Gleaming-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$9.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-26 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 32% $-39

Other

41% — —

Politics

17% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$617	4,091	2,086	+2,005	open	—	07-19 13:26
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$533	3,333	1,667	+1,667	open	—	07-19 13:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	3	$500	2,918	0	+2,918	open	—	07-26 18:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$405	1,548	0	+1,548	open	—	07-26 18:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	3	$400	4,293	0	+4,293	open	—	07-26 18:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	3	$400	1,585	0	+1,585	open	—	07-05 17:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$303	377	91	+286	open	—	07-19 22:27
ai data center in space by december 31 2027	1	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	07-05 16:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$300	480	0	+480	open	—	07-04 15:07
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	2	$300	2,521	0	+2,521	open	—	07-06 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$297	490	286	+204	open	—	06-30 17:01
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$200	344	0	+344	open	—	07-07 23:33
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	1	$200	388	0	+388	open	—	07-04 17:18
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	3	$186	894	166	+728	open	—	07-24 03:29
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$181	652	652	+0	open	—	07-05 16:52
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$131	198	198	+0	open	—	06-22 18:24
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	07-07 23:32
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	06-11 23:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	1	$100	991	0	+991	open	—	07-05 17:07
btc updown 5m 1783143000	4	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	07-04 05:33
btc updown 5m 1784571300	1	$75	357	0	+357	open	—	07-20 18:18
btc updown 5m 1783185600	4	$72	186	61	+125	open	—	07-04 17:24
btc updown 5m 1783444800	2	$71	184	184	+0	open	—	07-07 17:22
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$62	357	357	+0	open	—	06-28 03:26
btc updown 5m 1782181500	4	$50	64	44	+20	open	—	06-23 02:29
btc updown 5m 1783144800	2	$50	2,568	0	+2,568	open	—	07-04 06:05
btc updown 5m 1783143300	2	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	07-04 05:38
btc updown 5m 1783143600	2	$50	123	0	+123	open	—	07-04 05:41
btc updown 5m 1783141800	2	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	07-04 05:11
btc updown 5m 1783145400	2	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	07-04 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 18:54:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xdfe3b1…
07-26 18:53:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,538	6¢	$100	0x7c3009…
07-26 18:14:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x895e8e…
07-24 22:59:58	btc updown 5m 1784933700	Up	BUY	163	9¢	$15	0x078351…
07-24 22:47:25	btc updown 5m 1784933100	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x63d355…
07-24 22:47:01	btc updown 5m 1784933100	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x51b97a…
07-24 22:44:45	btc updown 5m 1784932800	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x4ce777…
07-24 22:43:55	btc updown 5m 1784932800	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xb2a118…
07-24 22:39:06	btc updown 5m 1784932500	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x25d9d0…
07-24 04:46:57	btc updown 5m 1784868300	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x02e639…
07-24 03:31:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,150	20¢	$230	0x8fd707…
07-24 03:30:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,657	12¢	$200	0xf813ba…
07-24 03:29:09	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x6b22bf…
07-21 19:17:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,054	16¢	$170	0x86c324…
07-21 19:16:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,098	9¢	$100	0x6f13ca…
07-20 18:28:58	btc updown 5m 1784571900	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x0f791d…
07-20 18:18:25	btc updown 5m 1784571300	Up	BUY	357	21¢	$75	0xe57672…
07-19 22:27:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x137b0a…
07-19 13:27:36	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,667	8¢	$133	0x4a1319…
07-19 13:26:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,086	8¢	$167	0xa93cf0…
07-07 23:33:10	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	344	58¢	$200	0x88eb55…
07-07 23:32:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5b908c…
07-07 17:22:56	btc updown 5m 1783444800	Down	SELL	184	20¢	$37	0x8703cb…
07-07 17:21:55	btc updown 5m 1783444800	Down	BUY	184	19¢	$34	0x42bc0e…
07-07 17:17:20	btc updown 5m 1783444500	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf04787…
07-07 17:02:59	btc updown 5m 1783443600	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x5170e3…
07-07 16:19:11	btc updown 5m 1783440900	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x30cac8…
07-07 16:14:34	btc updown 5m 1783440600	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xd7f1c6…
07-07 15:47:20	btc updown 5m 1783439100	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xd55a69…
07-07 15:46:14	btc updown 5m 1783439100	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x79d789…
07-07 15:43:56	btc updown 5m 1783438800	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x658c19…
07-07 15:29:31	btc updown 5m 1783437900	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x01ceba…
07-07 15:09:31	btc updown 5m 1783436700	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x0cdab6…
07-07 15:03:44	btc updown 5m 1783436400	Up	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x635733…
07-07 15:02:14	btc updown 5m 1783436400	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xb000a3…
07-07 14:58:01	btc updown 5m 1783436100	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x69f670…
07-07 01:43:23	btc updown 5m 1783388400	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xcab40f…
07-07 01:41:43	btc updown 5m 1783388400	Down	SELL	34	34¢	$12	0x9b3aac…
07-07 01:41:10	btc updown 5m 1783388400	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xc08443…
07-07 00:21:41	btc updown 5m 1783383600	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd10bce…
07-07 00:19:20	btc updown 5m 1783383300	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7cf42f…
07-07 00:13:37	btc updown 5m 1783383000	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x988e00…
07-07 00:09:16	btc updown 5m 1783382700	Up	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xd8ab06…
07-07 00:02:32	btc updown 5m 1783382400	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8486de…
07-06 23:54:58	btc updown 5m 1783381800	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x22eaa5…
07-06 23:54:17	btc updown 5m 1783381800	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf11d6e…
07-06 23:48:52	btc updown 5m 1783381500	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x53d437…
07-06 23:44:13	btc updown 5m 1783381200	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x065405…
07-06 23:38:44	btc updown 5m 1783380900	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf0b36b…
07-06 23:30:59	btc updown 5m 1783380600	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x831c67…
07-06 23:30:35	btc updown 5m 1783380600	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5b765f…
07-06 23:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783380300	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb91b20…
07-06 16:04:23	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	1,535	13¢	$200	0x681511…
07-05 17:07:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	991	10¢	$100	0x670c8a…
07-05 17:06:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	833	24¢	$200	0x6c3834…
07-05 17:06:07	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	986	10¢	$100	0x8134ea…
07-05 16:54:53	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xf5fe45…
07-05 16:52:40	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	652	5¢	$31	0xc11afb…
07-04 17:27:40	btc updown 5m 1783185900	Down	BUY	268	7¢	$20	0x177e6a…
07-04 17:24:58	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0xe5ab41…
07-04 17:24:37	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x812757…
07-04 17:23:17	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	SELL	61	36¢	$22	0x3730f1…
07-04 17:22:29	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x017093…
07-04 17:18:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	388	52¢	$200	0xab3c29…
07-04 15:07:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	480	63¢	$300	0xd4e194…
07-04 06:28:17	btc updown 5m 1783146300	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x7d9a35…
07-04 06:24:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xbc2009…
07-04 06:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783146000	Up	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x09de99…
07-04 06:18:19	btc updown 5m 1783145700	Down	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0x6b946a…
07-04 06:13:43	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x6b5c13…
07-04 06:12:40	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5f02f2…
07-04 06:05:02	btc updown 5m 1783144800	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x8b43bc…
07-04 06:01:32	btc updown 5m 1783144800	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xf2d583…
07-04 05:58:23	btc updown 5m 1783144500	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf6fc64…
07-04 05:57:31	btc updown 5m 1783144500	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xeb01ee…
07-04 05:45:47	btc updown 5m 1783143900	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x4b327c…
07-04 05:41:10	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xe2b2be…
07-04 05:40:44	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1f4ffb…
07-04 05:38:43	btc updown 5m 1783143300	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x039f3b…
07-04 05:37:35	btc updown 5m 1783143300	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2bb07b…
07-04 05:33:35	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa92db6…
07-04 05:32:04	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xcfc98c…
07-04 05:30:58	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x0febd0…
07-04 05:30:47	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb58bc7…
07-04 05:26:32	btc updown 5m 1783142700	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x682053…
07-04 05:16:34	btc updown 5m 1783142100	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xa3b8f4…
07-04 05:11:56	btc updown 5m 1783141800	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc65a37…
07-04 05:11:31	btc updown 5m 1783141800	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x71b30d…
07-04 05:06:04	btc updown 5m 1783141500	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3164a7…
07-04 05:01:32	btc updown 5m 1783141200	Up	SELL	121	16¢	$19	0x57348c…
07-04 05:00:41	btc updown 5m 1783141200	Up	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0x647eb4…
07-04 04:57:37	btc updown 5m 1783140900	Up	SELL	123	6¢	$7	0x5f0653…
07-04 04:56:44	btc updown 5m 1783140900	Up	BUY	123	20¢	$25	0xfcf0c8…
07-04 04:55:13	btc updown 5m 1783140600	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6f33bb…
07-03 23:26:50	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	652	23¢	$150	0x83f15d…
07-03 23:24:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,091	11¢	$450	0xf3331d…
07-03 23:23:16	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	12¢	$400	0x7a6c4c…
06-30 17:41:25	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	SELL	166	22¢	$36	0xaa1d2c…
06-30 17:38:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	91	58¢	$53	0xe167b3…
06-30 17:10:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x416e86…