Disloyal-Influence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$199

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-09 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 50% +$5

Tech

10% — —

Other

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$20	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 15:45
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 15:55
btc updown 5m 1776808500	5	$12	13	6	+6	open	—	04-21 22:00
btc updown 5m 1776809100	6	$10	16	15	+1	open	—	04-21 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776814500	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$7	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$7	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:32
btc updown 5m 1776808800	5	$7	8	7	+0	open	—	04-21 22:05
btc updown 5m 1776814200	3	$7	8	4	+4	open	—	04-21 23:34
btc updown 5m 1776810000	4	$6	9	9	+1	open	—	04-21 22:24
btc updown 5m 1776809400	6	$6	101	4	+97	open	—	04-21 22:14
btc updown 5m 1776815400	3	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	04-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 15:47
eth updown 5m 1776815700	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 00:00
btc updown 5m 1776810900	4	$5	10	10	+1	open	—	04-21 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776809700	4	$4	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	04-21 22:19
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 23:02
eth updown 5m 1776810300	2	$4	9	8	+1	open	—	04-21 22:29
btc updown 5m 1776812700	3	$4	8	5	+2	open	—	04-21 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$4	120	20	+100	Up	$-0	05-09 15:38
eth updown 5m 1776811200	3	$3	132	0	+132	open	—	04-21 22:43
btc updown 5m 1776816000	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-22 00:05
eth updown 15m 1776811500	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 22:57
btc updown 5m 1776813300	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 23:17
btc updown 5m 1776813000	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 23:11
btc updown 5m 1776815700	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 23:58
btc updown 5m 1776814800	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 23:41
btc updown 5m 1776813600	2	$2	6	5	+0	open	—	04-21 23:24
eth updown 5m 1776810600	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa3fb15…
05-09 15:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfced0f…
05-09 15:46:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc5cf6f…
05-09 15:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x07374a…
05-09 15:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xae71c3…
05-09 15:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b79a1…
05-09 15:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1e0bea…
05-09 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4dcd78…
05-09 15:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x2ca18d…
05-09 15:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x24a0e3…
05-09 15:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xd7b5ab…
05-09 15:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xcc9c3e…
05-09 15:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x76abcc…
05-09 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeea26d…
05-09 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	27¢	$4	0x4188ee…
05-09 15:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0b11d6…
05-09 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2081b2…
05-09 15:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfa570e…
05-09 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x206526…
05-09 15:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf3f9db…
04-22 00:05:04	btc updown 5m 1776816000	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x6507b8…
04-22 00:00:18	eth updown 5m 1776815700	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9bc28…
04-21 23:59:16	eth updown 5m 1776815700	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x17cbcd…
04-21 23:58:04	btc updown 5m 1776815700	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x2bcd96…
04-21 23:57:06	btc updown 5m 1776815700	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x33a6e1…
04-21 23:55:22	btc updown 5m 1776815400	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4688aa…
04-21 23:54:12	btc updown 5m 1776815400	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf52f0d…
04-21 23:50:44	btc updown 5m 1776815400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa4383…
04-21 23:45:58	btc updown 5m 1776815100	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1e3336…
04-21 23:41:12	btc updown 5m 1776814800	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x469cc5…
04-21 23:40:42	btc updown 5m 1776814800	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1289c5…
04-21 23:39:16	btc updown 5m 1776814500	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x1cbb5b…
04-21 23:38:42	btc updown 5m 1776814500	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xdc6da4…
04-21 23:34:18	btc updown 5m 1776814200	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x99a955…
04-21 23:31:10	btc updown 5m 1776814200	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x837897…
04-21 23:30:48	btc updown 5m 1776814200	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1fb121…
04-21 23:25:58	btc updown 5m 1776813900	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf23982…
04-21 23:24:54	btc updown 5m 1776813600	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb9928c…
04-21 23:23:52	btc updown 5m 1776813600	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x0ce164…
04-21 23:17:18	btc updown 5m 1776813300	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x825c1d…
04-21 23:16:06	btc updown 5m 1776813300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa20bf5…
04-21 23:11:34	btc updown 5m 1776813000	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x380e4c…
04-21 23:11:12	btc updown 5m 1776813000	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc73bee…
04-21 23:08:18	btc updown 5m 1776812700	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6f270a…
04-21 23:07:28	btc updown 5m 1776812700	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x1a4a55…
04-21 23:06:52	btc updown 5m 1776812700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x51f244…
04-21 23:03:50	btc updown 15m 1776812400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5718b5…
04-21 23:02:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x1ed111…
04-21 22:57:32	btc updown 15m 1776811500	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63d7e2…
04-21 22:57:18	eth updown 15m 1776811500	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0xd1eb75…
04-21 22:55:18	eth updown 15m 1776811500	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x89d384…
04-21 22:51:56	btc updown 5m 1776811800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa1b169…
04-21 22:51:24	btc updown 5m 1776811800	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x446b01…
04-21 22:43:56	eth updown 5m 1776811200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f7da3…
04-21 22:43:26	eth updown 5m 1776811200	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9bac00…
04-21 22:42:38	eth updown 5m 1776811200	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0bffe8…
04-21 22:39:52	btc updown 5m 1776810900	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xb1ecc9…
04-21 22:38:22	btc updown 5m 1776810900	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb8ea15…
04-21 22:37:48	btc updown 5m 1776810900	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x568bf9…
04-21 22:37:10	btc updown 5m 1776810900	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4f7213…
04-21 22:33:10	eth updown 5m 1776810600	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xebe522…
04-21 22:32:30	eth updown 5m 1776810600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe55f22…
04-21 22:29:14	eth updown 5m 1776810300	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x01006e…
04-21 22:29:04	eth updown 5m 1776810300	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x749834…
04-21 22:24:20	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x4c704b…
04-21 22:23:50	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa4c5ec…
04-21 22:22:24	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5b415a…
04-21 22:21:22	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd565a4…
04-21 22:19:18	btc updown 5m 1776809700	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b9352…
04-21 22:17:32	btc updown 5m 1776809700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe5dd6c…
04-21 22:15:38	btc updown 5m 1776809700	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xec8a68…
04-21 22:15:24	btc updown 5m 1776809700	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x903985…
04-21 22:14:34	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd01dde…
04-21 22:14:12	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc67a22…
04-21 22:13:22	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xef3f4a…
04-21 22:12:44	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0ff281…
04-21 22:12:20	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x6242ec…
04-21 22:11:26	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1fee28…
04-21 22:09:32	btc updown 5m 1776809100	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x900f1c…
04-21 22:09:08	btc updown 5m 1776809100	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x271bb8…
04-21 22:08:48	btc updown 5m 1776809100	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x62c20e…
04-21 22:08:12	btc updown 5m 1776809100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x130e04…
04-21 22:07:56	btc updown 5m 1776809100	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x54b76e…
04-21 22:07:42	btc updown 5m 1776809100	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe90997…
04-21 22:05:04	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf8ec11…
04-21 22:04:10	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x8db11b…
04-21 22:04:02	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x967d3d…
04-21 22:01:04	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb15c27…
04-21 22:00:48	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9c0830…
04-21 22:00:20	btc updown 5m 1776808500	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5f3b9b…
04-21 21:58:38	btc updown 5m 1776808500	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x4a80cd…
04-21 21:57:10	btc updown 5m 1776808500	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x96a4e7…
04-21 21:56:34	btc updown 5m 1776808500	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x218ef7…
04-21 21:55:22	btc updown 5m 1776808500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x942be5…
04-21 21:53:52	btc updown 5m 1776808200	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe02fdd…
04-21 21:52:08	btc updown 5m 1776808200	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x43faf1…
04-21 21:46:48	btc updown 5m 1776807900	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf895c6…
04-21 21:45:58	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd9efb2…
04-21 21:43:28	btc updown 5m 1776807600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4e0f5d…
04-21 21:43:12	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc6015a…