Raw-Game — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$36

$36 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-12 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 44% $-5

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes		+7	$2	14¢	$1	$-1	05-07 21:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	Down	$-6	05-12 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	$-5	05-12 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-10 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-10 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-10 20:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	05-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Up	$-1	05-10 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 18:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$1	33	+33	Up	$-1	05-10 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xae17b4…
05-12 19:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc35829…
05-12 19:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x270cc9…
05-12 19:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x11353f…
05-10 20:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa4a8aa…
05-10 19:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8e5caa…
05-10 19:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x85af10…
05-10 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x33b8d7…
05-10 18:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x368ea8…
05-10 18:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0e748c…
05-07 21:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb52363…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$1.55K	50	05-12 19:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$3.95K	38	05-12 19:32
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$835	16	05-12 19:32
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	4	$758	10	05-12 19:31
Blond-Feed-Robe 0xb9c1…2ed1	3	$1.40K	14	05-12 19:32
Unequaled-Cluster 0xe424…2dfb	3	$543	4	05-12 19:22