Gleaming-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

+$207

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

621

lifetime

Volume

$6.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$986

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-06 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 32% $-39

Other

36% — —

Politics

15% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+1,083	$205	38¢	$406	+$201	07-04 06:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,091	$450	10¢	$389	$-61	07-03 23:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+204	$100	88¢	$181	+$81	06-25 21:26
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	+61	$14	16¢	$10	$-3	06-30 17:41
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	+106	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	06-19 20:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$450	4,091	0	+4,091	open	—	07-03 23:24
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$400	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	07-03 23:23
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	3	$400	1,585	0	+1,585	open	—	07-05 17:06
ai data center in space by december 31 2027	1	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	07-05 16:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$300	480	0	+480	open	—	07-04 15:07
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	2	$300	2,521	0	+2,521	open	—	07-06 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$297	490	286	+204	open	—	06-30 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$205	1,083	0	+1,083	open	—	07-04 06:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	1	$200	388	0	+388	open	—	07-04 17:18
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$181	652	652	+0	open	—	07-05 16:52
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$131	198	198	+0	open	—	06-22 18:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$103	91	91	+0	open	—	06-30 17:38
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	06-11 23:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	1	$100	991	0	+991	open	—	07-05 17:07
btc updown 5m 1783143000	4	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	07-04 05:33
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	2	$86	227	166	+61	open	—	06-30 17:41
btc updown 5m 1783185600	4	$72	186	61	+125	open	—	07-04 17:24
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$62	357	357	+0	open	—	06-28 03:26
btc updown 5m 1782181500	4	$50	64	44	+20	open	—	06-23 02:29
btc updown 5m 1783144800	2	$50	2,568	0	+2,568	open	—	07-04 06:05
btc updown 5m 1783143300	2	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	07-04 05:38
btc updown 5m 1783143600	2	$50	123	0	+123	open	—	07-04 05:41
btc updown 5m 1783141800	2	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	07-04 05:11
btc updown 5m 1783144500	2	$50	151	0	+151	open	—	07-04 05:58
btc updown 5m 1783145400	2	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	07-04 06:13
btc updown 5m 1783141200	2	$44	121	121	+0	open	—	07-04 05:01
btc updown 5m 1782180000	3	$35	47	32	+14	open	—	06-23 02:04
btc updown 5m 1782364500	4	$33	61	61	+0	open	—	06-25 05:18
btc updown 5m 1783140900	2	$32	123	123	+0	open	—	07-04 04:57
btc updown 5m 1782189600	3	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	06-23 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 16:04:23	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	1,535	13¢	$200	0x681511…
07-05 17:07:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	991	10¢	$100	0x670c8a…
07-05 17:06:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	833	24¢	$200	0x6c3834…
07-05 17:06:07	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	986	10¢	$100	0x8134ea…
07-05 16:54:53	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xf5fe45…
07-05 16:52:40	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	652	5¢	$31	0xc11afb…
07-04 17:27:40	btc updown 5m 1783185900	Down	BUY	268	7¢	$20	0x177e6a…
07-04 17:24:58	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0xe5ab41…
07-04 17:24:37	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x812757…
07-04 17:23:17	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	SELL	61	36¢	$22	0x3730f1…
07-04 17:22:29	btc updown 5m 1783185600	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x017093…
07-04 17:18:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	388	52¢	$200	0xab3c29…
07-04 15:07:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	480	63¢	$300	0xd4e194…
07-04 06:28:17	btc updown 5m 1783146300	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x7d9a35…
07-04 06:24:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xbc2009…
07-04 06:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783146000	Up	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x09de99…
07-04 06:18:19	btc updown 5m 1783145700	Down	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0x6b946a…
07-04 06:13:43	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x6b5c13…
07-04 06:12:40	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5f02f2…
07-04 06:05:02	btc updown 5m 1783144800	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x8b43bc…
07-04 06:01:32	btc updown 5m 1783144800	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xf2d583…
07-04 05:58:23	btc updown 5m 1783144500	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf6fc64…
07-04 05:57:31	btc updown 5m 1783144500	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xeb01ee…
07-04 05:45:47	btc updown 5m 1783143900	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x4b327c…
07-04 05:41:10	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xe2b2be…
07-04 05:40:44	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1f4ffb…
07-04 05:38:43	btc updown 5m 1783143300	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x039f3b…
07-04 05:37:35	btc updown 5m 1783143300	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2bb07b…
07-04 05:33:35	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa92db6…
07-04 05:32:04	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xcfc98c…
07-04 05:30:58	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x0febd0…
07-04 05:30:47	btc updown 5m 1783143000	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb58bc7…
07-04 05:26:32	btc updown 5m 1783142700	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x682053…
07-04 05:16:34	btc updown 5m 1783142100	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xa3b8f4…
07-04 05:11:56	btc updown 5m 1783141800	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc65a37…
07-04 05:11:31	btc updown 5m 1783141800	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x71b30d…
07-04 05:06:04	btc updown 5m 1783141500	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3164a7…
07-04 05:01:32	btc updown 5m 1783141200	Up	SELL	121	16¢	$19	0x57348c…
07-04 05:00:41	btc updown 5m 1783141200	Up	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0x647eb4…
07-04 04:57:37	btc updown 5m 1783140900	Up	SELL	123	6¢	$7	0x5f0653…
07-04 04:56:44	btc updown 5m 1783140900	Up	BUY	123	20¢	$25	0xfcf0c8…
07-04 04:55:13	btc updown 5m 1783140600	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6f33bb…
07-03 23:26:50	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	652	23¢	$150	0x83f15d…
07-03 23:24:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,091	11¢	$450	0xf3331d…
07-03 23:23:16	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	12¢	$400	0x7a6c4c…
06-30 17:41:25	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	SELL	166	22¢	$36	0xaa1d2c…
06-30 17:38:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	91	58¢	$53	0xe167b3…
06-30 17:10:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x416e86…
06-30 17:09:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x66e537…
06-30 17:01:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	286	34¢	$97	0xa8516f…
06-30 17:00:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	381	26¢	$100	0x3fa718…
06-30 16:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x66b6d5…
06-28 03:26:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	357	3¢	$12	0x591410…
06-28 03:25:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$5	0xdc1f68…
06-28 03:21:53	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0x7ac68b…
06-28 03:21:14	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0xd44661…
06-27 16:42:17	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x9e845b…
06-27 16:42:04	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0xcd2c3e…
06-27 16:41:19	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6f6389…
06-25 21:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x098d56…
06-25 05:21:04	btc updown 5m 1782364800	Up	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x516f69…
06-25 05:20:26	btc updown 5m 1782364800	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2a1754…
06-25 05:18:19	btc updown 5m 1782364500	Down	SELL	32	14¢	$5	0x4da027…
06-25 05:17:20	btc updown 5m 1782364500	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8a1ee5…
06-25 05:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782364500	Up	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xe822e5…
06-25 05:15:50	btc updown 5m 1782364500	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9b9ea4…
06-25 05:13:32	btc updown 5m 1782364200	Up	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xc6d4f1…
06-25 05:10:34	btc updown 5m 1782364200	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe1281c…
06-25 05:07:28	btc updown 5m 1782363900	Down	SELL	26	29¢	$7	0x9700b7…
06-25 05:05:38	btc updown 5m 1782363900	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc4f978…
06-23 04:43:58	btc updown 5m 1782189600	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xeb130e…
06-23 04:42:38	btc updown 5m 1782189600	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1ed579…
06-23 04:41:52	btc updown 5m 1782189600	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xaec004…
06-23 04:37:08	btc updown 5m 1782189300	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8b3f6f…
06-23 04:36:04	btc updown 5m 1782189300	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xedfe95…
06-23 04:31:52	btc updown 5m 1782189000	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdb8b89…
06-23 04:31:25	btc updown 5m 1782189000	Up	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x0b5e17…
06-23 04:30:32	btc updown 5m 1782189000	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7c880f…
06-23 04:29:20	btc updown 5m 1782188700	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x406d17…
06-23 04:29:07	btc updown 5m 1782188700	Down	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x572222…
06-23 04:26:43	btc updown 5m 1782188700	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x886708…
06-23 04:24:14	btc updown 5m 1782188400	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa276bd…
06-23 04:22:31	btc updown 5m 1782188400	Up	SELL	26	21¢	$6	0x814b5d…
06-23 04:20:32	btc updown 5m 1782188400	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x288b04…
06-23 02:34:26	btc updown 5m 1782181800	Down	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x9e2b33…
06-23 02:32:59	btc updown 5m 1782181800	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xba5c6b…
06-23 02:29:35	btc updown 5m 1782181500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9022e9…
06-23 02:27:19	btc updown 5m 1782181500	Down	SELL	44	46¢	$20	0x88163c…
06-23 02:26:13	btc updown 5m 1782181500	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9d92a5…
06-23 02:25:38	btc updown 5m 1782181500	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x398ea3…
06-23 02:23:31	btc updown 5m 1782181200	Down	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xf8a2fb…
06-23 02:20:44	btc updown 5m 1782181200	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x391d99…
06-23 02:16:10	btc updown 5m 1782180900	Down	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0x5690d9…
06-23 02:15:31	btc updown 5m 1782180900	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x5b3409…
06-23 02:10:59	btc updown 5m 1782180600	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3161b0…
06-23 02:06:50	btc updown 5m 1782180300	Up	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xc7c220…
06-23 02:05:32	btc updown 5m 1782180300	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb7ae1d…
06-23 02:04:13	btc updown 5m 1782180000	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x2e9048…
06-23 02:01:58	btc updown 5m 1782180000	Down	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x3f825c…
06-23 02:00:55	btc updown 5m 1782180000	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x73daa3…