Defiant-Door — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

770

Trades

2,699

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 08-03 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 47% -$293

Politics

25% 14% -$726

Other

18% 18% -$32

Sports

6% 24% -$95

Tech

0% 0% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:25 UTC	12	$358	275	271	+4	Up	+$88	03-05 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:20 UTC	4	$184	132	130	+2	Up	+$46	03-04 08:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	9	$170	568	0	+568	Yes	-$170	08-01 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:35 UTC	4	$152	110	109	+1	Down	+$1	03-05 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:35 UTC	5	$145	205	0	+205	Down	-$145	03-05 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:20 UTC	7	$134	100	60	+40	Up	-$15	03-05 09:25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	7	$130	114	114	+0	Yes	+$76	07-15 20:54
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	37	$126	558	8	+550	No	-$120	08-03 19:22
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	44	$120	422	372	+50	No	-$4	07-26 06:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	7	$116	188	150	+38	Down	-$16	03-05 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 09:50 UTC	4	$112	104	104	+0	Up	+$12	06-15 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:55 UTC	4	$109	68	67	+0	Up	-$1	03-05 09:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	16	$106	372	372	+0	Yes	-$58	07-25 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:15 UTC	4	$105	60	60	+0	Up	+$5	06-15 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:25 UTC	4	$105	69	68	+1	Up	+$7	03-05 10:27
nba tor nop 2026 03 11	13	$105	138	76	+62	Pelicans	+$26	03-11 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:15 UTC	4	$103	74	74	+0	Down	+$3	06-15 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:30 UTC	4	$103	89	87	+1	Up	+$12	03-05 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:25 UTC	2	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:10 UTC	8	$98	70	70	+0	Down	-$2	06-15 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:45 UTC	4	$97	132	64	+69	Up	-$2	03-05 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:25 UTC	4	$92	70	70	+0	Down	-$8	06-15 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:10 UTC	4	$92	52	52	+0	Up	+$12	03-05 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:40 UTC	4	$91	86	85	+1	Up	-$20	03-05 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:50 UTC	6	$90	73	72	+1	Down	+$1	03-05 11:55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$89	88	88	+0	Yes	-$1	07-06 16:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$88	138	138	+0	No	+$56	03-30 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:45 UTC	4	$87	66	65	+1	Up	+$3	03-05 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:10 UTC	7	$86	73	68	+5	Up	-$10	03-05 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:30 UTC	4	$84	115	114	+1	Down	-$11	03-05 11:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 19:26:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x85b595…
08-03 19:25:32	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf900d8…
08-03 19:25:03	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xcfb590…
08-03 19:22:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	155	20¢	$31	0xe80953…
08-02 14:46:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xb94c14…
08-02 14:45:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x25c1dd…
08-02 14:37:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb4a913…
08-02 14:37:36	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xf634d6…
08-02 14:36:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xa40393…
08-02 14:36:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x8ccf5a…
08-02 14:35:44	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x657d92…
08-02 14:35:27	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xf96c33…
08-02 14:34:18	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	98	3¢	$3	0xd0ed2f…
08-02 14:34:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x357341…
08-02 02:06:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xebf8d2…
08-01 21:47:56	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x46432f…
08-01 21:47:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x11fb08…
08-01 21:47:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x884166…
08-01 19:45:08	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x593726…
08-01 18:11:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc14811…
08-01 18:11:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x59645b…
08-01 18:09:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb4d556…
08-01 18:09:03	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x82d691…
08-01 18:08:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x3dc4a6…
08-01 18:08:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x93abe9…
08-01 18:07:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xc5db2f…
08-01 18:01:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x199366…
08-01 18:00:33	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x706df5…
08-01 18:00:18	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb900be…
08-01 17:59:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd49640…
08-01 17:59:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	91	33¢	$30	0x1b2d83…
08-01 17:51:42	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbf66e4…
08-01 17:51:05	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0xb9ed9d…
08-01 17:37:02	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe78c84…
08-01 17:36:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x499bee…
08-01 17:36:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x3b1baa…
08-01 17:35:50	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1bc04c…
08-01 17:35:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x336b51…
08-01 12:32:00	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x2cf107…
08-01 12:31:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x803421…
08-01 12:31:20	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x19a817…
08-01 12:23:29	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0xb55050…
08-01 12:18:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa31bbf…
08-01 12:16:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xea7ba3…
08-01 12:16:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc58501…
08-01 12:12:57	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb25b66…
08-01 12:12:47	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x489113…
08-01 12:12:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3f4c27…
08-01 12:07:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x63ef5a…
08-01 12:07:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbde517…
08-01 12:06:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x649054…
08-01 12:06:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xb9ebc5…
08-01 12:02:48	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xbe52c5…
08-01 12:01:14	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xc21df7…
07-30 05:51:02	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xaf315b…
07-30 05:50:42	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xeca765…
07-29 13:24:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xdf1514…
07-26 17:37:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x975047…
07-26 17:35:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	190	2¢	$5	0xf5db36…
07-26 06:12:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x87d1a7…
07-26 06:12:30	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x602cc6…
07-26 06:10:45	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0xa63114…
07-26 06:09:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xdbe5f7…
07-25 14:15:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1163d0…
07-25 14:12:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdc38fe…
07-25 14:11:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2d525c…
07-25 14:04:52	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0xca97fa…
07-25 14:03:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xa2cda7…
07-25 14:03:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	305	3¢	$9	0xa44e32…
07-25 07:23:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf7bfb2…
07-25 07:23:03	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x99134d…
07-24 19:16:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xa2719d…
07-24 19:16:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0xa15bdb…
07-24 19:14:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa6b53e…
07-24 19:13:07	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x466b6e…
07-24 19:12:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe42878…
07-24 19:12:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x1f0ed6…
07-24 19:11:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x8a1286…
07-24 19:11:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc17692…
07-24 19:11:09	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x97c225…
07-24 19:10:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x96bf1d…
07-24 19:06:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x412565…
07-24 19:06:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x65bd59…
07-24 19:06:07	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0xf2ad30…
07-24 19:03:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1a47b7…
07-24 19:03:27	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x0fecf2…
07-24 18:49:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x7f0eef…
07-24 18:47:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbb1a3e…
07-24 04:00:37	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x57e769…
07-24 03:59:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x247852…
07-24 03:57:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc2ba36…
07-24 03:56:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa9d01a…
07-24 03:55:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x6a3b60…
07-24 03:55:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x01bbd6…
07-24 03:53:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	102	8¢	$8	0xb8fb91…
07-23 21:32:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcbac24…
07-23 19:21:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	SELL	114	3¢	$4	0x356b1a…
07-23 18:41:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x42354c…
07-23 18:39:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xfdb404…
07-23 18:24:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8c1191…