Polite-Solution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-03 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$0

Politics

27% 100% +$0

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes		+8	$8	37¢	$3	$-5	06-03 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 23:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-20 04:23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-29 04:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 00:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	05-25 04:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 04:24
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 04:24
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-18 04:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 00:16
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 04:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-25 04:35
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-10 23:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-27 04:30
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	54	54	+0	open	—	04-19 16:30
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-14 13:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	06-03 04:06
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-27 04:23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-30 04:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-18 04:25
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-17 04:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 04:27
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 00:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 00:42
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 00:34
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-14 01:03
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-27 03:01
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:42
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:42
will the 1st pick in the 2026 pro football draft be a qb	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 00:41
Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-24 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:06:02	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xdfc0d9…
06-01 04:41:09	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	Anthropic	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x10c3c7…
05-30 04:29:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x96ac0f…
05-29 04:26:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x1597d7…
05-28 04:31:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x814ca3…
05-27 04:30:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x133441…
05-27 04:23:09	Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd73125…
05-25 04:35:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4a11c…
05-25 04:28:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x30038a…
05-23 04:27:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x885325…
05-23 04:26:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6c683f…
05-23 04:24:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x51bf64…
05-23 04:23:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x566439…
05-20 04:23:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6c9cf5…
05-19 04:24:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x44eea6…
05-18 04:27:50	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xb16752…
05-18 04:25:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa38889…
05-17 04:25:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xf4bd76…
05-17 04:23:14	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb4687f…
05-17 04:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa094aa…
05-16 14:56:59	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbac237…
05-15 23:23:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x07db79…
05-10 23:17:41	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc39872…
05-10 00:11:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x9d59db…
04-27 03:01:48	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x93aa5e…
04-25 00:16:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb23625…
04-25 00:16:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x307572…
04-24 06:01:48	Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd4504a…
04-19 16:30:06	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$1	0x0020f6…
04-14 13:49:41	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xab3286…
04-14 13:49:39	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0xb0c927…
04-14 04:28:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xca0a0a…
04-14 01:03:49	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf922b…
04-14 01:03:47	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2413c0…
04-14 00:42:47	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4363cf…
04-14 00:42:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd4046b…
04-14 00:42:39	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7924a0…
04-14 00:42:17	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08f26a…
04-14 00:41:55	will the 1st pick in the 2026 pro football draft be a qb	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4b24c9…
04-14 00:34:55	Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb01de5…