Pleasant-Tapioca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-09 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 100% +$1

Sports

13% 0% $-0

Other

12% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No		+11	$9	82¢	$9	$-0	06-08 07:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	10	$66	38	38	+0	open	—	03-20 03:11
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$58	31	31	+0	open	—	03-19 12:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	03-19 19:56
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	03-16 19:55
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	03-06 09:55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	03-19 07:41
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$30	16	16	+0	No	$-0	03-19 19:25
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	29	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	02-26 13:07
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-29 17:00
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-24 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	06-02 19:52
bitcoin up or down march 10 2pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 18:57
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 15:53
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	4	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	02-23 07:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 01:56
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-24 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8am et	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	03-25 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-20 11:52
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-13 20:54
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-01 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-26 05:50
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	02-03 23:26
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8am et	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-12 12:56
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-20 16:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 10pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-28 02:50
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 12pm et	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-23 16:50
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-31 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-28 07:57
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 7pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-27 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:35:39	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xb392c2…
06-10 00:19:46	mlb sea bal 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xc288e3…
06-09 04:04:19	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xc0a484…
06-09 04:04:15	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x31fce7…
06-09 01:23:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfea4c3…
06-08 07:47:13	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x069fed…
06-07 20:57:31	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x7cf32a…
06-07 20:02:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x2b7e6c…
06-07 19:54:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xe3a52e…
06-06 17:34:13	mlb sea det 2026 06 06	Seattle Mariners	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x4b683a…
06-06 02:20:34	wnba phx por 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0de1c5…
06-06 02:20:33	wnba phx por 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0ca5e4…
06-05 01:26:40	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04 total 165pt5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6bc819…
06-05 01:26:39	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04 total 165pt5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9cf6f0…
06-04 00:35:06	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	16	48¢	$7	0xb6bafd…
06-03 01:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x024eac…
06-02 19:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xc122b5…
06-02 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x832a31…
06-01 21:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x53a190…
06-01 07:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8e2de4…
05-31 19:06:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9458c…
05-29 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x97abbc…
05-29 17:00:20	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xf49eeb…
05-29 11:19:34	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5f31d2…
05-29 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d5e1e…
05-28 16:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x699911…
05-28 07:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7ad866…
05-27 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a4ec7…
05-26 08:47:21	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xeaa371…
05-26 05:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa64d62…
05-20 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xba9b49…
05-20 02:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x76d923…
05-19 20:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0d389b…
05-19 07:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x06c899…
05-19 01:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xce0598…
05-18 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63e83d…
05-17 22:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x344909…
05-17 12:11:11	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x198efc…
05-17 10:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcd3007…
05-17 03:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x08fa41…
05-16 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3b1655…
05-15 22:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9dc980…
05-15 18:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4a8a9d…
05-15 17:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7809e9…
05-15 09:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02b7a7…
05-15 08:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8c8c5…
05-15 05:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc9149…
05-15 03:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5aee1…
05-15 02:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2a5397…
05-15 00:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x86ee4d…
05-14 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xd5481c…
05-14 18:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x19a42d…
05-14 11:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e49c8…
05-13 18:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xebf324…
04-29 11:23:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4084f3…
04-29 11:05:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x12d1f5…
04-26 03:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb9af2a…
04-25 12:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x81755b…
04-25 05:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x45e067…
04-24 22:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x33e57f…
04-24 11:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b1ec8…
04-24 10:51:52	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeca584…
04-24 03:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4034d8…
04-23 20:08:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x610c7e…
04-23 14:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84b69b…
04-23 10:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f5a38…
04-23 08:51:04	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x8df3db…
04-23 02:51:56	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c1870…
04-22 22:51:06	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x65fad1…
04-22 21:51:36	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87e1d3…
04-22 19:56:10	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4e7ed7…
04-22 16:50:30	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbd9cef…
04-22 13:05:04	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x56ffcb…
04-21 21:50:38	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5e91e2…
04-21 17:54:20	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x3e5975…
04-21 13:55:24	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x80a800…
04-21 11:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x80726a…
04-21 09:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa18d08…
04-21 07:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7a6cfb…
04-21 06:50:52	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf971a…
04-21 01:57:14	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a30b8…
04-20 21:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xde80f9…
04-20 19:57:44	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x2f3344…
04-20 16:50:38	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43ad03…
04-20 11:54:44	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3176d2…
04-20 08:54:48	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2fae77…
04-15 08:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9cd354…
04-15 02:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29a36e…
04-14 23:52:20	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x8439af…
04-14 21:58:00	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xadef61…
04-14 18:50:36	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8deb7e…
04-14 14:52:45	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6b065…
04-14 13:50:11	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd26817…
04-14 08:56:03	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd85b9e…
04-14 05:50:17	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae1f8c…
04-14 01:51:41	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4000a5…
04-13 20:54:59	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2252af…
04-13 18:50:17	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xf3a852…
04-13 15:50:21	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2746ee…
04-13 14:50:21	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x5a351f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	180	$6.75K	1,496	06-03 02:02
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	177	$364.2K	55,437	06-03 02:00
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	174	$517	213	06-02 18:01
Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee	164	$862	267	06-03 01:00
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	163	$17.3K	5,814	06-03 01:59
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	162	$12.9K	3,488	06-03 01:33
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	161	$85.9K	6,149	06-02 19:56
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	157	$2.03K	185	06-03 01:12