Rotating-Pants — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$411

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$37.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-30 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

59% 92% +$331

Politics

38% 80% +$189

Crypto

3% 60% -$75

Tech

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+37	$30	77¢	$28	-$1	07-09 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	7	$7.1K	3,586	3,586	+0	9z	+$32	06-11 10:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$4.8K	4,813	0	+4,813	No	+$13	06-07 19:14
cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 game2	1	$4.7K	4,706	0	+4,706	FlyQuest	+$6	06-04 13:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.7K	4,757	0	+4,757	No	+$57	05-31 15:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$4.7K	4,771	0	+4,771	No	+$119	05-26 15:08
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$4.6K	4,609	0	+4,609	ex-HEROIC	+$9	05-26 10:11
cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1	2	$2.6K	1,313	1,313	+0	TheMongolz	+$12	06-11 10:00
cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05 game1	2	$1.2K	606	606	+0	FlyQuest	+$5	06-05 16:00
cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	3	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	FlyQuest	+$11	06-05 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$167	141	141	+0	Up	+$27	05-25 05:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	1	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	09-11 12:27
will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	08-07 06:48
will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-31 15:21
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-04 08:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-11 12:27
will wti reach 105 by august 3 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	08-07 06:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	08-31 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 11:00 UTC	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	04-20 11:16
cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	2	$82	74	74	+0	TYLOO	+$2	06-04 13:47
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$70	78	0	+78	Natus Vincere	+$8	05-02 18:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 09:45 UTC	1	$60	90	0	+90	Down	-$60	06-17 09:47
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-31 15:21
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-04 08:32
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-04 08:32
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	1	$40	49	0	+49	Astralis	+$9	04-30 16:25
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$35	42	0	+42	No	-$35	07-30 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC	3	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$10	06-16 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 15:15 UTC	2	$34	21	21	+0	Down	+$4	04-15 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$33	23	23	+0	Up	+$13	05-23 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$5	06-01 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:46:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd0a59b…
10-30 15:44:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x3d9bfa…
09-11 12:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31d44b…
09-11 12:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xe015b9…
09-04 08:32:24	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0aea50…
09-04 08:32:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d5f56…
09-04 08:32:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd624bb…
09-02 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xe3f5d2…
09-02 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2c7912…
09-02 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xba0351…
09-02 13:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x302907…
09-02 13:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x3fd094…
09-01 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xb3fb43…
09-01 13:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x93b8a1…
09-01 13:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x26c771…
09-01 13:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xc7e87e…
08-31 15:22:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x388a07…
08-31 15:21:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9167f1…
08-31 15:21:37	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6c7d1c…
08-31 15:21:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc09644…
08-07 06:48:13	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x60504f…
08-07 06:48:04	will wti reach 105 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x0dd200…
07-30 16:59:12	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0xd058aa…
07-09 13:39:35	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x4dff8f…
07-09 13:34:10	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x72b7df…
07-09 13:30:29	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x680e9b…
07-09 13:28:44	will mrbeast hit 508 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858514	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd2550e…
07-09 13:24:38	will nvda dip to 172 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2a57d…
06-29 16:24:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa32e18…
06-29 16:24:08	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x5dd6ef…
06-17 10:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	47¢	$24	0x9a1949…
06-17 09:47:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x73d3c3…
06-17 09:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x947fee…
06-17 09:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb482d4…
06-17 09:32:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x45452e…
06-17 09:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x088dd0…
06-17 09:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x804a1c…
06-16 14:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6ab4bd…
06-16 13:57:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xee6e64…
06-16 13:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xccf2d7…
06-16 13:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xdba1a3…
06-16 13:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x122bb5…
06-16 13:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6be616…
06-16 13:09:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x64194a…
06-16 13:09:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x0fafa6…
06-16 13:02:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x4d84a2…
06-16 12:58:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1750d3…
06-11 10:00:30	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1	TheMongolz	SELL	1,313	100¢	$1,312	0x451c95…
06-11 10:00:24	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	SELL	3,586	100¢	$3,582	0x0d83cb…
06-11 09:37:04	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1	TheMongolz	BUY	1,313	99¢	$1,300	0x889bc7…
06-11 09:27:55	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xa3e4f2…
06-11 09:27:00	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb322d0…
06-11 09:26:52	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x56226c…
06-11 09:26:48	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xbc18ea…
06-11 09:26:33	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	BUY	1,414	99¢	$1,400	0xd712e3…
06-11 09:26:27	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	9z	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xc84bbc…
06-10 11:07:04	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x69a9f6…
06-07 19:14:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	4,813	100¢	$4,800	0xb8fdbe…
06-05 16:00:34	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05 game1	FlyQuest	SELL	606	100¢	$605	0xb53bb9…
06-05 16:00:01	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	FlyQuest	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x80caa6…
06-05 15:58:52	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	FlyQuest	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x1c6b6e…
06-05 15:58:30	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	FlyQuest	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x7ef84a…
06-05 14:58:58	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05 game1	FlyQuest	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x48a83e…
06-05 14:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x02ee61…
06-04 13:47:42	cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	TYLOO	SELL	74	57¢	$42	0x53371c…
06-04 13:44:06	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 game2	FlyQuest	BUY	4,706	100¢	$4,700	0x53cb34…
06-04 12:05:21	cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	TYLOO	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x93585e…
06-01 08:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8ba9b8…
06-01 08:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x724f08…
06-01 08:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf0be39…
05-31 15:41:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,757	99¢	$4,700	0x9a12f9…
05-26 15:08:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4,771	98¢	$4,652	0x5d4f66…
05-26 10:11:44	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	ex-HEROIC	BUY	4,509	100¢	$4,500	0x4f1ae6…
05-26 10:11:17	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	ex-HEROIC	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf9cd54…
05-25 05:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xd1f948…
05-25 05:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4b97ff…
05-25 05:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	141	69¢	$97	0xbc8ad9…
05-25 05:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xd746e4…
05-25 05:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7e9bb7…
05-25 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf9cd80…
05-23 10:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x2562ee…
05-23 10:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x9b851a…
05-23 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xf57ce2…
05-23 10:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x190a9b…
05-23 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd04408…
05-23 10:23:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x33a56b…
05-20 09:14:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x4aa0ff…
05-04 06:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x90e6f1…
05-02 18:20:56	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x1c16be…
04-30 16:25:54	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Astralis	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xb610da…
04-30 16:25:18	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3d3bbe…
04-29 11:51:02	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x4867f5…
04-29 11:48:18	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Astralis	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x2f845b…
04-29 11:45:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x122eb8…
04-20 11:16:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xdbf557…
04-20 11:08:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xdce851…
04-20 09:23:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xfce438…
04-16 13:07:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x98b744…
04-16 13:03:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x83e4e5…
04-16 12:22:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xbb4d48…