Humble-Outcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

6,354

Trades

129,813

lifetime

Volume

$1.76M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 09-22 00:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$116,649

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:50 UTC	147	$5.9K	7,791	2,000	+5,791	Up	+$1,559	03-13 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:30 UTC	146	$5.3K	4,826	2,500	+2,326	Down	+$1,938	03-15 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	33	$5.0K	7,706	3,195	+4,512	Up	-$93	05-08 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 22:05 UTC	236	$4.4K	9,497	0	+9,497	Up	-$2,864	03-13 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	147	$4.2K	5,811	3,244	+2,568	Up	+$461	05-08 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	93	$4.2K	6,472	1,179	+5,294	Down	+$514	05-07 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	19	$4.1K	4,890	0	+4,890	Up	-$164	05-07 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	140	$4.1K	2,653	2,653	+0	Down	+$417	05-08 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:25 UTC	293	$4.0K	6,000	2,000	+4,000	Down	+$2,423	03-15 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	144	$4.0K	3,398	1,926	+1,472	Down	+$523	05-08 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:20 UTC	418	$3.9K	15,489	0	+15,489	Down	-$3,917	03-15 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	21	$3.9K	4,915	2,155	+2,761	Up	+$302	05-08 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	136	$3.9K	4,181	2,592	+1,589	Down	+$280	05-08 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	31	$3.9K	2,377	2,377	+0	Down	+$784	05-08 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 22:00 UTC	98	$3.9K	7,500	0	+7,500	Down	-$2,361	03-13 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	114	$3.8K	4,856	2,297	+2,558	Down	+$737	04-27 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	80	$3.8K	3,503	3,120	+383	Up	+$904	04-27 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	240	$3.7K	5,473	3,177	+2,296	Down	-$443	05-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	189	$3.7K	4,486	2,746	+1,740	Down	+$243	05-07 21:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:45 UTC	172	$3.7K	4,500	1,500	+3,000	Down	+$1,881	03-15 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 17:30 UTC	158	$3.6K	7,000	2,406	+4,593	Down	+$143	03-13 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:55 UTC	209	$3.6K	5,000	2,500	+2,500	Down	-$860	03-15 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	107	$3.6K	6,311	3,769	+2,542	Up	+$71	05-08 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	113	$3.6K	4,791	1,633	+3,158	Up	+$52	05-07 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC	244	$3.6K	5,000	2,000	+3,000	Up	+$1,830	03-15 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	57	$3.5K	4,041	1,575	+2,466	Up	+$596	05-07 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:20 UTC	177	$3.5K	2,919	2,498	+421	Down	+$734	03-15 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:55 UTC	199	$3.5K	6,028	1,000	+5,029	Down	+$1,150	03-13 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	177	$3.5K	4,832	3,659	+1,173	Up	+$127	05-07 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:15 UTC	103	$3.4K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	Up	+$650	03-15 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 00:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xb9cecf…
09-22 00:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x7938ea…
09-21 19:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfdd8f3…
09-21 19:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	53	27¢	$14	0xf1e256…
09-21 19:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	53	27¢	$14	0x323421…
09-21 19:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	45	32¢	$14	0xab3360…
09-21 19:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x49d83d…
09-21 19:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	187	8¢	$14	0x64cd9a…
09-21 19:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	42	34¢	$14	0x36a1ef…
09-21 19:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x1cd6b7…
09-21 18:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$14	0x1dc99f…
09-21 18:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x7a5745…
09-21 18:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x8e8a9e…
09-21 18:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x632eff…
09-21 18:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	68	21¢	$14	0xef3135…
09-21 18:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x76fab4…
09-21 18:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x699f1d…
09-21 10:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x824a8a…
09-21 10:04:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0x104ec8…
09-21 09:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xb72cc7…
09-21 09:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xb6e7a6…
09-21 09:46:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x97ba2e…
09-21 09:45:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x846c8c…
09-21 09:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x21e152…
09-21 09:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	34¢	$14	0x3d242f…
09-21 09:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x29e942…
09-21 09:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xfa6817…
09-21 09:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xf506a5…
09-21 08:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xaf8606…
09-21 08:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	34	43¢	$14	0x389b20…
09-21 07:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x3066e3…
09-21 07:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x6dd426…
09-21 03:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	409	5¢	$20	0x407741…
09-21 03:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	352	6¢	$20	0x63727b…
09-21 03:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0x526049…
09-21 03:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xd89053…
09-21 03:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x0f1af6…
09-21 03:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	328	60¢	$197	0xfdb7d1…
09-21 03:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x4988a2…
09-21 03:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x21b13d…
09-21 03:47:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x1a9aa7…
09-21 03:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	198	25¢	$50	0x63544a…
09-21 03:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x5254c4…
09-21 03:45:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xb308bf…
09-21 03:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xf6f3b6…
09-21 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x9caf98…
09-21 03:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x6e80e8…
09-21 03:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe2a7a4…
09-21 03:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0x2b7495…
09-21 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xca8419…
09-21 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa722a1…
09-21 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x672f54…
09-21 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5cda03…
09-21 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x35e6ac…
09-21 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0x0ec7ec…
09-21 03:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x3d53af…
09-21 03:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	559	45¢	$250	0x6c1abe…
09-21 03:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x25df88…
09-21 03:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	617	8¢	$50	0xda05a6…
09-21 03:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	232	22¢	$50	0x980140…
09-21 03:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xb4a094…
09-21 03:37:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0x21d9c7…
09-21 03:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	587	37¢	$215	0xf57f36…
09-14 19:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	572	44¢	$250	0xd91af6…
09-14 19:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x2489b4…
09-14 19:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	323	15¢	$50	0x29ab3b…
09-14 19:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xc8818f…
09-14 19:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	258	19¢	$50	0x59778b…
09-14 19:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x7af1f4…
09-14 19:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x5943ec…
09-14 19:48:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xd79435…
09-14 19:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xf5e11e…
09-14 19:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	449	56¢	$250	0x42c123…
09-14 19:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xd20fc4…
09-14 19:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	370	68¢	$250	0x75f240…
09-14 19:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	352	71¢	$250	0x984760…
09-14 19:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	344	73¢	$250	0x52c291…
09-14 19:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	685	73¢	$500	0x2ced8e…
09-14 19:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	300	83¢	$250	0x7fed22…
09-14 19:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xafbd81…
09-14 19:35:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	506	49¢	$250	0xbad0ec…
09-14 19:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x097196…
09-14 19:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x6e0ae8…
09-14 19:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x3a1240…
09-14 19:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x84eb72…
09-14 19:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x392821…
09-14 19:32:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2a26e5…
09-14 19:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xa90313…
09-14 19:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	384	65¢	$250	0xce5448…
09-14 19:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0x331d33…
09-14 19:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x374eec…
09-14 19:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xf9179c…
09-14 19:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa5ab4b…
09-14 19:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x10cc15…
09-14 19:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x319697…
09-13 13:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0x579a37…
09-13 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x1de190…
09-13 02:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xddfb3c…
05-29 06:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,478	1¢	$15	0x040145…
05-29 05:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xae3498…