Cheerful-Nuke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

161

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 87% $-48

Politics

32% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$297	175	175	+0	open	—	05-15 10:30
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$37	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	$-19	05-13 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$18	19	0	+19	Up	+$1	05-13 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	05-13 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$12	18	0	+18	Up	+$6	05-13 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-08 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-07 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-08 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-13 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-13 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-13 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-13 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-13 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	$-7	05-13 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	$-5	05-12 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-08 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:30:30	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0x36de88…
05-15 06:13:34	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x661ef8…
05-15 06:11:46	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x7a1424…
05-15 06:09:56	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xc1f65a…
05-14 19:39:33	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x0db2d6…
05-14 15:20:45	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7c8f88…
05-14 13:35:42	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0xf8f5b2…
05-14 05:09:06	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x19ed99…
05-13 20:37:01	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xb18b89…
05-13 20:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x5dac8c…
05-13 19:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x2f204c…
05-13 18:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xfd72b2…
05-13 17:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xd84d4f…
05-13 15:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf48c79…
05-13 15:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x815688…
05-13 14:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcca223…
05-13 14:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4e9b90…
05-13 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x15b297…
05-13 14:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xced6eb…
05-13 14:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64668f…
05-13 13:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1b7640…
05-13 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbb492b…
05-13 13:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd8bf3f…
05-13 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc4c6a…
05-13 12:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x351f8d…
05-13 12:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfd9a7d…
05-13 12:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x604695…
05-13 12:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6de249…
05-13 12:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9a81d…
05-13 12:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa6566…
05-13 11:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfcbfa7…
05-13 10:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x779795…
05-13 09:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa728dd…
05-13 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc48ec…
05-13 04:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x939d00…
05-13 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb09457…
05-13 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee67e9…
05-13 04:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x75a3d2…
05-13 04:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xca58a7…
05-13 04:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x91547a…
05-13 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7b3fd2…
05-13 03:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25735c…
05-13 03:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef3216…
05-13 03:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb47eb3…
05-13 03:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58bbf5…
05-13 03:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeec0a7…
05-13 02:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x12671b…
05-13 02:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x550a75…
05-13 02:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x61b899…
05-13 02:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2b858a…
05-13 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a5e58…
05-13 02:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9980a1…
05-13 02:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x376e65…
05-13 02:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc8e26b…
05-13 01:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd2b530…
05-13 01:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x015717…
05-13 01:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x10f861…
05-13 01:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc0f408…
05-13 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x84d9ff…
05-13 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa01b47…
05-13 00:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x138e7e…
05-13 00:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e08d6…
05-13 00:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa9ced7…
05-12 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b07a7…
05-12 23:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13ec62…
05-12 23:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc13c68…
05-12 23:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x511390…
05-12 23:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa96a19…
05-12 23:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9eff02…
05-12 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x129013…
05-12 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x395c88…
05-12 23:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad1419…
05-12 22:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1768f…
05-12 22:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x058e57…
05-12 22:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec07f9…
05-12 22:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e3c0f…
05-12 22:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x688480…
05-12 22:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d31fe…
05-12 22:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4444a1…
05-12 21:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5d706…
05-12 21:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x544cb2…
05-12 21:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e7131…
05-12 21:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d4179…
05-12 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9fbc1b…
05-12 21:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6eb624…
05-12 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5152bd…
05-12 20:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0f8acc…
05-12 20:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3e6d97…
05-12 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xcf317a…
05-12 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9b8927…
05-12 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x644ee4…
05-12 19:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2fcaa2…
05-12 19:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb812b5…
05-12 19:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x87519f…
05-12 19:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f0449…
05-12 19:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe96ded…
05-08 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1d6e0e…
05-08 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb3c03b…
05-08 14:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xc587c3…
05-08 14:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x6ecdf8…