Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$36,719

Trades

2,826

Unique wallets

360

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-08-03

First seen

2026-08-03

last 08-03 21:07

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Lively-Authenticity +6,270 Gargantuan-Operation +2,308 Phony-Slider +2,000 Popular-Insurrection +1,589 Haunting-Cheese +1,174 Upbeat-Necktie +1,109 Triangular-Pea +1,051 Unlawful-Shear +964

NO holders

Lively-Authenticity +5,735 Elated-Lentil +2,175 Popular-Insurrection +1,399 Finished-Freezer +1,103 (anon) +1,055 Upbeat-Necktie +955 Unlawful-Shear +945 (anon) +758

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +5.4¢ (top1%: 39% YES on $18.6K vs crowd: 33% YES on $32.3K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	46	$8.2K	$13.2K	$5.0K
🐬 Dolphin	68	$1.6K	$5.9K	$4.3K
🐟 Fish	175	$692	$2.0K	$1.3K
🦐 Shrimp	71	$209	$430	$221

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	47	$7.2K	$11.4K	$4.2K
🏆 Top 5%	26	$309	$2.3K	$2.0K
✅ Top 10%	29	$144	$216	$71
Median	50	$34	$403	$370
Below median	112	$487	$1.3K	$776
⚠️ Bottom 10%	33	$123	$843	$721
🔻 Bottom 5%	42	$597	$1.8K	$1.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	21	$1.9K	$3.3K	$1.5K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+6,270	$2,596	$2,596	145	08-03 20:54
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+5,735	$3,748	$3,748	48	08-03 20:56
Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996	Up	+2,308	$24	$24	61	08-03 21:00
Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6	Down	+2,175	$2,172	$2,172	6	08-03 21:07
Phony-Slider 0x0be5…cf29	Up	+2,000	$980	$980	19	08-03 20:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+1,589	$498	$498	103	08-03 20:53
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+1,399	$445	$445	90	08-03 20:52
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Up	+1,174	$17	$17	59	08-03 20:55
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	Up	+1,109	$539	$539	35	08-03 20:56
Finished-Freezer 0x5a06…201b	Down	+1,103	$980	$980	9	08-03 20:51
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Down	+1,055	$1,045	$1,045	1	08-03 20:59
Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181	Up	+1,051	$725	$725	67	08-03 20:53
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+964	$472	$472	152	08-03 20:54
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	Down	+955	$364	$364	51	08-03 20:50
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+945	$484	$484	167	08-03 20:56
(anonymous) 0x7cd2…3079	Up	+887	$438	$438	33	08-03 20:56
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	Up	+806	$406	$406	32	08-03 20:50
(anonymous) 0x7cd2…3079	Down	+758	$294	$294	40	08-03 20:50
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+729	$310	$310	10	08-03 20:49
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+707	$175	$175	73	08-03 20:52
Fresh-Expression 0x9f84…e957	Up	+705	$178	$178	22	08-03 20:53
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+703	$472	$472	76	08-03 20:58
Favorable-Shape 0xfcdc…d8e3	Up	+698	$357	$357	29	08-03 20:49
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	Down	+670	$275	$275	28	08-03 20:50
Fresh-Expression 0x9f84…e957	Down	+633	$322	$322	32	08-03 20:49
Favorable-Shape 0xfcdc…d8e3	Down	+629	$256	$256	34	08-03 20:50
Bossy-Impression 0x7c44…f27f	Down	+538	$500	$500	1	08-03 20:52
Tame-Crude 0xd825…a76e	Down	+514	$462	$462	8	08-03 20:52
(anonymous) 0x7956…b824	Down	+505	$500	$500	1	08-03 20:55
Plain-Bibliography 0x0c7f…afca	Down	+499	$487	$487	21	08-03 20:55
(anonymous) 0xc545…64c5	Up	+470	$177	$227	21	08-03 20:52
Welcome-Creature 0x87ef…dc01	Down	+464	$441	$441	104	08-03 20:58
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Down	+446	$92	$92	9	08-03 20:45
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Up	+424	$115	$115	3	08-03 20:49
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Up	+356	$84	$84	8	08-03 20:49
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	Down	+342	$165	$165	31	08-03 20:56
Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae	Up	+337	$165	$165	36	08-03 20:53
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	Up	+334	$168	$168	22	08-03 20:50
Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae	Down	+325	$151	$151	30	08-03 20:56
(anonymous) 0xc545…64c5	Down	+320	$85	$428	61	08-03 20:51
Bold-Childbirth 0x2817…8748	Down	+304	$300	$300	2	08-03 20:57
Lustrous-Harmony 0xc8ea…7f8d	Up	+250	$5	$5	1	08-03 20:55
Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9	Down	+250	$249	$249	4	08-03 20:59
(anonymous) 0x71ce…637f	Down	+247	$200	$200	1	08-03 20:49
Dry-Instance 0x162e…fe52	Down	+232	$220	$220	8	08-03 20:55
(anonymous) 0xaa5a…a24c	Up	+215	$91	$91	16	08-03 20:50
Intelligent-Tarragon 0xce72…cbef	Down	+208	$100	$100	2	08-03 20:04
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Down	+184	$34	$34	17	08-03 20:20
(anonymous) 0xb883…4ba0	Down	+173	$86	$86	2	08-03 20:04
(anonymous) 0x727b…93f5	Down	+166	$101	$101	16	08-03 20:50
(anonymous) 0x5fc7…cde4	Down	+161	$158	$158	2	08-03 20:56
Celebrated-Suede 0x0ea6…a2ca	Up	+146	$99	$99	1	08-03 20:49
Mundane-Password 0xe819…2a5b	Up	+131	$8	$8	2	08-03 20:53
(anonymous) 0x1044…d67a	Up	+124	$94	$94	1	08-03 20:45
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+115	$56	$56	25	08-03 20:49
Sleepy-Centurion 0x1a60…cc65	Up	+114	$53	$53	1	08-03 20:05
(anonymous) 0xd59d…65b3	Up	+108	$74	$74	5	08-03 20:45
(anonymous) 0x1a61…8560	Up	+107	$86	$86	20	08-03 20:44
(anonymous) 0x3a37…3b1d	Up	+107	$79	$79	8	08-03 20:36
Fair-Philosopher 0x88a9…4906	Up	+102	$51	$51	5	08-03 20:07