Shocked-Backdrop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 09-25 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 99% +$2

Other

14% 100% +$6

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	02-09 10:44
ethereum above 1600 on february 14	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	02-13 22:48
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	02-14 21:23
ethereum above 1600 on february 15	2	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	02-15 10:57
lal vil rso 2026 03 20 vil	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-20 21:49
ethereum above 2100 on april 11	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	04-11 07:09
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-28 07:53
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-15 16:33
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-27 12:31
ethereum above 1800 on march 11	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-11 10:35
ethereum above 1500 on february 23	2	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-23 08:49
ethereum above 1500 on february 18	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-17 22:07
ethereum above 1500 on february 19	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-19 08:29
ethereum above 1800 on march 5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-05 08:16
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-24 10:24
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	04-03 08:04
ethereum above 1800 on february 25	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-25 12:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	02-14 20:05
ethereum above 2000 on march 20	1	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	03-20 09:48
ethereum above 1700 on february 16	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	02-16 07:45
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-22 09:47
ethereum above 1600 on february 12	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	02-12 08:42
ethereum above 1700 on february 17	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	02-17 08:12
ethereum above 1700 on march 4	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	03-04 08:27
ethereum above 1800 on march 12	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	03-12 08:06
ethereum above 1800 on february 27	2	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	02-27 09:25
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 16 22	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-22 18:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-27 07:48
ethereum above 2300 on april 22	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 11:38:50	bitcoin above 82k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x81d711…
09-22 15:53:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfcd9ad…
06-10 07:24:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x79061e…
06-09 07:34:42	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x34e88d…
06-08 07:14:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57060c…
06-07 15:13:39	ethereum above 1600 on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7cd97a…
06-05 07:31:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x768cb8…
05-30 09:59:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2b048b…
05-27 07:48:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcf26c5…
05-26 14:00:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x505230…
05-24 08:54:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfc7b8b…
05-23 08:36:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd52c3d…
05-22 06:52:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x48f880…
05-21 06:42:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x829ed2…
05-18 07:18:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0f6865…
05-15 07:07:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xafe52b…
05-14 06:59:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x204e39…
05-10 09:06:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x36bd03…
05-09 08:50:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c5b26…
05-06 09:50:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8199cc…
05-05 06:56:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1dbe80…
05-05 06:56:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d7f28…
04-30 08:28:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xafbc5e…
04-29 06:53:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3aecda…
04-28 06:52:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd0b182…
04-28 06:52:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9d3bb…
04-27 06:52:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb9f459…
04-24 08:50:20	ethereum above 2200 on april 24	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3174ff…
04-23 07:14:22	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa12364…
04-22 15:02:56	ethereum above 2300 on april 22	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdaeeea…
04-21 07:01:10	ethereum above 2200 on april 21	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4f5b7e…
04-20 07:00:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 20	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcbae24…
04-19 08:08:12	ethereum above 2200 on april 19	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66e4a2…
04-19 08:08:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x210403…
04-17 10:45:48	ethereum above 2200 on april 17	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0ce51d…
04-16 07:05:18	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x801f6b…
04-15 07:03:10	ethereum above 2200 on april 15	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe04061…
04-12 08:33:19	ethereum above 2100 on april 12	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xddda46…
04-11 17:56:53	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 bar	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9ba96d…
04-11 17:29:43	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 bar	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x09b7d2…
04-11 07:09:35	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7504e…
04-09 07:38:55	ethereum above 2100 on april 9	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd32a6d…
04-09 07:38:47	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd82b58…
04-08 07:08:45	ethereum above 2100 on april 8	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x80653b…
04-06 07:57:05	ethereum above 2000 on april 6	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9a72f…
04-03 08:04:43	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf3b0dd…
04-02 08:52:41	ethereum above 1900 on april 2	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77a72e…
04-01 15:40:37	ethereum above 2100 on april 1	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4a979d…
03-28 07:53:07	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f0e32…
03-27 12:31:25	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6bc65d…
03-26 10:16:39	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x067673…
03-25 08:03:53	ethereum above 2000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f59d3…
03-22 09:49:35	lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcdae91…
03-22 09:47:51	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x66c5ba…
03-21 09:58:15	ethereum above 2100 on march 21	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e5337…
03-20 21:49:25	lal vil rso 2026 03 20 vil	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa72163…
03-20 09:48:45	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xf15474…
03-17 10:28:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x376603…
03-17 10:28:37	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf7cf6e…
03-15 16:33:51	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6045b6…
03-15 09:34:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfc0e2e…
03-15 09:34:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 16	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0cb0ca…
03-13 09:29:33	ethereum above 1900 on march 13	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8ad4a9…
03-12 08:06:45	ethereum above 1800 on march 12	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0e027c…
03-12 08:06:33	ethereum above 1900 on march 12	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c68f7…
03-11 10:35:13	ethereum above 1800 on march 11	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xabf67e…
03-10 20:44:47	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9e14a8…
03-10 20:44:47	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8de4aa…
03-10 20:44:45	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x9fe148…
03-10 20:43:59	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7fdb42…
03-10 08:10:13	ethereum above 1900 on march 10	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x43250a…
03-09 10:22:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 9	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcba1bf…
03-08 09:42:53	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd99232…
03-07 10:21:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 7	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb52358…
03-06 10:08:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 6	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b28fe…
03-05 08:16:15	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb33b9d…
03-04 08:27:27	ethereum above 1700 on march 4	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa04916…
03-03 08:38:27	ethereum above 1700 on march 3	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13f073…
03-02 14:03:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x632974…
02-27 09:25:51	ethereum above 1800 on february 27	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12ff0f…
02-27 08:09:51	ethereum above 1800 on february 27	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1ac038…
02-26 09:20:28	ethereum above 1900 on february 26	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5ee641…
02-25 12:35:26	ethereum above 1800 on february 25	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x75bb05…
02-24 10:24:26	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf16f0f…
02-23 08:49:40	ethereum above 1500 on february 23	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc1bf7d…
02-23 08:39:40	ethereum above 1500 on february 23	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x479a16…
02-22 18:38:14	will ethereum dip to 1700 february 16 22	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x02e1e9…
02-19 08:29:16	ethereum above 1500 on february 19	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd2e703…
02-17 22:07:47	ethereum above 1500 on february 18	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1e5a5f…
02-17 16:59:27	ethereum above 2300 on february 17	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x498a73…
02-17 08:12:19	ethereum above 1700 on february 17	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x727f7a…
02-16 16:43:35	ethereum above 2000 on february 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e33db…
02-16 07:45:21	ethereum above 1700 on february 16	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8c1f6f…
02-15 21:53:31	lal mal bet 2026 02 15 bet	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xfa3522…
02-15 21:03:45	lal mal bet 2026 02 15 bet	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd04d75…
02-15 10:57:11	ethereum above 1600 on february 15	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6ed900…
02-14 23:01:21	ethereum above 1600 on february 15	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xedd76e…
02-14 21:23:25	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82e87a…
02-14 20:05:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x194f65…
02-14 20:05:19	lal sev ala 2026 02 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e48c0…