Identical-Construction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$172

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-11 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$0

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	06-10 16:51
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	$-0	06-11 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	4	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-24 07:55
will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-31 16:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-27 16:51
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-12 12:23
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-11 07:01
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 08:57
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-06 13:44
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 13:17
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-10 16:51
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-03 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-23 11:38
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-09 05:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-07 11:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 10:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 08:49
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-01 08:48
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 13:17
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-24 07:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 12:23
bitcoin above 72k on february 21	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-21 03:27
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 02:06
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-17 16:43
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-23 11:29
ethereum above 1600 on march 7	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-06 13:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-11 17:19
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-04 11:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 13:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-13 04:20
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-08 08:48
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-17 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:11:00	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x807739…
06-10 16:51:57	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x011985…
06-02 16:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19e522…
05-27 16:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2652c…
05-24 06:07:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b048b…
05-19 12:06:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4dc9f2…
05-16 16:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x930a55…
05-15 10:36:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x30ebf3…
05-15 09:51:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x38d544…
05-14 12:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa017f7…
05-13 04:20:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x676e7f…
05-11 17:19:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xec353f…
05-10 13:26:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e7bb6…
04-21 08:57:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b5f66…
04-21 08:49:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x14545e…
04-16 13:17:22	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x092169…
04-16 13:17:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaf7762…
04-12 12:23:35	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3f443…
04-11 07:01:53	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cf566…
04-11 07:01:43	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe25ba6…
04-10 10:36:13	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c4cdb…
04-10 10:09:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x44751a…
04-08 08:48:57	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd71cdc…
04-07 11:29:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x922ac2…
04-04 11:26:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd9c1a8…
04-03 15:31:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5c67ed…
04-03 15:22:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc98a09…
04-01 08:48:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6f4dd8…
03-31 16:51:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd8012…
03-27 11:29:53	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a030a…
03-25 04:56:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c7437…
03-25 04:56:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xefff97…
03-24 08:48:51	will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x047c08…
03-23 11:38:55	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa42db1…
03-23 11:29:51	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb7eb43…
03-17 16:43:43	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5dc557…
03-17 16:25:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd5e533…
03-16 02:15:59	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1da0e5…
03-16 02:06:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdf1c81…
03-16 02:06:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd224e2…
03-09 05:14:21	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd26fb5…
03-09 05:14:11	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5dc4c3…
03-06 13:44:35	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x950689…
03-06 13:44:25	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb88182…
03-04 17:45:45	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0aa4bc…
03-04 17:45:33	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa07d8…
02-25 15:58:28	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4349b6…
02-25 15:58:18	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5927d0…
02-24 07:55:18	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe64776…
02-24 07:29:04	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf10ccf…
02-24 07:10:42	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x47e4b3…
02-24 07:01:50	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x823175…
02-24 07:01:38	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa4ee0b…
02-23 05:23:28	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3378ba…
02-22 07:01:44	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa19c98…
02-21 03:27:04	bitcoin above 72k on february 21	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd272d0…
02-21 03:26:12	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 190 214	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x425c56…
02-20 06:51:50	ethereum above 1600 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e388a…
02-19 17:01:10	bitcoin above 74k on february 20	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc1be54…
02-18 05:14:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ce867…