Upset-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

156

Trades

5,725

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-10 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-175

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 918 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	22	$233	320	0	+320	Down	$-233	05-11 15:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	21	$203	273	0	+273	Up	$-203	05-12 12:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	18	$160	203	0	+203	Up	+$43	05-12 11:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	16	$157	199	0	+199	Up	+$41	05-12 11:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	17	$157	207	0	+207	Down	+$39	05-12 09:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	18	$155	186	0	+186	Down	+$31	05-11 21:09
btc updown 15m 1775151000	12	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 17:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	19	$140	199	0	+199	Down	+$28	05-12 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	11	$128	161	100	+61	Down	$-39	05-12 10:39
btc updown 15m 1775154600	15	$124	118	113	+4	open	—	04-02 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	10	$122	3,858	22	+3,836	Up	$-61	05-12 10:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	20	$120	178	52	+126	Up	$-91	05-12 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	9	$102	329	0	+329	Down	$-35	05-12 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	10	$95	119	0	+119	Up	+$24	05-12 11:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	12	$93	115	110	+5	Up	$-49	05-12 11:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	8	$91	229	0	+229	Down	+$65	05-12 10:14
btc updown 15m 1775295900	12	$91	55	54	+1	open	—	04-04 10:01
btc updown 15m 1775294100	13	$88	66	65	+1	open	—	04-04 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	8	$88	739	0	+739	Down	$-74	05-12 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	8	$88	134	0	+134	Down	+$14	05-12 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	27	$81	350	0	+350	Down	+$269	05-11 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	8	$76	95	0	+95	Up	+$19	05-12 10:54
btc updown 15m 1774870200	20	$72	75	60	+15	open	—	03-30 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$72	80	0	+80	Down	+$8	05-12 11:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	7	$72	101	0	+101	Down	+$5	05-12 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$71	74	0	+74	Down	+$3	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	12	$70	110	0	+110	Down	+$29	05-12 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	9	$70	91	89	+2	Up	$-40	05-12 11:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	11	$69	100	0	+100	Up	+$31	05-12 09:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	11	$68	110	0	+110	Down	$-35	05-12 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 10:30:19	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x47e115…
06-10 10:29:34	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa5c5bb…
06-10 10:23:28	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x59666d…
06-10 10:23:28	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x4c0bbd…
06-10 10:23:28	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x31c790…
06-10 10:15:21	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x463f71…
06-10 10:12:46	btc updown 15m 1781085600	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xfea561…
06-10 10:12:43	btc updown 15m 1781085600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcfa30c…
06-09 12:03:51	btc updown 5m 1781030400	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x95df7d…
06-09 12:03:51	btc updown 5m 1781030400	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x57f483…
06-09 12:01:09	btc updown 5m 1781030400	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xea68ee…
06-09 12:01:09	btc updown 5m 1781030400	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x6572e9…
06-09 12:00:39	btc updown 5m 1781030400	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xa3350e…
06-09 12:00:39	btc updown 5m 1781030400	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x081bf1…
06-03 20:49:40	eth updown 5m 1780519800	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x78b0fe…
06-03 20:47:36	eth updown 5m 1780519500	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x559f49…
06-03 20:47:33	eth updown 5m 1780519500	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x02df25…
06-03 20:44:54	eth updown 5m 1780519500	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x8f67b4…
06-03 20:43:18	eth updown 5m 1780519200	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x6ed477…
06-03 20:40:06	eth updown 5m 1780519200	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xb6ec55…
06-03 20:40:06	eth updown 5m 1780519200	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x74d98a…
06-03 20:34:48	eth updown 5m 1780518900	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x1661cc…
06-03 20:32:33	eth updown 5m 1780518600	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x9831f7…
06-03 20:30:06	eth updown 5m 1780518600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa8c2d1…
06-03 20:29:51	eth updown 5m 1780518600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9eb31d…
06-03 20:27:52	eth updown 5m 1780518600	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xb59d95…
06-03 20:25:37	eth updown 5m 1780518300	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x21fb43…
06-03 20:22:33	eth updown 5m 1780518000	Down	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x69eafa…
06-03 20:18:07	eth updown 5m 1780518000	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x997fec…
06-03 20:16:16	eth updown 5m 1780518000	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x28a0b6…
06-03 20:14:36	eth updown 5m 1780517700	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xcb5072…
06-03 20:14:16	eth updown 5m 1780517700	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9be831…
06-03 20:09:13	eth updown 5m 1780517400	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x386c1c…
06-03 20:05:03	eth updown 5m 1780517100	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xfc5c4b…
06-03 20:05:03	eth updown 5m 1780517100	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x398c3e…
06-03 20:02:34	eth updown 5m 1780516800	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x07204b…
06-03 20:00:01	eth updown 5m 1780516800	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x920829…
06-03 19:59:37	eth updown 5m 1780516800	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xd46ec5…
06-03 19:57:55	eth updown 5m 1780516800	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xc299f6…
06-03 19:54:22	eth updown 5m 1780516500	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x41a923…
06-03 19:46:16	eth updown 5m 1780516200	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x0bff4e…
06-03 19:44:40	eth updown 5m 1780515600	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x065678…
06-03 19:44:22	eth updown 5m 1780515900	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xb97f75…
06-03 19:38:24	eth updown 5m 1780515600	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xeda389…
06-03 19:35:06	eth updown 5m 1780515300	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xe0c414…
06-03 19:35:04	eth updown 5m 1780515300	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe59520…
06-03 19:29:55	eth updown 5m 1780515000	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x8eb300…
06-03 19:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xd106bb…
06-03 19:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x4a2df9…
06-03 19:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xe5a298…
06-03 19:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xd998b5…
06-03 19:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x84ab30…
06-03 19:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xbc2f17…
06-03 19:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x869930…
06-03 19:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x303680…
06-03 19:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xce04e2…
06-03 19:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe8a186…
06-03 19:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x86050c…
06-03 19:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x321567…
06-03 19:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x192c5e…
06-03 18:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x97e061…
06-03 18:54:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xfb097e…
06-03 18:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x753038…
06-03 18:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x8fdbbf…
06-03 18:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xc88b56…
06-03 18:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x4a31ec…
06-03 18:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x04e0d4…
06-03 18:34:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x22747a…
06-03 18:33:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x975111…
06-03 18:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x79ddd6…
06-03 18:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x7ab608…
06-03 18:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xe879ef…
06-03 18:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xd6d860…
06-03 18:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0c582b…
06-03 18:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xfbd09c…
06-03 18:18:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0xf008a7…
06-03 18:16:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xcc099c…
06-03 18:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x6089a9…
06-03 18:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x2b30d8…
06-03 18:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xb9becd…
06-03 18:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4dac3f…
06-03 18:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x91863e…
06-03 17:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x9604c7…
06-03 15:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x2540b8…
06-03 15:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x0050c3…
06-03 15:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x0a9348…
06-03 15:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x393599…
06-03 15:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xf19025…
06-03 14:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc03069…
06-03 14:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x2b73f9…
06-03 14:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xb80755…
06-03 14:47:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x6192df…
06-03 14:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x4c3c08…
06-03 14:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xed6e67…
06-03 14:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x7bb74d…
06-03 14:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x91ffc3…
06-03 14:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x7b5762…
06-03 14:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x3169de…
06-03 14:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xed5a56…
06-03 14:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xb89e9d…