Realized P&L
-$979
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
286
lifetime
Volume
$29.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$547
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-25 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
95% 40% $-979
Other
5%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -221 $-106 59¢ $-130 $-24 05-29 10:12
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -300 $-75 35¢ $-105 $-30 06-01 11:38
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -804 $-216 12¢ $-97 +$119 06-01 21:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +200 $114 40¢ $79 $-35 06-05 11:58
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -992 $-50 $-45 +$5 06-01 11:57
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -250 $-46 16¢ $-41 +$5 05-29 10:12
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes -250 $-42 14¢ $-34 +$9 06-25 03:59
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -34 $-16 48¢ $-16 $-0 06-03 20:10