Bronze-Market — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$9.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-18 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

32% 33% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$460	833	833	+0	open	—	05-10 15:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	7	$448	382	382	+0	open	—	05-12 12:23
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$448	316	316	+0	open	—	04-12 17:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	9	$393	352	352	+0	No	$-1	05-10 07:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	6	$355	420	304	+116	open	—	05-13 03:26
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	5	$233	267	267	+0	open	—	04-13 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	2	$230	116	116	+0	open	—	04-21 19:13
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	2	$229	116	116	+0	open	—	04-24 06:52
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$223	113	113	+0	open	—	04-08 19:18
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	2	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	03-27 00:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$217	216	216	+0	No	$-1	05-06 22:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$217	111	111	+0	open	—	04-06 00:32
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$215	112	112	+0	open	—	04-04 09:28
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	9	$215	367	367	+0	open	—	04-22 11:38
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	2	$215	109	109	+0	open	—	03-27 16:01
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$214	114	114	+0	open	—	03-30 20:45
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	7	$213	235	235	+0	open	—	04-24 12:06
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	5	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	04-27 07:00
new stranger things episode released by april 30	3	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	03-20 00:58
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$210	111	111	+0	open	—	03-23 08:39
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	4	$209	106	106	+0	open	—	04-25 02:11
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	3	$203	108	108	+0	open	—	03-23 15:38
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	5	$202	159	159	+0	open	—	03-26 15:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	2	$202	104	104	+0	open	—	04-18 15:43
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$201	106	106	+0	open	—	04-10 04:05
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	3	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-14 12:19
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	04-09 23:05
will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	3	$199	101	101	+0	open	—	03-25 19:00
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$197	101	101	+0	open	—	03-24 19:53
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$197	103	103	+0	open	—	04-03 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xda215d…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xab4920…
05-13 10:59:22	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x77bee6…
05-13 03:26:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$113	0xd24132…
05-13 03:24:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$113	0xfda94c…
05-12 12:23:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	151	6¢	$8	0xbff817…
05-12 09:30:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	151	5¢	$8	0x115909…
05-12 05:06:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0xc15b91…
05-11 19:05:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	4¢	$6	0x466933…
05-11 19:05:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x29f042…
05-11 17:57:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	4¢	$8	0xd4cea5…
05-11 15:11:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$50	0x8543ca…
05-11 15:11:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	56	94¢	$52	0x83bc22…
05-11 10:04:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xd5804f…
05-11 08:57:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	121	94¢	$113	0x9cc85b…
05-11 07:08:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	121	94¢	$113	0xb507c9…
05-10 15:52:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0xe3832f…
05-10 12:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x40df4c…
05-10 12:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2fb8ee…
05-10 07:04:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0xd85060…
05-10 07:04:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x4e1bd9…
05-10 05:17:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x9225d9…
05-09 20:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	3¢	$5	0xee04e9…
05-09 15:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$5	0x79a972…
05-09 11:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x773e3b…
05-09 11:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$85	0x55f68d…
05-09 08:03:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x179537…
05-09 08:03:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x168239…
05-08 21:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$103	0x0e6eb1…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	106	98¢	$103	0x22251c…
05-08 14:00:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x962552…
05-08 12:29:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x2c278a…
05-08 10:16:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0x7e80e2…
05-08 04:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	199	3¢	$6	0xba35ab…
05-08 02:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x7c5876…
05-08 02:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x0aca4e…
05-07 21:59:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0xf52446…
05-07 20:44:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xa6ddfc…
05-07 08:01:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x86bdc7…
05-07 06:02:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	163	4¢	$6	0x671d49…
05-07 04:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x0e53c4…
05-07 04:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xe1af91…
05-06 22:18:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	6¢	$6	0xd84574…
05-06 21:09:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x84b3b3…
05-06 21:09:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0xd847ba…
05-06 18:09:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	180	5¢	$10	0x4c936e…
05-06 13:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	180	5¢	$9	0xd2eb6d…
05-05 11:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	4¢	$2	0x6bc962…
05-05 06:11:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x7b2a21…
05-03 16:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	108	94¢	$102	0xf8217b…
05-03 09:39:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	108	96¢	$103	0xef6705…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0xba163f…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x8d31c7…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$1	0x7d8cea…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x6fb780…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x00f945…
04-30 18:04:00	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	1¢	$4	0xf3f849…
04-30 10:47:58	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$2	0x2952b2…
04-30 08:09:10	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x3ebfb6…
04-30 08:09:08	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$1	0x449270…
04-30 08:09:08	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$1	0x38abb6…
04-29 12:03:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0xb22895…
04-29 12:03:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	3¢	$4	0x9a12f9…
04-29 10:07:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xb5d1c1…
04-29 10:07:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x99d947…
04-29 10:07:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x1c9f17…
04-27 17:26:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$2	0xe8f155…
04-27 17:26:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x20a36c…
04-27 17:26:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x169cec…
04-27 17:26:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x1228a2…
04-27 13:14:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	324	2¢	$6	0x95cb30…
04-27 07:00:24	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xc63b88…
04-27 07:00:24	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9f6f3b…
04-27 07:00:24	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4d7cfe…
04-27 03:06:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x48d05b…
04-27 03:06:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x0f5b22…
04-27 00:33:28	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xbbe81d…
04-26 22:56:44	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x340c6e…
04-26 18:22:24	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xc2bc21…
04-26 18:22:24	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$2	0x7b7db1…
04-26 18:22:24	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x20a92d…
04-26 13:15:12	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	1¢	$4	0xfe3115…
04-26 02:49:08	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	109	4¢	$5	0x366008…
04-25 22:49:46	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xba21b9…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0xbbf4a7…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0x9a78b8…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x3d3b51…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0x2e3b82…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x09dc02…
04-25 14:33:44	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	2¢	$5	0x305036…
04-25 07:53:36	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x8eaa05…
04-25 07:53:36	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x05b2cd…
04-25 05:32:38	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x746dea…
04-25 05:32:38	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x507913…
04-25 05:32:38	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$1	0x3593ed…
04-25 05:32:38	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x0dfdbf…
04-25 02:11:56	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x14fd55…
04-25 02:11:54	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf57cb3…
04-24 22:20:28	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe3fc9…
04-24 22:20:28	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x28a129…