Grand-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,162

lifetime

Volume

$4.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-24 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$5

Politics

39% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 50% $-6

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	167	$518	502	482	+20	open	—	05-27 16:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	91	$384	425	425	+0	open	—	04-19 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	21	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	05-07 07:31
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	6	$58	35	35	+0	open	—	03-08 10:18
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	14	$51	65	45	+20	open	—	04-27 07:08
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$46	20	30	-10	open	—	05-16 01:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	38	$44	95	95	+0	open	—	06-22 02:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	24	$37	50	45	+5	open	—	06-19 09:06
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	10	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 01:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	10	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	05-23 08:32
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	5	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 01:05
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	6	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 19:46
highest temperature in ankara on march 9 2026 10c	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-09 15:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$26	31	31	+0	open	—	03-24 07:09
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 9 2026 28c	2	$26	5	25	-20	open	—	03-09 06:06
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 8	3	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	03-08 02:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 04:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$25	40	32	+8	open	—	03-30 11:12
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	4	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 13:17
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$21	30	30	+0	open	—	03-18 17:05
will mrbeasts latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-09 20:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	5	$20	24	15	+10	open	—	05-23 17:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	05-24 13:21
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	7	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 01:06
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 15:55
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 03:32
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 8?	4	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 18:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 21:36
spy closes above 745 on june 4 2026	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 15:02
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 21:47:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe293c8…
06-24 21:35:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x543214…
06-24 13:06:26	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6ad577…
06-23 05:44:37	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdcaf59…
06-23 04:16:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xf1110c…
06-22 20:08:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcc30f6…
06-22 18:49:26	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4421d6…
06-22 16:08:14	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9be7eb…
06-22 14:53:59	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x347b8e…
06-22 07:22:31	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe2d8a6…
06-22 06:53:11	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdb4274…
06-22 02:39:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x2be125…
06-21 23:42:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x00c8db…
06-21 16:05:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xe98582…
06-21 14:15:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0cf08f…
06-21 01:19:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x28431e…
06-21 01:14:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0ed376…
06-20 21:25:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x45c4f2…
06-20 20:27:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xea2024…
06-20 20:03:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcb0a4a…
06-20 19:42:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x47402d…
06-20 18:18:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb52020…
06-20 14:48:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xf6daec…
06-20 10:23:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2891f2…
06-20 07:56:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb48117…
06-19 13:45:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xa7e05d…
06-19 13:27:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9df1c1…
06-19 09:06:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x8ddd44…
06-19 07:26:08	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa32841…
06-19 06:58:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3e6a36…
06-19 06:55:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6d0fc7…
06-19 06:32:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe6cf2d…
06-19 04:42:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x229c30…
06-19 01:20:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xad5b1d…
06-18 23:31:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1b1f7d…
06-18 17:59:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe50166…
06-18 17:40:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd4f40f…
06-18 17:29:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce021b…
06-18 15:49:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xaf9edc…
06-18 13:13:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x807914…
06-18 12:28:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc7ffe6…
06-18 11:46:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x009b6f…
06-18 10:28:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x4f7405…
06-18 10:28:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x88818f…
06-18 10:28:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x5bfd39…
06-18 10:28:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x424a94…
06-18 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x416ed6…
06-18 05:06:04	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf4f5e6…
06-18 02:29:02	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x34d5f8…
06-18 01:03:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2c52df…
06-17 23:36:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4e289e…
06-17 23:17:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf9e10d…
06-17 23:15:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xcf4d69…
06-17 21:40:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x00f192…
06-17 19:06:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x860b75…
06-17 17:13:44	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4ea23b…
06-17 12:45:07	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe199fc…
06-17 12:03:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd0ab69…
06-17 10:16:56	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x52700e…
06-17 10:01:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x328638…
06-17 08:31:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd81a05…
06-17 07:57:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3aa468…
06-17 07:54:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb35617…
06-17 04:55:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xbb348c…
06-17 04:36:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf1b6dc…
06-17 04:30:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x550e43…
06-17 01:41:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xdb46e1…
06-17 00:51:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x198e65…
06-16 18:52:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x407dee…
06-16 18:52:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x0bbadd…
06-16 17:08:35	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x6aa9d4…
06-16 14:22:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdbde64…
06-16 08:23:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x0822e0…
06-16 08:13:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0ddc77…
06-16 02:33:31	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xee6046…
06-15 17:41:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x64e659…
06-15 17:29:57	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x216335…
06-15 13:54:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x45e2dc…
06-15 11:57:52	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xddf4d8…
06-15 01:41:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x720d94…
06-14 21:16:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x6b0b93…
06-14 16:57:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xf607e8…
06-14 16:49:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x596dd0…
06-14 10:49:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa84caf…
06-13 13:46:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xdd8f88…
06-13 04:08:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x7379f2…
06-13 01:49:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xea11f1…
06-12 23:08:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa78885…
06-12 22:17:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9f8f62…
06-12 22:17:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x9d7886…
06-12 22:16:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x9726ae…
06-12 20:29:57	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x122733…
06-12 17:34:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x915a5c…
06-12 16:45:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3b53d4…
06-12 16:42:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x117cfc…
06-12 12:42:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x7ecb88…
06-12 12:01:27	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x27abc4…
06-12 11:07:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc1bcd7…
06-12 10:29:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xbabae8…
06-12 10:06:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x7e3956…