Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$256

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 03-09 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

57% 21% -$28

Other

24% 0% -$41

Crypto

17% 0% -$44

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$41	3,734	0	+3,734	No	-$41	03-09 09:57
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	13	$34	8,000	7,000	+1,000	No	-$6	03-04 15:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$28	6,432	6,432	+0	No	-$2	03-03 17:25
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$27	3,333	3,333	+0	No	+$7	03-03 17:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$21	2,667	2,667	+0	No	+$5	01-30 17:07
will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	2	$11	361	361	+0	No	-$9	03-09 08:36
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$10	365	365	+0	No	-$2	03-09 08:35
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	01-30 11:04
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$7	208	208	+0	No	-$3	03-09 08:35
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$7	1,570	0	+1,570	No	-$7	02-12 14:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$6	222	222	+0	No	-$2	03-09 08:36
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$5	01-30 11:26
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	02-02 10:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$5	714	0	+714	No	-$5	03-05 14:44
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	133	0	+133	No	-$5	02-24 15:14
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	79	0	+79	Yes	-$5	02-24 15:14
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	1	$3	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$3	02-06 17:16
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$3	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	02-10 11:26
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$3	03-04 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:45 UTC	1	$3	20	0	+20	Up	-$3	02-12 10:47
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$3	2,845	0	+2,845	No	-$3	03-04 15:40
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$2	02-26 21:42
Will the US strike Venezuela next?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$2	02-06 17:15
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	1	$2	125	0	+125	No	-$2	02-06 17:14
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$2	50	0	+50	No	-$2	02-06 17:13
will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	1	$2	143	0	+143	No	-$2	02-06 17:14
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$1	143	0	+143	Yes	-$1	02-02 10:13
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after february 2026 meeting	1	$1	111	0	+111	No	-$1	02-02 10:17
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	1	$1	36	0	+36	No	-$1	02-06 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-09 09:57:29	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,734	1¢	$41	0xa82259…
03-09 08:36:23	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	361	0¢	$1	0x7c6863…
03-09 08:36:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	222	1¢	$2	0x84c424…
03-09 08:35:49	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0x4956e3…
03-09 08:35:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	312	1¢	$3	0x1e1f3f…
03-05 14:44:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x70660a…
03-04 15:41:13	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x30b9f6…
03-04 15:40:59	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x2a19e0…
03-04 15:40:41	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,845	0¢	$3	0x5b49be…
03-03 17:36:37	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xe18a6b…
03-03 17:33:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x914f36…
03-03 17:30:19	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	361	3¢	$10	0x7364a7…
03-03 17:28:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0x9f79b2…
03-03 17:25:31	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,000	0¢	$14	0x01fe51…
03-03 17:25:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6,432	0¢	$13	0xdc7840…
03-03 17:25:17	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$17	0x1992fe…
02-26 21:42:50	will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x70b54a…
02-24 15:14:44	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x5011dd…
02-24 15:14:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x1d2cab…
02-18 12:18:14	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x4fcf6c…
02-12 14:21:27	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$2	0xf9ae3d…
02-12 10:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa31398…
02-10 11:26:37	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x285cc0…
02-06 17:16:03	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x115f29…
02-06 17:15:45	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd57663…
02-06 17:14:11	will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x81c9c3…
02-06 17:14:03	will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x82992c…
02-06 17:13:35	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x36a057…
02-06 17:13:27	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x61b965…
02-04 12:28:12	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xc463e2…
02-02 10:17:58	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x39418f…
02-02 10:17:38	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd01fd9…
02-02 10:15:10	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x29a9b8…
02-02 10:13:52	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9a1d32…
01-30 17:07:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,667	0¢	$13	0x0a16e7…
01-30 12:09:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,667	0¢	$8	0x96a7ba…
01-30 12:09:38	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xca543b…
01-30 11:57:58	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x608e7e…
01-30 11:57:28	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3691a7…
01-30 11:57:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd7b35d…
01-30 11:26:40	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x16a640…
01-30 11:08:00	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	850	1¢	$5	0x6cbabf…
01-30 11:07:56	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$0	0x3896b3…
01-30 11:07:46	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	711	1¢	$4	0xe43e9d…
01-30 11:07:24	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xe9942b…
01-30 11:06:20	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	209	1¢	$1	0xcf37fc…
01-30 11:06:20	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x589736…
01-30 11:05:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,432	1¢	$10	0x176c9e…
01-30 11:04:26	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x9137bb…
01-30 11:04:18	Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe9fb8e…
01-30 11:02:44	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xd5df3e…
01-30 11:02:36	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x265ecc…
01-30 10:57:26	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xace8d5…