Plastic-Dividend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$158

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-17 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Sports

38% 0% $-1

Politics

4% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+7	$2	20¢	$1	$-1	05-28 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	05-16 22:50
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-04 12:40
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	3	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 16:09
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 19:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$5	70	0	+70	open	—	05-12 18:05
nba okc den 2026 04 10	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	04-10 17:48
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	04-10 17:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 19:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-11 06:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	06-17 12:17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 16:06
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 18:23
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-03 11:01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 22:38
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-25 21:32
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-29 09:52
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-28 20:37
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 09:10
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-28 20:31
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 16:06
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-09 18:01
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-17 18:59
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 21:52
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 09:09
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-12 20:19
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 21:52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 21:18
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-24 21:35
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-23 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:17:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeb5cd3…
06-15 13:09:40	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x452f2a…
06-12 20:19:24	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9167d3…
06-04 12:40:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x9aea3f…
06-03 11:01:52	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5eee90…
05-28 20:37:17	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2b126c…
05-28 20:31:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x9f45e2…
05-25 21:32:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbd9c4b…
05-24 21:35:43	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xad203c…
05-24 21:34:52	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcaa03e…
05-23 18:21:58	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x320263…
05-22 20:51:21	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc673bd…
05-20 21:18:35	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x47061f…
05-19 21:52:41	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeee601…
05-19 21:52:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbad7ec…
05-17 18:59:44	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x02b507…
05-16 22:50:23	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xae4832…
05-16 22:38:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8040a9…
05-15 09:10:49	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x519af1…
05-15 09:09:23	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5d78e9…
05-15 09:08:50	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd7498f…
05-12 18:05:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xee8efc…
05-12 18:05:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x332b9a…
05-12 18:04:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x09485d…
05-12 18:03:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa1528a…
05-11 17:36:35	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe4d3c5…
05-11 17:35:55	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa0d12a…
05-09 18:01:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4bd420…
05-04 15:46:18	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x63e4b0…
04-29 09:52:18	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x02ab07…
04-29 09:46:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xacfe9f…
04-15 19:13:30	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x4dd9bb…
04-13 19:32:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2775a0…
04-13 18:23:13	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x020125…
04-13 11:18:07	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5edf78…
04-13 06:56:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x343dfe…
04-12 16:09:35	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x254ee1…
04-12 16:06:59	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x33ef61…
04-12 16:06:49	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x212f54…
04-12 16:06:35	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf42962…
04-12 16:00:39	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x663131…
04-11 06:35:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x95e0bb…
04-10 17:48:49	nba okc den 2026 04 10	Thunder	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfba819…
04-10 17:22:49	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa4a47a…
04-10 17:20:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4386c2…