Klutzy-Posterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$55

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-22 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% 100% +$20

Politics

16% 100% +$8

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-400	$-40	8¢	$-30	+$10	06-09 17:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+73	$16	22¢	$16	$-0	07-22 18:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	44¢	$9	+$6	07-21 18:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	17	$2.1K	44,564	43,664	+900	open	—	03-29 21:03
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	20	$1.2K	941	941	+0	open	—	04-27 22:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	10	$850	1,937	1,886	+51	open	—	04-27 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$847	522	522	+0	open	—	04-23 05:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$809	616	508	+107	open	—	05-12 17:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$559	441	441	+0	open	—	04-05 02:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$517	325	325	+0	open	—	03-19 20:40
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	7	$406	275	272	+3	open	—	04-29 14:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$335	951	812	+138	open	—	03-27 17:47
Netanyahu out by April 30?	41	$310	8,649	1,183	+7,466	open	—	04-27 22:13
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$261	229	229	+0	open	—	03-30 23:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$259	502	490	+12	open	—	04-08 00:23
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be greater than 90m	21	$243	1,334	0	+1,334	open	—	03-21 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$211	128	128	+0	open	—	05-05 19:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$208	112	112	+0	No	+$8	05-05 02:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$196	370	370	+0	open	—	03-19 20:42
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	2	$168	100	100	+0	Yes	+$20	05-04 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$168	367	172	+195	open	—	05-11 04:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$133	175	172	+3	open	—	04-27 22:11
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	2	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 19:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	6	$109	1,655	0	+1,655	open	—	04-13 16:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$109	240	0	+240	open	—	04-12 05:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$100	100	50	+50	open	—	04-27 22:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$88	170	0	+170	open	—	05-11 04:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$81	120	100	+20	open	—	07-21 18:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$70	378	152	+225	open	—	04-12 05:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$56	286	276	+10	open	—	04-08 04:26
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	2	$53	85	85	+0	open	—	05-05 21:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$52	563	0	+563	open	—	03-31 10:53
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	3	$47	74	0	+74	open	—	04-08 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:01:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xf86d92…
07-22 18:00:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x8dd86d…
07-22 18:00:15	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	446	1¢	$5	0xbed955…
07-22 17:59:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x943a83…
07-21 18:57:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0x93607d…
07-21 18:57:28	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xb09a11…
07-21 03:00:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd497bd…
07-21 02:55:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x160b76…
07-19 18:11:36	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x84022e…
07-18 05:09:22	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x13d372…
07-18 05:08:42	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0x4a0246…
07-16 20:54:49	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x3a8ae2…
07-15 20:59:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x022d3e…
06-26 17:12:07	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe1c674…
06-18 21:11:07	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xc566e0…
06-18 21:10:32	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x7496fd…
06-18 21:10:08	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x52abbe…
06-09 17:03:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0x9bd18e…
05-29 08:30:02	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xafefac…
05-18 15:13:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xb11709…
05-12 17:30:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x11d79a…
05-11 16:47:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xebea38…
05-11 04:46:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	195	25¢	$49	0x5d61a6…
05-11 04:42:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x97417a…
05-08 18:37:58	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x481e33…
05-08 16:20:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x8a269c…
05-05 21:26:00	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	85	35¢	$30	0x7f92cd…
05-05 19:33:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb22310…
05-05 19:30:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	128	86¢	$110	0x693abf…
05-05 10:00:32	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x7ea186…
05-05 09:58:06	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0xea0d6f…
05-05 02:43:48	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xf070f6…
05-05 02:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xe5dae4…
05-05 02:35:10	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x852af2…
05-05 02:32:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	112	97¢	$108	0x88cb3f…
05-04 20:34:08	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x7d2cf9…
05-04 19:32:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x60db38…
05-04 19:32:16	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xc7a5fc…
05-03 08:16:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x462926…
05-03 08:12:16	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x8e38d4…
05-01 16:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0xdb9e8a…
05-01 16:23:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x3eb2ae…
05-01 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6e955b…
04-30 15:22:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x213d5a…
04-30 04:44:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	74	88¢	$65	0x3550eb…
04-30 04:44:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	321	88¢	$283	0x3cc9d8…
04-30 04:33:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x5d3b7d…
04-29 18:30:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x52bea7…
04-29 16:31:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	172	40¢	$69	0x76b6e6…
04-29 14:26:42	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4d51aa…
04-29 14:25:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x3ff216…
04-29 14:23:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0x491821…
04-29 14:18:32	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	272	85¢	$231	0x71860c…
04-27 22:13:54	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf96ff2…
04-27 22:12:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5848de…
04-27 22:11:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x458455…
04-27 22:11:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	172	19¢	$33	0x1d6586…
04-27 22:10:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,382	3¢	$41	0xc0804a…
04-23 17:56:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x6d60a6…
04-23 17:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x29e8b1…
04-23 17:45:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	762	13¢	$100	0x1c610d…
04-23 05:10:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	388	95¢	$368	0x621358…
04-19 18:18:26	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x7c7139…
04-13 18:17:05	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x884146…
04-13 17:57:53	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x62ee72…
04-13 16:02:51	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x5a7607…
04-13 16:01:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$9	0x49504c…
04-13 15:38:37	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x53c905…
04-13 10:29:21	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	55	63¢	$35	0x176952…
04-13 06:35:19	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x14df69…
04-13 06:33:51	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	156	63¢	$99	0xcec61b…
04-13 06:28:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	275	72¢	$198	0xcef929…
04-13 00:45:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x8e7cd1…
04-12 14:52:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2d1ad3…
04-12 05:34:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x90d30b…
04-12 05:30:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	200	45¢	$91	0x27eea2…
04-12 05:30:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x97787d…
04-12 05:09:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0xcd3ae4…
04-12 05:07:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	221	10¢	$22	0x32d9ae…
04-12 05:06:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	310	29¢	$90	0xcb181d…
04-11 01:54:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	781	7¢	$57	0x0a09e7…
04-11 00:22:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x7d4484…
04-11 00:20:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xa8d862…
04-11 00:20:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	196	7¢	$14	0x43bc2c…
04-09 20:02:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$4	0xcf79a9…
04-08 23:01:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x2cacb7…
04-08 23:01:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x6a985f…
04-08 20:24:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	355	31¢	$110	0x9aed0b…
04-08 20:16:13	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x186dd5…
04-08 20:14:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	279	75¢	$210	0x01f816…
04-08 19:41:29	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xc34645…
04-08 19:40:51	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3198b8…
04-08 19:37:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x9684d4…
04-08 19:36:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xcea360…
04-08 18:08:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xdc882c…
04-08 18:08:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	88	73¢	$64	0x5778be…
04-08 04:30:57	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x09d8b2…
04-08 04:29:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x998cd6…
04-08 04:27:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	SELL	396	2¢	$6	0x6e1f07…
04-08 04:27:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x56f54d…