Humble-Outcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

1,325

Trades

129,535

lifetime

Volume

$1.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-29 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-31,291

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 14398 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773438600	147	$5.9K	7,791	2,000	+5,791	open	—	03-13 21:54
btc updown 5m 1773585000	146	$5.3K	4,826	2,500	+2,326	open	—	03-15 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	33	$5.0K	7,706	3,195	+4,512	Up	$-93	05-08 00:19
btc updown 5m 1773439500	236	$4.4K	9,497	0	+9,497	open	—	03-13 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	147	$4.2K	5,811	3,244	+2,568	Up	+$461	05-08 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	93	$4.2K	6,472	1,179	+5,294	Down	+$514	05-07 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	19	$4.1K	4,890	0	+4,890	Up	$-164	05-07 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	140	$4.1K	2,653	2,653	+0	Down	+$417	05-08 01:08
btc updown 5m 1773537900	293	$4.0K	6,000	2,000	+4,000	open	—	03-15 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	144	$4.0K	3,398	1,926	+1,472	Down	+$523	05-08 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773541200	418	$3.9K	15,489	0	+15,489	open	—	03-15 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	21	$3.9K	4,915	2,155	+2,761	Up	+$302	05-08 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	136	$3.9K	4,181	2,592	+1,589	Down	+$280	05-08 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	31	$3.9K	2,377	2,377	+0	Down	+$784	05-08 00:53
btc updown 5m 1773439200	98	$3.9K	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	03-13 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	114	$3.8K	4,856	2,297	+2,558	open	—	04-27 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	80	$3.8K	3,503	3,120	+383	open	—	04-27 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	240	$3.7K	5,473	3,177	+2,296	Down	$-443	05-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	189	$3.7K	4,486	2,746	+1,740	Down	+$243	05-07 21:04
eth updown 5m 1773585900	172	$3.7K	4,500	1,500	+3,000	open	—	03-15 14:49
btc updown 5m 1773423000	158	$3.6K	7,000	2,406	+4,593	open	—	03-13 17:34
btc updown 5m 1773539700	209	$3.6K	5,000	2,500	+2,500	open	—	03-15 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	107	$3.6K	6,311	3,769	+2,542	Up	+$71	05-08 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	113	$3.6K	4,791	1,633	+3,158	Up	+$52	05-07 20:49
btc updown 5m 1773540600	244	$3.6K	5,000	2,000	+3,000	open	—	03-15 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	57	$3.5K	4,041	1,575	+2,466	Up	+$596	05-07 20:03
btc updown 5m 1773584400	177	$3.5K	2,919	2,498	+421	open	—	03-15 14:24
btc updown 5m 1773438900	199	$3.5K	6,028	1,000	+5,029	open	—	03-13 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	177	$3.5K	4,832	3,659	+1,173	Up	+$127	05-07 18:39
btc updown 5m 1773537300	103	$3.4K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	open	—	03-15 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 06:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,478	1¢	$15	0x040145…
05-29 05:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xae3498…
05-29 05:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x68463a…
05-29 05:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	67	74¢	$49	0x1fe1bf…
05-29 05:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x5962be…
05-29 05:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xbf1796…
05-29 05:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	432	3¢	$13	0xe898f3…
05-29 05:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	637	3¢	$19	0xadb0d3…
05-29 05:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x33cc3a…
05-29 05:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf12abf…
05-29 05:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xcaab7b…
05-29 05:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7bbd93…
05-29 05:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x3b537d…
05-29 05:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x2b9472…
05-29 05:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	145	8¢	$12	0x5d6eeb…
05-29 05:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	92	12¢	$11	0xfba9b2…
05-29 05:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x04ee8b…
05-29 05:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0x238d4c…
05-29 05:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x2ef92b…
05-29 04:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	196	15¢	$29	0x7ea765…
05-29 04:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xe15d44…
05-29 04:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0xdf4c50…
05-29 04:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x634ff0…
05-29 04:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x09db3f…
05-29 04:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0x9a499a…
05-29 04:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	82	60¢	$49	0x1ea059…
05-29 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	12¢	$12	0xf75b20…
05-29 04:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x3cd73a…
05-29 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	832	6¢	$50	0xc7bf6f…
05-29 04:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	304	16¢	$49	0x34328a…
05-29 04:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0xd8cfcd…
05-29 04:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x05b75e…
05-29 04:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0xcb5ad0…
05-29 04:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf525b2…
05-29 04:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x96b593…
05-29 04:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	66	75¢	$49	0x7177ab…
05-29 04:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	282	5¢	$14	0xb4bb5f…
05-29 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	357	9¢	$32	0xa57717…
05-29 04:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$49	0x949c71…
05-29 04:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xfe4c6c…
05-29 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$49	0x6896fc…
05-29 03:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	124	12¢	$15	0x8acc22…
05-29 03:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0x7b733f…
05-29 03:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0x3c7acc…
05-29 03:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0xdec4a0…
05-29 03:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x542d15…
05-29 03:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	309	2¢	$6	0xfd2ba0…
05-29 03:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0xdc41ff…
05-29 03:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$49	0x9c32a0…
05-29 03:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x95a591…
05-29 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x9335a7…
05-29 03:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x6c661d…
05-29 03:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf08215…
05-29 03:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$49	0x4a3ccb…
05-29 03:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3234f4…
05-29 03:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x8f8b10…
05-29 03:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5afb6f…
05-29 03:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb15d6d…
05-29 03:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0x5b70ce…
05-29 03:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0xe90e8e…
05-29 03:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xa08184…
05-29 03:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xcc98ec…
05-29 03:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x153d3b…
05-29 03:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xbdaba8…
05-29 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xa6f058…
05-29 03:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	700	1¢	$8	0xd309d3…
05-29 03:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	155	6¢	$9	0x11845e…
05-29 02:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0x7ec2ed…
05-29 02:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa88f6c…
05-29 02:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xb6de50…
05-29 02:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x518067…
05-29 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x409f25…
05-29 02:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,784	2¢	$36	0x2375db…
05-29 02:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x29ec5c…
05-29 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$49	0xa63038…
05-29 02:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x9ce68b…
05-29 02:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0x3a8a94…
05-29 02:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0xb78d90…
05-29 02:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x4241de…
05-29 02:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xe081cc…
05-29 02:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x2030fc…
05-29 02:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xe3e795…
05-29 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	88¢	$49	0xdaaa26…
05-29 02:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x16d787…
05-29 02:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xef9701…
05-29 02:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xc1bfed…
05-29 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xca82b0…
05-29 02:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	364	5¢	$18	0xdd5bf5…
05-29 02:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	475	4¢	$19	0x381e31…
05-29 02:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	264	5¢	$13	0x403ee0…
05-29 02:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	397	5¢	$20	0x680a74…
05-29 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	696	7¢	$49	0xd02961…
05-29 02:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	136	23¢	$31	0x172ed3…
05-29 02:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9d3900…
05-29 02:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xd17043…
05-29 02:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8c170e…
05-29 02:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x5e19f3…
05-29 02:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x46a4c2…
05-29 02:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8963e5…
05-29 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xd68ab3…