Second-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-20 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

39% — —

Sports

35% 77% +$92

Other

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	06-20 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	1	$2.1K	2,138	0	+2,138	open	—	05-15 02:51
nba den min 2026 04 23	2	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	open	—	04-24 04:02
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	1	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	04-28 14:29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$2.0K	2,008	0	+2,008	open	—	04-28 04:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	3	$2.0K	2,007	0	+2,007	open	—	04-23 10:00
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	1	$2.0K	2,005	0	+2,005	open	—	04-22 11:03
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	1	$2.0K	2,005	0	+2,005	open	—	04-24 13:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 27?	1	$2.0K	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	04-27 17:03
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	1	$2.0K	2,005	0	+2,005	open	—	04-23 03:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-26 14:50
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$1.6K	1,628	0	+1,628	Spurs	+$58	05-13 02:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	14	$1.0K	1,013	0	+1,013	open	—	05-18 06:31
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$582	600	0	+600	Thunder	+$18	05-06 02:51
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$115	131	0	+131	Thunder	+$16	05-07 08:21
nba por sas 2026 04 21	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	04-21 11:59
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-14 05:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$58	59	0	+59	open	—	03-16 05:09
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	6	$51	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 02:31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-21 08:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	06-20 07:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	02-16 05:23
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-16 05:09
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	05-15 02:50
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 140 159	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-16 11:55
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	01-16 11:55
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-20 07:18
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 08:06
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-16 11:55
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-14 05:51
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-26 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 07:18:32	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3c2230…
06-20 07:18:16	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdc3b51…
05-21 08:06:43	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57d9cf…
05-21 08:06:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7f975c…
05-20 02:31:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x9dd3af…
05-20 02:04:13	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf9edde…
05-20 01:56:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x05e21b…
05-20 01:56:56	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0xbf9b38…
05-19 12:22:18	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5f8be5…
05-19 07:51:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9db4b5…
05-18 06:31:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe0ffb2…
05-18 06:26:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd02160…
05-18 06:11:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a9c89…
05-18 06:10:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x87d7d3…
05-18 05:55:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x164d18…
05-18 05:55:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	638	100¢	$638	0x35b834…
05-18 05:49:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59f771…
05-18 04:39:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3151f0…
05-18 04:24:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x78fa50…
05-18 04:20:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ef18b…
05-18 04:00:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd02d13…
05-18 03:55:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfac58a…
05-18 03:47:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa409dd…
05-18 03:47:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6bf09…
05-15 02:51:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	2,138	100¢	$2,136	0x24ac85…
05-15 02:50:50	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf9e5cb…
05-14 05:24:09	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x0d9908…
05-14 02:14:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe7078c…
05-13 02:28:17	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,394	0x9074a5…
05-13 01:44:27	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xd79e5e…
05-12 10:28:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x46f8dc…
05-12 04:33:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xdc6019…
05-12 04:33:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x949e47…
05-12 04:33:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6c6ead…
05-10 13:17:50	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4ba446…
05-09 07:18:20	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc11f8c…
05-09 07:10:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xfc815f…
05-09 04:05:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe9c2c7…
05-09 04:05:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xdc7e52…
05-09 04:05:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbaef02…
05-07 12:58:52	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9dd3a3…
05-07 08:21:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	131	88¢	$115	0x502dbd…
05-06 13:31:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4f5952…
05-06 13:31:06	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x14670e…
05-06 02:51:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xb3b8a4…
05-06 02:15:34	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	33	84¢	$27	0x9179f3…
05-06 02:15:34	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0x8f01f5…
05-06 02:15:28	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xe0351b…
05-05 02:15:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xca235a…
04-28 14:29:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	2,010	100¢	$2,008	0x565097…
04-28 04:55:52	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xa2c7bd…
04-28 01:49:16	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x61dbce…
04-27 17:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	2,003	100¢	$2,001	0xfd475f…
04-27 06:53:16	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x773004…
04-26 14:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	736	100¢	$735	0xbbf278…
04-26 14:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd704ef…
04-26 14:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa5e949…
04-26 14:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xd7d0af…
04-26 02:18:48	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc07f99…
04-25 01:31:30	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa0924c…
04-24 13:25:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x2b89a9…
04-24 13:25:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf58774…
04-24 13:21:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	2,005	100¢	$2,003	0x6eba04…
04-24 04:02:56	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,006	0x392bd1…
04-23 10:00:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	439	100¢	$439	0x318dea…
04-23 09:01:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xaa2dfb…
04-23 08:56:38	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	568	100¢	$567	0x2fd72b…
04-23 08:54:50	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf2ab2e…
04-23 03:52:50	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	2,005	100¢	$2,001	0xc5a212…
04-22 11:03:16	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	2,005	100¢	$2,003	0xeaec89…
04-21 11:59:16	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Spurs	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x7c1922…
04-21 11:55:32	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x001bf1…
04-14 05:51:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x4f9154…
04-14 05:51:27	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x77e33d…
04-14 05:51:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd75db0…
03-16 05:09:19	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x637023…
03-16 05:09:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x2bf8aa…
03-16 05:08:19	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc3af4a…
03-16 05:08:05	nba gsw was 2026 03 16	Warriors	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe79348…
02-26 11:49:32	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4fc6db…
02-16 05:23:41	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 240plus	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb6b2b0…
02-16 05:23:19	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe8aebe…
02-16 05:23:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x965d5d…
01-16 11:56:16	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xad8c78…
01-16 11:55:44	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 140 159	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6dc779…
01-16 11:55:28	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1467a7…
01-16 11:55:16	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7a348c…