Elderly-Airforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$76.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$478

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-04 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

55% 0% $-2

Other

39% 0% $-2

Politics

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$9.1K	4,574	4,574	+0	open	—	04-13 10:45
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$6.9K	3,475	3,475	+0	open	—	04-15 08:20
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.9K	2,450	2,450	+0	open	—	03-20 14:50
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$4.8K	2,433	2,433	+0	open	—	04-20 07:16
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.5K	2,261	2,261	+0	open	—	04-15 04:42
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$3.5K	1,780	1,780	+0	open	—	03-25 17:04
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,647	1,647	+0	No	$-2	04-11 07:30
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,256	1,256	+0	open	—	03-19 12:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.5K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	03-21 13:30
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$2.5K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	03-21 10:30
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.4K	1,213	1,213	+0	open	—	03-22 13:22
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$2.4K	1,181	1,181	+0	open	—	03-06 10:29
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,171	1,171	+0	open	—	03-26 03:23
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.3K	1,158	1,158	+0	No	$-1	03-21 17:27
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,074	1,074	+0	open	—	04-19 02:10
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.8K	881	881	+0	open	—	03-18 11:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	27	$1.7K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	03-14 05:23
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$1.5K	768	768	+0	open	—	03-04 09:31
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$1.5K	2,599	0	+2,599	open	—	04-07 07:30
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.3K	651	651	-0	open	—	02-18 10:08
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.3K	629	629	+0	open	—	03-10 15:42
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	$-1	03-01 05:25
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.1K	557	557	+0	open	—	03-04 02:26
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.1K	528	528	+0	open	—	03-08 13:18
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	open	—	02-25 21:23
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$978	490	490	+0	open	—	03-09 10:27
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$960	484	484	+0	open	—	03-02 06:29
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$921	461	461	+0	open	—	03-09 18:15
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	3	$581	291	291	+0	open	—	01-25 22:59
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	11	$537	269	269	+0	open	—	01-21 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 05:56:55	mlb cle nyy 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x0d86ed…
06-02 05:11:33	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	107	41¢	$44	0xd0b71c…
05-27 05:31:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0xd7b2ee…
05-23 05:13:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0x09c32a…
05-21 06:40:39	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	122	52¢	$63	0xe9cd52…
04-20 07:16:02	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,248	100¢	$1,244	0x785164…
04-20 06:03:32	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,248	100¢	$1,246	0xcf1eee…
04-19 02:10:50	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,074	100¢	$1,070	0x1160e5…
04-19 01:33:06	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,071	0x0cb8b2…
04-18 06:44:08	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,185	99¢	$1,178	0xcf42c6…
04-18 05:51:48	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,185	100¢	$1,179	0x5f6b71…
04-15 08:20:24	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,124	100¢	$1,121	0x3ebea1…
04-15 07:14:08	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,122	0x31d2cd…
04-15 04:42:48	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,086	100¢	$1,080	0xe885e9…
04-15 02:30:02	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,086	100¢	$1,081	0x09b55c…
04-13 10:45:57	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,344	100¢	$1,339	0xd9a2df…
04-13 09:16:37	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,344	100¢	$1,340	0xd65f21…
04-12 04:29:03	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,350	100¢	$1,346	0x8f00e9…
04-12 01:48:27	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,350	100¢	$1,347	0xc90611…
04-11 07:30:47	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,647	100¢	$1,642	0xe5d2ce…
04-11 05:24:47	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,647	100¢	$1,644	0x1c1a77…
04-07 07:30:01	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	2,599	56¢	$1,455	0x16889b…
03-26 03:23:29	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,171	99¢	$1,164	0x7c7736…
03-26 01:24:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,171	100¢	$1,166	0x55580c…
03-25 17:04:05	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,195	99¢	$1,187	0x28b25f…
03-25 14:47:17	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,195	99¢	$1,188	0x17b69d…
03-24 09:01:09	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,175	99¢	$1,168	0x324972…
03-24 06:47:01	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,175	100¢	$1,169	0x5d23f8…
03-22 13:22:15	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,213	100¢	$1,208	0x038f45…
03-22 11:55:33	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,209	0x7c1a70…
03-22 10:52:59	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,238	100¢	$1,233	0x2c3ce5…
03-22 09:01:19	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,238	100¢	$1,234	0x76bd83…
03-21 17:27:27	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,158	99¢	$1,151	0xe2d087…
03-21 16:29:43	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,158	99¢	$1,152	0x69f6a8…
03-21 13:30:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,260	99¢	$1,252	0x5be584…
03-21 12:20:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,260	100¢	$1,254	0xdc56a0…
03-21 10:30:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1,237	100¢	$1,233	0x762fc8…
03-21 09:33:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1,237	100¢	$1,234	0xae8c6d…
03-20 14:50:31	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,158	100¢	$1,154	0xfae6c8…
03-20 13:43:57	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,155	0x43e0db…
03-19 19:20:53	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,293	100¢	$1,289	0x719b0d…
03-19 18:05:31	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,293	100¢	$1,290	0xf618a1…
03-19 12:25:25	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,256	100¢	$1,253	0xe4f2b8…
03-19 10:38:19	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,256	100¢	$1,254	0xce2767…
03-18 11:50:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	881	100¢	$879	0x8bfe4b…
03-18 10:30:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	881	100¢	$880	0x2a9487…
03-18 06:43:59	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	939	99¢	$932	0x89fa90…
03-18 04:55:21	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	939	99¢	$933	0x4e072e…
03-16 14:47:31	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	941	99¢	$934	0x36ad7b…
03-16 11:14:59	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	941	99¢	$935	0x083634…
03-14 05:23:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0xf1e211…
03-14 04:15:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0x3a2f9c…
03-14 04:14:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	31	40¢	$13	0xe8ac1e…
03-14 04:12:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xc428f3…
03-14 04:11:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe97657…
03-14 04:11:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x41d905…
03-14 04:11:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	281	40¢	$112	0xcc44dc…
03-14 04:11:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x7d4821…
03-14 04:11:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	107	40¢	$43	0x64d31a…
03-14 03:58:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xb7cafa…
03-14 03:50:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xc7e976…
03-14 03:50:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x8b3fbd…
03-14 03:49:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x262e6a…
03-14 03:49:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0e5a66…
03-14 03:49:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb4bbe6…
03-14 03:47:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8ef292…
03-14 03:46:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x719fb3…
03-14 03:44:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4a253b…
03-14 03:44:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x958394…
03-14 03:43:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa8662b…
03-14 03:43:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe87c0b…
03-14 03:42:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	368	39¢	$143	0x5a9db4…
03-14 02:49:57	bun hof wol 2026 03 14 hof	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xd47fad…
03-14 02:14:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xf2d6e6…
03-14 01:56:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x212d13…
03-14 01:27:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0x1d9f7a…
03-13 08:50:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	186	75¢	$139	0xfd2acc…
03-13 08:45:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	214	75¢	$161	0x599232…
03-13 08:45:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	400	25¢	$100	0x599232…
03-13 05:33:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	700	12¢	$84	0xe43450…
03-13 02:35:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x501715…
03-13 01:14:21	nhl edm stl 2026 03 13	Oilers	BUY	186	60¢	$112	0x86f148…
03-12 07:00:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	700	13¢	$91	0x3f750b…
03-12 02:19:47	uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 stu3	Yes	BUY	131	48¢	$63	0xa56c46…
03-11 03:50:35	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 cfc1	Yes	BUY	375	26¢	$97	0xa307db…
03-10 15:42:57	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	629	100¢	$628	0x320a49…
03-10 14:27:37	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	629	100¢	$628	0xf57d32…
03-10 08:04:57	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	585	100¢	$583	0x5e302c…
03-10 06:55:43	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	585	100¢	$583	0xf0b847…
03-10 01:56:05	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	143	46¢	$66	0xb44151…
03-09 18:15:39	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	461	100¢	$460	0x3f4112…
03-09 17:18:15	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	461	100¢	$461	0xb84081…
03-09 10:27:15	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	490	100¢	$489	0x01d35b…
03-09 08:31:59	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	490	100¢	$489	0x022edf…
03-09 03:48:51	lal esp ovi 2026 03 09 draw	Yes	BUY	197	28¢	$55	0x605de9…
03-08 13:18:19	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	528	100¢	$527	0x28c134…
03-08 11:46:25	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	528	100¢	$527	0x23fd8c…
03-08 02:50:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	572	100¢	$570	0x574766…
03-08 02:24:59	lal sev ray 2026 03 08 sev	No	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x794919…
03-08 01:36:15	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	572	100¢	$570	0x9edd75…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	49	$262.3K	4,263	04-08 20:29
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	46	$410.6K	26,893	04-27 09:52
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	40	$96.9K	855	05-18 19:13
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	39	$18.8K	11,410	04-27 02:24
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	37	$62.9K	1,173	04-07 14:31
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	36	$176.2K	2,954	05-21 20:21
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	34	$53.9K	1,207	05-23 14:21
Lucky-Congressperson 0x5c0b…4d31	34	$2.55K	648	04-22 14:04