Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 04-09 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

60% 67% +$9

Other

36% 0% $-5

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$534	396	396	+0	Yes	+$10	04-08 05:10
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$353	378	378	+0	open	—	03-14 18:13
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$298	231	231	+0	open	—	03-06 17:46
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	14	$280	538	395	+143	open	—	03-23 23:25
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	7	$274	169	168	+1	open	—	03-09 04:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$268	209	209	+0	open	—	03-22 11:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$246	171	171	+0	open	—	03-17 15:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$217	131	131	+0	open	—	03-10 04:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$212	126	126	+0	Yes	+$3	03-23 17:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$187	335	23	+312	open	—	03-17 15:17
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$166	390	0	+390	open	—	04-03 08:47
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	3	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	03-07 15:26
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	7	$135	79	79	+0	open	—	03-06 12:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$121	195	0	+195	open	—	03-15 07:10
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	6	$94	57	57	+0	open	—	03-06 12:59
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$86	58	58	+0	open	—	03-07 05:23
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$86	66	65	+1	open	—	02-28 16:10
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	5	$80	290	0	+290	open	—	03-26 15:50
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$71	46	46	+0	open	—	03-17 15:14
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	3	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 17:40
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	10	$65	91	91	+0	open	—	04-03 09:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	5	$63	37	37	+0	open	—	03-02 16:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$61	62	62	+0	open	—	04-09 00:10
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	4	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	03-03 10:15
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	4	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 23:34
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	7	$50	47	47	+0	open	—	03-25 00:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	03-26 11:08
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	5	$49	42	42	+0	open	—	03-06 17:46
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$48	150	150	+0	Yes	$-3	04-03 09:55
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	02-28 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-09 00:10:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	62	58¢	$36	0x746271…
04-08 06:22:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa9b6a7…
04-08 05:10:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	262	71¢	$186	0x6350dd…
04-03 10:18:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x4caf65…
04-03 09:55:07	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x883976…
04-03 09:54:53	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x97d505…
04-03 09:53:35	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x85eaca…
04-03 08:47:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	115	75¢	$86	0x164d42…
04-03 08:47:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x850b35…
04-03 08:47:01	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	SELL	81	41¢	$33	0x5dd302…
04-01 11:57:11	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x8a23e5…
04-01 11:57:07	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x953512…
03-31 16:21:37	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0xfe4343…
03-31 06:56:51	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xfcd7f6…
03-31 03:42:35	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xed7709…
03-26 15:50:13	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	98	14¢	$14	0xb5f33d…
03-26 12:08:15	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xa6acfc…
03-26 12:06:23	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x024a41…
03-26 11:08:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	36	68¢	$24	0x713cf5…
03-25 06:30:19	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xbadcbc…
03-25 00:36:49	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x62e451…
03-25 00:36:47	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x369772…
03-25 00:36:43	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xa29a0f…
03-25 00:36:43	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x520e38…
03-23 23:25:23	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	142	42¢	$60	0xfe21f3…
03-23 23:24:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0xb681f8…
03-23 17:40:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x91b558…
03-23 17:40:27	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0xe23d64…
03-23 17:39:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	126	85¢	$107	0xec6fb4…
03-23 15:58:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x53b8f5…
03-23 07:05:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x7806f7…
03-22 11:08:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xc8d6dd…
03-21 15:42:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	140	49¢	$69	0x5c0c15…
03-21 11:25:19	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x58e1e4…
03-20 20:15:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0xa8b159…
03-17 15:17:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	142	60¢	$85	0xc7f3ed…
03-17 15:14:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xf8a76f…
03-17 15:14:17	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0x3004da…
03-16 04:33:29	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4086db…
03-16 04:33:29	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0e3ee7…
03-16 04:28:55	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x9eda65…
03-16 04:25:29	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x932ebd…
03-16 04:25:29	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x829a52…
03-16 04:21:47	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x73a5ee…
03-16 04:21:45	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x896c23…
03-16 04:21:45	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x648cc1…
03-16 03:50:45	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb2ad1f…
03-16 03:28:53	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a401b…
03-16 03:26:17	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc69f93…
03-16 01:59:59	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xb797b8…
03-16 01:22:17	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3e0e8d…
03-15 12:56:57	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x11bdfc…
03-15 09:51:31	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$1	0x8f1a3b…
03-15 08:51:17	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9a50e4…
03-15 08:51:15	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb5f23d…
03-15 08:51:15	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x8780d6…
03-15 08:51:15	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x73b4dc…
03-15 08:32:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xd87d0e…
03-15 08:28:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xb52c66…
03-15 08:15:21	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x35682c…
03-15 08:07:09	will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xff56a4…
03-15 08:07:07	will the sp 500 index gain at least 5 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5fa5d1…
03-15 08:01:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xc63874…
03-15 08:01:25	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x68804d…
03-15 08:00:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7490a4…
03-15 07:33:03	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x99ac4b…
03-15 07:32:29	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x295ec7…
03-15 07:32:13	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xd1afad…
03-15 07:23:01	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf50fa8…
03-15 07:23:01	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xeb671c…
03-15 07:23:01	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe4416b…
03-15 07:23:01	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x139cf1…
03-15 07:22:15	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbf4601…
03-15 07:22:13	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa9e85f…
03-15 07:22:13	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1cc6d7…
03-15 07:22:11	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9c5997…
03-15 07:10:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xe55c63…
03-15 06:54:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb938ed…
03-15 06:48:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbeddc3…
03-15 06:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x9dbc0d…
03-15 06:21:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	55	61¢	$34	0xd06095…
03-15 06:16:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbfceac…
03-15 06:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x28ae71…
03-15 06:11:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x7a3499…
03-15 05:28:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x52adc1…
03-15 05:26:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0xc94459…
03-15 04:19:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xfe0e4f…
03-15 04:07:13	will xai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xc95096…
03-15 04:07:11	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xdd4d0b…
03-14 18:13:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	278	33¢	$92	0xa96bef…
03-14 12:46:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xf5f7ff…
03-14 11:47:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3a6966…
03-14 11:47:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0xba831e…
03-14 11:47:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	96	63¢	$60	0x6b07a4…
03-14 11:31:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x822d1f…
03-10 10:40:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0xeab551…
03-10 10:07:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	92	44¢	$40	0x734a27…
03-10 08:47:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x2c5292…
03-10 05:37:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	186	43¢	$80	0x4d71e7…
03-10 04:39:23	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	131	90¢	$118	0x0bdad7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	58	$157.6K	14,515	04-01 18:15
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	57	$836.4K	15,248	05-26 12:07
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	57	$251.5K	21,150	05-01 05:50
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	57	$204.9K	1,231	05-21 21:26
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	57	$39.5K	15,467	04-16 20:33
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	53	$13.8M	22,551	05-09 12:49
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	52	$47.3K	9,726	05-08 12:28
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	51	$312.2K	21,761	05-26 10:21