Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

108

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$348

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-18 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 50% -$3

Politics

36% 46% +$21

Other

24% 38% +$4

Sports

4% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+38	$5	21¢	$8	+$3	10-18 19:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	3	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	02-18 12:33
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	02-08 22:44
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$6	02-10 09:01
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	02-07 21:45
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$3	02-13 22:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 21:00
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	02-09 09:56
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$8	12	12	+0	No	+$0	02-08 16:49
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	5	$8	16	7	+8	Yes	+$2	02-18 16:32
will israel strike lebanon on february 11 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	02-11 21:48
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	4	$7	9	9	+0	Yes	-$1	02-15 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:15 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	02-19 12:20
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$6	6	5	+2	Yes	+$4	02-28 10:13
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$6	9	2	+7	No	+$3	02-18 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 07:02
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$6	49	49	+0	No	$0	02-12 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:25 UTC	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	02-19 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:55 UTC	3	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	02-19 13:01
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-08 22:35
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	02-11 08:38
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$2	03-16 18:23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	10-18 19:52
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$5	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	02-08 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:10 UTC	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	02-19 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:40 UTC	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	02-20 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:40 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	02-19 12:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$4	21	0	+21	Yes	+$17	02-09 10:02
us strike on somalia by february 14	1	$4	8	0	+8	Yes	-$4	02-12 19:22
will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	-$3	02-13 22:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 19:52:27	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1e3e2d…
04-06 14:55:31	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7ca15c…
04-05 21:12:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc0e217…
04-05 21:11:17	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x406a2d…
03-16 18:23:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xf1230d…
03-16 08:43:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1f722b…
03-10 18:34:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa47b52…
03-10 18:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd4eb16…
03-10 15:32:47	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6114af…
03-10 13:21:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xc5414d…
03-09 23:35:35	will trump say khamenei or ayatollah during monday press conference	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xc6c472…
03-09 22:37:35	will trump say khamenei or ayatollah during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$0	0xeb206d…
03-09 20:43:57	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x438a6d…
03-09 19:13:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2c2391…
03-09 17:58:49	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xe670af…
03-09 14:47:09	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9f4603…
03-08 22:35:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x70aca8…
03-08 22:26:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x596b50…
03-08 22:06:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xc92dc5…
03-08 15:22:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x613a55…
03-08 09:45:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x3180dd…
03-06 09:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x922a55…
03-06 09:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x45c844…
03-05 10:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x6f6aaa…
03-05 10:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xade505…
03-05 10:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xcc852b…
03-05 10:34:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdce432…
03-05 10:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x49a06c…
03-04 23:17:27	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd1d310…
03-04 20:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x094e18…
03-04 20:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6bc755…
03-02 10:11:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x68c196…
03-01 20:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x654b72…
03-01 20:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x492e08…
03-01 17:41:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xcf3484…
03-01 17:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x99badf…
03-01 17:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4bf0d9…
03-01 17:34:43	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd5eca0…
03-01 10:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7e6a8c…
02-28 21:00:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x741a67…
02-28 16:28:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x67815b…
02-28 15:12:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x56a242…
02-28 13:58:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1d6645…
02-28 12:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x745817…
02-28 12:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd5ba17…
02-28 12:16:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4ba2a4…
02-28 10:13:35	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xc79e58…
02-28 07:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x27f0d0…
02-28 07:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa91462…
02-22 11:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe1b121…
02-20 16:55:26	bitcoin up or down february 20 11am et	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa84a00…
02-20 16:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8be697…
02-20 16:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd1b778…
02-20 16:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9abe84…
02-20 16:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x57be7c…
02-20 16:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xabc3e4…
02-20 12:52:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x001d0d…
02-20 12:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcec498…
02-20 12:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6978a3…
02-20 12:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe37eec…
02-20 02:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xe60ebf…
02-20 02:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e8748…
02-20 02:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x09f715…
02-20 02:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4410f0…
02-20 02:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x79c671…
02-20 01:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x33b070…
02-20 01:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0208d3…
02-20 01:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5c74f5…
02-20 01:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x41418e…
02-20 01:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x99690a…
02-20 01:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf12127…
02-20 01:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6f4ef…
02-19 23:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa861a2…
02-19 23:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x511781…
02-19 23:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xa1bc7b…
02-19 23:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0e1487…
02-19 23:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb5f423…
02-19 22:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xabd745…
02-19 22:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe5f5a9…
02-19 22:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ee949…
02-19 22:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa39fa2…
02-19 22:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x24c568…
02-19 22:36:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbb0c81…
02-19 22:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc41c85…
02-19 22:00:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x663e1a…
02-19 21:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5698b5…
02-19 18:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xde8821…
02-19 18:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9c3ec4…
02-19 18:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc05159…
02-19 18:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x731c80…
02-19 18:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x357a55…
02-19 18:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa1b7bc…
02-19 17:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x460b4b…
02-19 14:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x3129ce…
02-19 14:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0ab26c…
02-19 14:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe22ebb…
02-19 14:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x95e9dd…
02-19 14:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x61d4d0…
02-19 14:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe73eef…
02-19 14:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1cbb34…