Raw-Game — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$225

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-21 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% $-40

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$25	32	+32	Up	$-25	05-12 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	7	$15	26	+26	open	—	05-17 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-12 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$12	20	+20	Down	$-4	05-12 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$11	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-10 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$10	17	+17	Down	$-10	05-12 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$9	14	+14	open	—	05-17 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$8	46	+46	Up	+$2	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$7	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-10 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-17 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$6	9	+9	Down	+$0	05-10 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-10 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	Down	$-6	05-12 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-11 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$5	145	+145	Down	$-5	05-10 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$4	9	+9	open	—	05-17 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-17 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-14 09:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	05-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 09:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	49	+49	Down	$-2	05-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$2	114	+114	Down	$-2	05-10 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	27	+27	Up	$-2	05-10 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	8	+8	Up	$-2	05-10 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	11	+11	Up	$-2	05-10 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-17 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 05:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8ba0c4…
05-20 14:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9dd352…
05-17 21:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x42626d…
05-17 21:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ca732…
05-17 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xeeb43f…
05-17 21:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x323acd…
05-17 21:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xab524d…
05-17 21:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfcac66…
05-17 21:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x72a106…
05-17 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6c0c02…
05-17 21:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe872eb…
05-17 21:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe3fb21…
05-17 20:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8aced9…
05-17 20:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe834d1…
05-17 20:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x17c109…
05-17 20:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa19406…
05-17 20:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xef982f…
05-17 20:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x698c89…
05-17 20:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x656a1a…
05-17 20:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7bd8c2…
05-17 20:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x693bba…
05-17 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf35ca5…
05-17 20:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x906013…
05-17 20:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x38b216…
05-17 20:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x44552a…
05-17 20:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa9fe71…
05-17 20:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa30dd9…
05-17 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5a2ba3…
05-17 12:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x095495…
05-15 13:08:58	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x61e8ff…
05-14 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4ba6b1…
05-14 09:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x004210…
05-14 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x02ff86…
05-14 09:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0fb5d6…
05-14 09:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfe7060…
05-13 11:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbe620f…
05-13 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3ee57e…
05-12 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xae17b4…
05-12 19:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc35829…
05-12 19:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x270cc9…
05-12 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5cfa2d…
05-12 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9e1fd3…
05-12 19:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb17ec4…
05-12 19:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x11353f…
05-12 19:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x016d41…
05-12 11:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdfc7d0…
05-12 11:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xca785d…
05-12 09:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf42f02…
05-12 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcd72c8…
05-12 09:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa816e7…
05-12 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe83ab7…
05-12 09:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc7c175…
05-12 09:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xca0676…
05-12 05:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfa457f…
05-12 05:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x457030…
05-12 05:00:36	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x37da40…
05-11 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x510a0e…
05-11 20:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x797192…
05-11 19:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7a80e9…
05-11 19:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xba95b8…
05-11 17:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd51ee1…
05-11 17:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbfa5d6…
05-11 11:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x099942…
05-10 20:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x247509…
05-10 20:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcbeaf4…
05-10 20:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa4a8aa…
05-10 19:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8964e3…
05-10 19:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xede61f…
05-10 19:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8e5caa…
05-10 19:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x814125…
05-10 19:47:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdbee0b…
05-10 19:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5b1129…
05-10 19:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4293fb…
05-10 19:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x85af10…
05-10 19:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x736346…
05-10 19:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x807cee…
05-10 19:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x96c71c…
05-10 19:00:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x526a07…
05-10 18:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa443ce…
05-10 18:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfe55bd…
05-10 18:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x155121…
05-10 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x59d5c7…
05-10 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x33b8d7…
05-10 18:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x6e387a…
05-10 18:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xeaf5b1…
05-10 18:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x368ea8…
05-10 18:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2e348a…
05-10 18:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x69eb3d…
05-10 18:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x35074d…
05-10 18:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa95d8e…
05-10 18:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x922204…
05-10 18:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7c9da…
05-10 18:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbfd00f…
05-10 18:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x50570d…
05-10 18:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x58863a…
05-10 18:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0e748c…
05-10 18:24:47	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf575c…
05-10 16:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4e936d…
05-10 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3365cc…
05-10 13:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x12f7b5…