Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$463

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$282

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-25 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

93% 37% +$511

Other

6% 14% -$44

Crypto

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-1,027	-$144	14¢	$-144	$0	10-25 02:42
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes		+540	$140	26¢	$138	-$2	10-25 23:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$402	619	619	+0	Yes	+$143	10-25 22:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$274	601	601	+0	No	-$146	10-25 23:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$247	182	182	+0	Yes	+$7	04-20 22:43
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	1	$200	365	0	+365	Yes	+$165	02-27 21:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$193	1,306	0	+1,306	Yes	+$113	03-25 01:10
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$144	0	1,027	-1,027	open	—	10-25 02:42
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	2	$140	540	0	+540	open	—	10-25 23:45
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$100	179	0	+179	Yes	+$79	02-27 21:38
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$72	139	139	+0	No	-$28	03-30 23:35
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$70	123	0	+123	Yes	+$53	04-06 21:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$67	114	114	+0	No	-$3	03-15 21:11
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$59	195	195	+0	No	+$39	03-04 21:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$51	251	178	+73	No	-$5	03-07 20:13
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$50	139	0	+139	No	-$50	01-31 23:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$40	103	0	+103	Yes	+$63	02-18 16:44
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	3	$27	55	55	+0	Yes	+$3	03-29 22:27
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	2	$26	62	62	+0	No	-$4	03-23 20:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$26	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	03-27 00:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$20	84	0	+84	Yes	+$64	02-27 21:38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$15	79	0	+79	Yes	+$64	02-17 15:10
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$15	45	45	+0	No	-$5	04-10 21:19
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$12	46	46	+0	No	+$2	03-27 00:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	46	0	+46	No	-$10	03-07 20:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$8	118	118	+0	No	-$4	03-12 21:42
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by february 28	1	$8	202	0	+202	No	-$8	02-17 14:58
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	2	$6	83	0	+83	Yes	-$6	03-04 01:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	02-17 14:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	1	$5	128	0	+128	No	-$5	02-18 16:47
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	1	$5	33	0	+33	No	-$5	02-17 14:58
will iran strike pakistan in march	1	$4	24	0	+24	No	-$4	03-05 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:45:57	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	488	26¢	$127	0x40d073…
10-25 23:16:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	601	11¢	$64	0x638b2e…
10-25 22:46:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xf5454e…
10-25 22:44:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xba4ad8…
10-25 22:44:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	327	34¢	$110	0x379dec…
10-25 22:05:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	619	44¢	$272	0xf6caea…
10-25 03:24:30	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x9a6079…
10-25 03:23:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x27f25e…
10-25 03:21:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x0f1fe6…
10-25 02:42:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,027	14¢	$144	0xedabd3…
04-20 22:43:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	182	70¢	$127	0xc43e2f…
04-11 16:34:39	Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf6d123…
04-10 21:19:07	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x221722…
04-09 00:13:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	182	66¢	$120	0xdcbbba…
04-06 21:42:55	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xdc52a0…
04-06 21:42:09	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x7b94a1…
04-05 14:08:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xef59a4…
03-30 23:35:49	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	139	16¢	$22	0xf80e78…
03-29 22:27:14	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	55	27¢	$15	0x717ffa…
03-27 00:25:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$7	0x78892e…
03-27 00:25:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x2ba7e9…
03-25 01:10:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xc73553…
03-23 20:56:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x34d040…
03-23 20:50:27	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0xe4c18f…
03-16 21:29:41	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x367e9b…
03-16 21:29:35	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x3a6124…
03-16 21:29:11	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xd46e63…
03-16 21:26:37	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x2d0c74…
03-15 21:13:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0xb20837…
03-15 21:11:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	114	28¢	$32	0x90d6fd…
03-13 22:56:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x2598ea…
03-13 22:37:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x986bc8…
03-12 21:42:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x363a13…
03-11 19:49:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	157	70¢	$110	0x727700…
03-11 16:48:57	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xb9054c…
03-08 22:50:39	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3a248e…
03-08 22:49:41	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1e6f4d…
03-08 22:48:53	will the bride opening weekend box office be between 10m and 12m	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x5ef3d2…
03-08 22:46:43	will mrbeasts next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5e9c7a…
03-08 22:45:27	will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3dd163…
03-08 13:45:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x77ca63…
03-07 20:13:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x591266…
03-07 20:13:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x5b2fcd…
03-06 23:37:41	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x1a3210…
03-05 21:34:27	will iran strike pakistan in march	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x395d59…
03-05 21:32:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	178	13¢	$23	0x2de364…
03-05 21:20:35	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x840dd3…
03-05 21:20:23	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xbb938b…
03-05 21:15:55	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xe8d2e2…
03-05 21:14:59	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x211d9b…
03-05 21:13:43	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xd67ae0…
03-05 21:11:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0x32b998…
03-04 21:37:59	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	195	25¢	$49	0x0ebc2f…
03-04 12:08:19	will israel strike greater beirut on march 5 2026	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x735f08…
03-04 01:46:21	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1841a6…
03-04 01:32:59	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x72cab3…
03-04 01:30:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0xcef87d…
03-04 01:27:21	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xe890d7…
03-04 01:26:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x31c3f5…
03-01 21:16:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x9f4dcd…
02-28 23:03:59	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xcfb3ff…
02-28 13:07:11	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x34fdc4…
02-28 13:04:51	sea int gen 2026 02 28 int	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf2ca3a…
02-28 12:58:05	zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x438c38…
02-28 12:55:57	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8845ca…
02-28 12:52:51	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xd084a8…
02-27 21:41:27	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$10	0x3eb436…
02-27 21:38:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x00f1de…
02-27 21:38:21	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x2a89b4…
02-27 21:37:17	US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	55¢	$200	0x73c561…
02-27 21:22:17	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xffa7f7…
02-18 16:47:10	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x0699c6…
02-18 16:44:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x361bf4…
02-17 15:23:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0x44612c…
02-17 15:10:59	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x45da7f…
02-17 14:58:37	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by february 28	Yes	BUY	202	4¢	$8	0x196cf7…
02-17 14:58:07	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x250b21…
02-17 14:00:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc20bec…
02-17 14:00:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x7881e3…
01-31 23:55:16	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xbeb4b5…