Grand-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,185

lifetime

Volume

$4.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-23 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$5

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 50% $-6

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	167	$518	502	482	+20	open	—	05-27 16:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	91	$384	425	425	+0	open	—	04-19 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	21	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-07 07:31
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	6	$58	35	35	+0	open	—	03-08 10:18
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	14	$51	65	45	+20	open	—	04-27 07:08
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$46	20	30	-10	open	—	05-16 01:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	38	$44	95	95	+0	open	—	06-22 02:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	24	$37	50	45	+5	open	—	06-19 09:06
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	10	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 01:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	10	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	05-23 08:32
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	5	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 01:05
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	6	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 19:46
highest temperature in ankara on march 9 2026 10c	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-09 15:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$26	31	31	+0	open	—	03-24 07:09
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 9 2026 28c	2	$26	5	25	-20	open	—	03-09 06:06
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 8	3	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	03-08 02:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 04:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$25	40	32	+8	open	—	03-30 11:12
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	4	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 13:17
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	5	$24	48	48	+0	open	—	07-22 20:34
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$21	30	30	+0	open	—	03-18 17:05
will mrbeasts latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-09 20:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	5	$20	24	15	+10	open	—	05-23 17:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	05-24 13:21
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	7	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 01:06
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 15:55
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 03:32
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 8?	4	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 18:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 21:36
spy closes above 745 on june 4 2026	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 04:06:03	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 20260710184334565	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x262a32…
07-22 20:34:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0x50f808…
07-22 06:26:49	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$5	0x60219d…
07-22 05:04:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0xd59043…
07-21 23:48:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x575248…
07-20 15:33:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x117284…
07-20 15:26:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xec29dc…
07-20 14:53:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0x287cef…
07-20 14:20:42	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0x13506d…
07-19 11:19:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x0c3b4e…
07-17 21:08:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x58e422…
07-17 03:57:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x8812fe…
07-15 21:19:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x82cdd8…
07-07 17:23:23	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	17	39¢	$6	0x75764f…
07-06 16:37:37	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xfdd866…
07-06 16:37:37	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x029d0c…
07-06 09:45:44	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x2eee9d…
07-05 08:42:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x08cfa1…
07-05 08:29:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x840fbe…
07-05 08:23:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x04f745…
07-05 07:31:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0a02a3…
07-04 19:23:08	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0d0e58…
07-04 19:18:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfe6ebb…
06-24 21:47:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe293c8…
06-24 21:35:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x543214…
06-24 13:06:26	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6ad577…
06-23 05:44:37	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdcaf59…
06-23 04:16:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xf1110c…
06-22 20:08:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcc30f6…
06-22 18:49:26	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4421d6…
06-22 16:08:14	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9be7eb…
06-22 14:53:59	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x347b8e…
06-22 07:22:31	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe2d8a6…
06-22 06:53:11	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdb4274…
06-22 02:39:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x2be125…
06-21 23:42:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x00c8db…
06-21 16:05:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xe98582…
06-21 14:15:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0cf08f…
06-21 01:19:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x28431e…
06-21 01:14:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0ed376…
06-20 21:25:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x45c4f2…
06-20 20:27:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xea2024…
06-20 20:03:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcb0a4a…
06-20 19:42:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x47402d…
06-20 18:18:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb52020…
06-20 14:48:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xf6daec…
06-20 10:23:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2891f2…
06-20 07:56:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb48117…
06-19 13:45:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xa7e05d…
06-19 13:27:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9df1c1…
06-19 09:06:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x8ddd44…
06-19 07:26:08	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa32841…
06-19 06:58:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3e6a36…
06-19 06:55:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6d0fc7…
06-19 06:32:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe6cf2d…
06-19 04:42:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x229c30…
06-19 01:20:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xad5b1d…
06-18 23:31:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1b1f7d…
06-18 17:59:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe50166…
06-18 17:40:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd4f40f…
06-18 17:29:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce021b…
06-18 15:49:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xaf9edc…
06-18 13:13:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x807914…
06-18 12:28:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc7ffe6…
06-18 11:46:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x009b6f…
06-18 10:28:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x4f7405…
06-18 10:28:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x88818f…
06-18 10:28:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x5bfd39…
06-18 10:28:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x424a94…
06-18 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x416ed6…
06-18 05:06:04	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf4f5e6…
06-18 02:29:02	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x34d5f8…
06-18 01:03:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2c52df…
06-17 23:36:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4e289e…
06-17 23:17:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf9e10d…
06-17 23:15:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xcf4d69…
06-17 21:40:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x00f192…
06-17 19:06:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x860b75…
06-17 17:13:44	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4ea23b…
06-17 12:45:07	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe199fc…
06-17 12:03:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd0ab69…
06-17 10:16:56	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x52700e…
06-17 10:01:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x328638…
06-17 08:31:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd81a05…
06-17 07:57:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3aa468…
06-17 07:54:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb35617…
06-17 04:55:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xbb348c…
06-17 04:36:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf1b6dc…
06-17 04:30:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x550e43…
06-17 01:41:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xdb46e1…
06-17 00:51:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x198e65…
06-16 18:52:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x407dee…
06-16 18:52:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x0bbadd…
06-16 17:08:35	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x6aa9d4…
06-16 14:22:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdbde64…
06-16 08:23:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x0822e0…
06-16 08:13:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0ddc77…
06-16 02:33:31	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xee6046…
06-15 17:41:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x64e659…
06-15 17:29:57	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x216335…