Fluid-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-27 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

35% 100% +$0

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$3.7K	1,840	1,840	+0	open	—	01-14 07:02
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$913	458	458	+0	open	—	01-19 05:07
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$884	446	446	+0	open	—	02-08 03:57
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$883	445	445	+0	open	—	02-12 02:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$455	461	0	+461	open	—	01-24 02:31
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	1	$441	442	0	+442	open	—	02-12 07:52
bitcoin above 64k on april 4	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	04-04 05:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	05-01 01:20
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	05-19 02:30
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 20	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-20 03:04
bitcoin above 60k on march 29	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-29 05:43
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-27 03:39
bitcoin above 66k on april 8	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-08 03:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-01 05:12
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-07 02:27
ethereum above 2600 on april 18	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-18 06:30
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-16 03:28
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-24 05:15
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 24	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-24 05:25
xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-03 03:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-26 03:18
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 25?	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	04-25 03:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:54
bitcoin above 66k on april 9	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-09 03:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	05-11 05:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-22 02:46
solana above 80 on march 21	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-21 05:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$40	0	40	-40	open	—	05-27 03:21
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 05:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-06 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 03:21:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7b4743…
05-24 03:18:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcb6615…
05-23 03:43:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa4641b…
05-22 02:46:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf25851…
05-21 05:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x566c18…
05-20 02:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x990a04…
05-19 02:30:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xf5672f…
05-17 03:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe1e7cc…
05-16 02:48:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf3a000…
05-15 02:22:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe11c33…
05-14 03:07:11	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb3dd74…
05-13 02:33:29	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xacde7e…
05-12 02:36:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x34e5e1…
05-11 05:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb48406…
05-10 02:07:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xecd58e…
05-09 03:05:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x658976…
05-08 03:02:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdc5972…
05-07 02:54:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x0ead85…
05-06 03:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x31fe8c…
05-05 05:54:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7ec677…
05-04 04:49:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x68e22f…
05-01 01:20:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x075183…
04-30 02:43:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b1e3b…
04-29 02:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x05ac4f…
04-28 05:19:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x58e7b6…
04-27 05:14:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xba4411…
04-26 06:06:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x000a95…
04-25 03:34:40	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 25?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x4959cc…
04-24 05:25:58	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 24	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x98834d…
04-23 05:21:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9ac1f1…
04-22 03:17:00	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x737069…
04-21 03:40:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x99258d…
04-20 03:04:38	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 20	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x865197…
04-19 05:29:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x704537…
04-18 06:30:46	ethereum above 2600 on april 18	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfa9cb9…
04-17 05:33:02	solana above 100 on april 17	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe40e1c…
04-16 03:28:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x67729c…
04-15 03:52:02	solana above 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd23de6…
04-14 06:00:39	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5bf0df…
04-12 05:08:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xa516ff…
04-11 03:38:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3d648e…
04-10 03:31:37	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x554e1a…
04-09 03:44:43	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3a4ac2…
04-08 03:50:41	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x94c531…
04-07 02:27:57	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x3b06c9…
04-06 06:27:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x42b06c…
04-05 05:36:39	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0241e0…
04-04 05:32:45	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x7e3db8…
04-03 03:43:21	xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xaf5324…
04-02 05:09:33	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1d1b75…
04-01 05:12:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x53afa2…
03-31 03:41:09	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbceea1…
03-30 03:41:46	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xed1b2b…
03-29 05:43:24	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb206bc…
03-28 05:12:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb6c763…
03-27 03:39:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x5ce584…
03-26 03:18:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x21c00c…
03-25 03:18:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x965d06…
03-24 05:15:11	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xca58fb…
03-23 06:54:13	xrp above 1pt2 on march 23	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c44c7…
03-22 05:55:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0a52aa…
03-21 05:36:11	solana above 80 on march 21	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5cdafd…
03-20 06:41:49	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 20	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6c16b6…
03-19 05:53:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe8bf8d…
03-18 06:24:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 18	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1eebac…
03-17 06:48:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 17	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0adaf8…
03-16 06:50:35	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xadb9d0…
03-15 03:34:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x875b74…
03-14 10:52:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0080e9…
03-13 07:56:51	xrp above 1pt1 on march 13	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x99df0e…
03-12 05:30:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xae1ab2…
03-11 02:33:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7305b9…
03-10 02:36:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4d1a47…
03-09 03:22:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x44868a…
03-05 02:46:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0a78cb…
03-04 02:45:01	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfe6f0e…
03-03 02:56:55	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x68990a…
03-02 03:24:29	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x22f97b…
03-01 03:10:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd82a31…
02-28 07:40:45	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x52b0dd…
02-12 07:52:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	442	100¢	$441	0x613e0c…
02-12 02:53:33	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	445	99¢	$441	0x55b7ad…
02-11 03:00:03	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	445	99¢	$441	0x740b01…
02-08 03:57:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	446	99¢	$442	0x59bdd5…
02-07 02:59:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	446	99¢	$442	0x4541aa…
01-24 02:31:58	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	461	99¢	$455	0x79e2c9…
01-19 05:07:24	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	458	100¢	$456	0xd40628…
01-18 03:59:40	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	458	100¢	$457	0x0d0fd1…
01-14 07:02:28	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	459	100¢	$458	0xae5543…
01-13 03:27:43	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	459	100¢	$458	0x2ce8f5…
01-12 03:46:22	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	459	100¢	$458	0x73d0dc…
01-10 05:24:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	459	100¢	$458	0xa0ac43…
01-09 06:13:18	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	461	99¢	$458	0x59d4a0…
01-06 06:44:01	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	461	99¢	$458	0x8827f1…
01-05 10:54:43	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	461	99¢	$458	0x09e0e3…
01-03 08:55:31	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	461	99¢	$457	0x1a70b1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Enchanted-Supervisor 0x2614…0fb0	86	$9.80K	96	05-27 03:21
Starchy-Reclamation 0x4724…723b	86	$9.78K	96	05-27 03:22
Short-Lipstick 0x3deb…4d48	86	$9.75K	97	05-27 03:22
Miserable-Tube 0x6bdc…62a9	86	$9.68K	96	05-27 03:22
Virtuous-Assault 0xb85e…5576	86	$9.67K	96	05-27 03:21
Liquid-Milkshake 0xcbdb…adec	86	$9.61K	96	05-27 03:21
Tricky-Publicity 0x9832…103c	86	$9.19K	96	05-27 03:22
Strong-Reader 0x0571…2a2b	86	$8.85K	96	05-27 03:22