35:22	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x5d83df…
07-27 17:30:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xbda779…
07-27 17:17:25	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	85	10¢	$8	0xd94d3b…
07-19 18:50:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0xe288df…
07-19 18:42:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xacf788…
07-18 22:49:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa6b809…
07-18 22:32:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x5fd559…
07-18 21:29:28	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xd24ad2…
07-18 21:20:31	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$3	0x0e0aca…
07-18 01:54:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,433	40¢	$575	0x453601…
07-16 08:06:05	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf2f0c3…
07-15 21:29:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	225	58¢	$130	0x7a3278…
07-13 04:12:16	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x25c6fa…
07-10 18:52:17	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x6e1043…
07-10 18:16:17	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x830795…
07-10 15:31:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,463	18¢	$262	0xd3f645…
07-09 21:56:41	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xa27152…
07-09 17:56:40	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9fe6d2…
07-06 20:55:16	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc761cf…
07-04 21:09:58	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb00aa6…
07-04 20:20:35	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x000404…
07-02 20:42:56	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	467	0¢	$1	0x69d695…
07-02 20:40:38	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x4b4fef…
07-02 19:55:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xdea5ec…
07-02 19:53:01	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf61ec7…
06-23 18:31:37	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb131e1…
06-23 18:23:19	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc51bef…
06-21 18:02:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	14¢	$30	0x3de269…
06-19 13:20:47	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x9bb494…
06-17 19:18:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x39a0c5…
06-17 19:17:56	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5b04e6…
06-17 10:32:10	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xf37712…
06-17 06:54:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x73b06a…
06-16 20:48:11	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x553e20…
06-16 20:06:41	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc8612e…
06-16 18:14:29	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x097e20…
06-16 12:53:12	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xe370e3…
06-16 02:14:21	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$86	0x561b27…
06-15 18:06:15	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc99de0…
06-13 19:29:54	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6401cb…
06-13 18:34:06	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x8418d1…
06-13 18:32:28	Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb2b8af…
06-13 00:21:54	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x580035…
05-30 17:56:49	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x471e14…
05-30 17:44:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbf7d8b…
05-30 17:41:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1319e1…
05-30 17:40:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x3f7542…
05-28 09:08:18	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x04d243…
05-27 18:19:18	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb86099…
05-25 19:26:31	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e82e0…
05-25 19:23:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x7f1853…
05-25 19:23:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x973ae7…
05-25 11:33:33	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x368d12…
05-25 06:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x33dd50…
05-25 06:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x7b4b02…
05-25 06:55:20	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x06d517…
05-25 06:04:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x983eb1…
05-24 17:15:55	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x89ef56…
05-24 17:01:13	Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e8ee0…
05-24 16:52:44	Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0xa541d8…
05-24 16:12:15	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x2169f6…
05-24 11:22:25	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe2aec0…
05-24 11:21:50	Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x5fd6d5…
05-19 20:47:37	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x63056c…
05-19 14:35:43	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x18f101…
05-18 14:26:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0xcda0f8…
05-18 09:17:10	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xcf48e1…
05-18 07:34:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa1c42a…
05-17 20:02:58	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xae6579…
05-17 11:58:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x607823…
05-17 11:27:47	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 1 ACF Fiorentina?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb5b60f…
05-17 10:26:10	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x501e28…
05-16 14:34:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xc822ae…
05-13 22:39:47	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xeebf05…
05-13 20:11:14	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xda1414…
05-13 19:55:57	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2351de…
05-11 05:24:34	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x464c80…
05-10 11:18:05	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x392002…
05-10 11:05:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc450f1…
05-10 11:03:23	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x668700…
05-05 08:12:22	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xc991a1…
05-05 08:02:42	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x492faa…
05-05 07:43:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x30fcc6…
05-05 07:07:28	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x0eda67…
05-04 20:21:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x24629d…
05-04 19:33:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x228076…
05-04 18:24:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x0eccfc…
05-04 17:38:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb9095e…
05-04 16:59:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	481	91¢	$440	0x13913f…
04-28 02:37:02	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x567271…
04-28 00:59:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4fba0a…
04-28 00:59:38	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xefb39d…
04-28 00:59:36	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x38ebba…
04-28 00:59:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7a5cee…
04-28 00:59:26	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x648166…
04-28 00:59:26	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2c2e21…
04-28 00:59:14	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6a3bb0…