Plain-Bibliography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

5,506

Trades

74,304

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-28 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 97% +$849

Other

3% 97% +$289

Sports

0% 80% +$119

Politics

0% 77% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12am et	290	$2.7K	2,851	+2,851	Down	+$116	03-17 04:53
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 4am et	197	$1.8K	1,988	+1,988	Down	-$1,830	03-17 08:52
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	54	$1.7K	1,761	+1,761	Up	+$59	07-23 06:55
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8am et	148	$1.5K	1,506	+1,506	Down	+$51	03-17 12:51
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 8am et	162	$1.4K	1,445	+1,445	Up	+$50	03-16 12:53
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 75m and 80m	137	$1.4K	1,407	+1,407	No	+$37	03-23 11:52
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3am et	136	$1.3K	1,408	+1,408	Down	+$58	03-18 07:51
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 10am et	84	$1.3K	1,291	+1,291	Up	+$31	07-04 14:55
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 uni	124	$1.2K	1,292	+1,292	No	+$52	03-21 14:23
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	118	$1.2K	1,214	+1,214	Down	+$34	03-23 09:52
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10pm et	38	$1.2K	1,218	+1,218	Up	-$1,178	07-24 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2AM ET	56	$1.1K	1,162	+1,162	Up	+$20	09-12 06:54
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 5pm et	114	$1.1K	1,160	+1,160	Up	+$20	03-17 21:52
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2pm et	116	$1.1K	1,171	+1,171	Up	+$46	03-17 18:53
bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 10am et	40	$1.1K	1,149	+1,149	Down	+$28	07-22 14:54
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 8am et	112	$1.1K	1,137	+1,137	Down	+$17	03-24 12:53
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 1pm et	112	$1.1K	1,133	+1,133	Down	+$13	03-24 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 23:30 UTC	65	$1.1K	1,136	+1,136	Down	+$28	06-21 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7PM ET	65	$1.1K	1,120	+1,120	Up	+$18	09-24 23:56
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 9pm et	61	$1.1K	1,121	+1,121	Down	+$24	07-05 01:55
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	47	$1.1K	1,102	+1,102	Up	+$24	08-03 17:55
bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 3am et	35	$1.1K	1,111	+1,111	Down	+$33	07-22 07:54
bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 10am et	43	$1.1K	1,108	+1,108	Up	-$1,075	08-09 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10AM ET	55	$1.1K	1,092	+1,092	Down	+$19	09-11 14:55
bitcoin up or down march 15 12am et	127	$1.0K	1,109	+1,109	Up	+$64	03-15 04:51
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 6am et	53	$1.0K	1,064	+1,064	Down	+$24	06-28 10:53
ethereum up or down july 25 2026 4pm et	59	$1.0K	1,046	+1,046	Down	+$13	07-25 20:55
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1am et	44	$1.0K	1,043	+1,043	Down	+$17	07-01 05:52
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 6am et	102	$1.0K	1,074	+1,074	Down	+$54	03-17 10:51
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	101	$1.0K	1,039	+1,039	Up	+$29	03-25 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xab966a…
10-28 18:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x78694c…
10-28 15:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeb3f29…
10-28 15:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5ee852…
10-28 15:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd22fae…
10-28 15:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd684a2…
10-28 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf7eabd…
10-28 15:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x52d40c…
10-28 15:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x262d57…
10-28 15:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3be426…
10-28 15:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x05b2fa…
10-28 15:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b1404…
10-28 15:50:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdb0e62…
10-28 15:50:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc078be…
10-28 15:50:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b9690…
10-28 15:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd52a60…
10-28 15:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x766b91…
10-28 15:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdfe6f8…
10-28 15:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x333f1a…
10-28 15:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2d87ec…
10-28 15:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x25eb2b…
10-28 15:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5f2eb1…
10-28 15:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe976ef…
10-28 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7ece5a…
10-28 15:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4890f7…
10-28 15:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe2d125…
10-28 15:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2a59fc…
10-28 14:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x666288…
10-28 14:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd61e2a…
10-28 14:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x729c5d…
10-28 14:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc68858…
10-28 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x88b1e4…
10-28 14:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x00a920…
10-28 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x887d02…
10-28 14:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0c4e9f…
10-28 14:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x59668a…
10-28 14:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x58568b…
10-28 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3c343b…
10-28 14:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x741ef6…
10-28 14:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x68a340…
10-28 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf67538…
10-28 13:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbdc04f…
10-28 12:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5ed619…
10-28 12:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3fc400…
10-28 12:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc13fc7…
10-28 12:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5510d3…
10-28 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x936694…
10-28 12:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x694392…
10-28 12:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4d25ac…
10-28 12:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0c3b3f…
10-28 12:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f7b90…
10-28 12:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2ff956…
10-28 12:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xda5d76…
10-28 12:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf61ce7…
10-28 12:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfa565f…
10-28 12:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3c3f0e…
10-28 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x17d4e1…
10-28 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd85888…
10-28 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xde9c22…
10-28 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2ad258…
10-28 12:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb5b06c…
10-28 08:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x61565e…
10-28 08:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x599744…
10-28 08:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb79b93…
10-28 08:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3bb86d…
10-28 08:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4ea3a3…
10-28 08:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1b1347…
10-28 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd5c8d1…
10-28 08:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x86479d…
10-28 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc40f2c…
10-28 06:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x681e02…
10-28 06:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x22be5b…
10-28 06:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x500fcb…
10-28 04:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xca9715…
10-28 04:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa44b6a…
10-28 03:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3d9f15…
10-28 03:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4e30fa…
10-28 03:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa3901…
10-28 03:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3eddf8…
10-28 03:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x579433…
10-28 03:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xeaa013…
10-28 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc40589…
10-28 03:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4331da…
10-28 01:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x301a9c…
10-28 01:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6a2ff4…
10-28 01:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd2eb57…
10-28 01:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x80c945…
10-27 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x450b32…
10-27 12:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x91d383…
10-27 12:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb4ac0a…
10-27 12:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xecfc78…
10-27 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc26ecf…
10-27 12:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x90049c…
10-27 12:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc52294…
10-27 12:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x47ee2b…
10-27 12:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbcfbcc…
10-27 12:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf0ef16…
10-27 12:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb5955e…
10-27 12:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x077f59…
10-27 12:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb5cc53…