Active-Sundial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$42.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-16 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

98% — —

Crypto

2% 41% $-18

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$13.7K	8,994	8,994	+0	open	—	06-01 04:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$7.0K	6,248	2,974	+3,274	open	—	06-10 18:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$6.9K	4,045	4,045	+0	open	—	05-27 04:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	5	$4.1K	5,729	3,254	+2,475	open	—	06-16 22:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$3.5K	2,435	1,842	+593	open	—	06-12 00:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$2.0K	1,757	1,757	+0	open	—	06-08 12:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	7	$1.1K	662	1,633	-971	open	—	06-03 13:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	3,792	0	+3,792	open	—	04-30 04:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.0K	2,205	0	+2,205	open	—	04-22 22:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	1	$1000	2,293	0	+2,293	open	—	06-06 20:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$125	679	0	+679	open	—	04-20 05:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	4	$99	93	93	+0	open	—	05-25 23:11
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$54	134	0	+134	open	—	05-14 15:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	3	$32	283	792	-509	open	—	05-25 22:13
btc updown 5m 1776654000	3	$29	45	0	+45	open	—	04-20 03:03
btc updown 5m 1776317100	3	$26	34	19	+16	open	—	04-16 05:29
btc updown 5m 1776197700	4	$22	825	0	+825	open	—	04-14 20:19
btc updown 5m 1776655500	2	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	04-20 03:29
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$20	79	0	+79	open	—	04-20 02:11
btc updown 5m 1776652800	2	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 02:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$18	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 20:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$17	59	59	+0	open	—	06-08 20:50
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$13	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	04-29 17:07
btc updown 5m 1776656700	2	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-20 03:47
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$12	161	0	+161	open	—	04-21 20:00
btc updown 5m 1776193800	2	$11	20	19	+1	open	—	04-14 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776215100	4	$11	59	0	+59	open	—	04-15 01:09
btc updown 5m 1776969300	4	$11	111	0	+111	open	—	04-23 18:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 17:58
btc updown 5m 1776654300	2	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	04-20 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 22:18:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2,475	0¢	$10	0x8f2133…
06-12 00:06:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,317	86¢	$2,000	0x51da99…
06-11 23:55:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa99236…
06-10 18:45:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	893	84¢	$750	0x47f5d2…
06-08 20:50:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0x62b776…
06-08 19:15:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x18e631…
06-08 13:07:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0x9fabe1…
06-08 12:56:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,757	57¢	$1,001	0x933f2c…
06-07 22:55:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,250	81¢	$1,013	0x909d1c…
06-07 22:54:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	1,587	67¢	$1,066	0xf16ffc…
06-06 20:11:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2,293	44¢	$1,000	0x99c387…
06-06 20:11:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,757	57¢	$1,000	0xa1ba01…
06-06 20:01:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x386003…
06-05 03:11:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x61f9df…
06-03 13:29:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$6	0x5c2848…
06-02 16:32:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,667	61¢	$1,017	0x6d193d…
06-02 15:41:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xc1817b…
06-02 15:19:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,724	73¢	$1,259	0x684a3a…
06-01 19:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0xef5836…
06-01 19:14:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0xd064ef…
06-01 17:44:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe115d0…
06-01 17:44:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xb7d61c…
06-01 17:07:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,724	87¢	$1,500	0x9fbff6…
06-01 14:03:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	971	93¢	$903	0xb6b798…
06-01 04:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0x0b8b28…
06-01 04:04:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,703	100¢	$2,700	0x2a69a5…
05-29 05:17:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0x220f2f…
05-28 14:39:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	24¢	$92	0xef3ce4…
05-28 14:25:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x97ff49…
05-27 04:29:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,111	100¢	$1,110	0xa2b0e5…
05-26 03:22:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,703	74¢	$2,000	0x7ad2a8…
05-26 03:21:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,963	72¢	$2,134	0x69eba4…
05-25 23:16:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x777cf7…
05-25 23:16:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x50f3a4…
05-25 23:11:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0x68f7fd…
05-25 23:11:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	51	83¢	$42	0x5d545f…
05-25 23:09:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xd53880…
05-25 22:13:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	283	2¢	$6	0xae4d48…
05-25 20:36:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xb62025…
05-25 20:22:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0x7c72a0…
05-25 20:12:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x919e48…
05-25 20:10:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	283	4¢	$10	0x79d002…
05-25 20:09:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x23215c…
05-25 20:09:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	509	3¢	$15	0xfd6032…
05-25 19:56:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc86319…
05-25 19:55:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd002e0…
05-25 17:06:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,328	63¢	$2,097	0xbdf874…
05-25 17:05:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2,875	85¢	$2,444	0x633066…
05-21 17:54:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,875	80¢	$2,300	0xd4ecb2…
05-20 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x892896…
05-20 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8ccf25…
05-20 20:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x976509…
05-20 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x817142…
05-20 20:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x92207a…
05-20 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0xc933c1…
05-20 19:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb80599…
05-19 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x431e8e…
05-19 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x419a6a…
05-19 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1025c4…
05-16 22:42:22	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xf5b4b2…
05-16 16:17:08	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd98bc6…
05-14 15:20:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xd2492d…
05-14 15:14:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,614	88¢	$2,300	0x0deb0d…
05-13 16:03:16	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	82	36¢	$29	0xbbd318…
05-13 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x362059…
05-11 01:27:23	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x45ea2a…
05-11 01:26:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x968b89…
05-11 01:26:20	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x95559f…
05-10 05:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7b943b…
05-10 05:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1fa9a2…
05-10 05:41:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x893670…
05-10 05:41:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xc63ef1…
05-09 19:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7f7095…
05-09 19:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xae1fef…
05-09 19:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab75e0…
05-09 05:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xde6dba…
05-09 05:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0abf15…
05-09 04:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x78491a…
05-09 04:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x560575…
05-09 04:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x432cb7…
05-09 04:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x394b44…
05-09 04:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x83cd12…
05-09 04:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x72fc35…
05-09 04:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6fdbf2…
05-09 04:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4c092d…
05-09 03:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x712e76…
05-09 03:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe354da…
05-09 03:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x06149c…
05-09 03:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd22475…
05-09 02:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xeec159…
05-09 02:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x4ec812…
05-09 02:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x33d92f…
05-09 02:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4dd6a…
05-03 15:36:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd80909…
04-30 04:47:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x7f6dc8…
04-29 17:07:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x761272…
04-28 01:59:10	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x80f139…
04-27 18:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf75034…
04-27 18:16:30	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c453e…
04-27 17:58:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xf86cb7…