Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$286

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 04-19 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

30% 50% $-9

Tech

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	03-22 20:44
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 07:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$15	18	18	+0	open	—	04-08 07:36
Nothing Ever Happens: April	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-19 13:04
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 04:34
robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-22 20:51
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-01 04:33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:05
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:05
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-22 20:47
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 13:05
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-24 17:25
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	3	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-22 20:50
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	$-10	04-08 07:37
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-16 00:59
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-16 01:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-19 13:07
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-08 07:56
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 01:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-08 07:42
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 13:05
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 01:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 04:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$3	8	8	+0	open	—	03-07 22:10
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-22 20:48
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-22 20:49
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-22 20:49
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-22 20:50
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 13:07:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0732b5…
04-19 13:05:56	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xce7c91…
04-19 13:05:30	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf7a015…
04-19 13:05:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x4e9d67…
04-19 13:05:16	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8fd85d…
04-19 13:05:04	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2b59ea…
04-19 13:04:16	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x8f5bc7…
04-16 01:05:22	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xb09d2e…
04-16 01:05:10	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x96a63c…
04-16 01:05:00	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x34280e…
04-16 01:04:54	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x23fd67…
04-16 01:02:48	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xfefc94…
04-16 01:01:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a2f04…
04-16 00:59:50	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb8df7c…
04-08 07:59:47	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0d1cfe…
04-08 07:59:03	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95084e…
04-08 07:56:03	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb0b013…
04-08 07:55:37	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf0b3f9…
04-08 07:48:39	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbef16c…
04-08 07:47:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x952eb9…
04-08 07:45:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5abd80…
04-08 07:42:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x384ce4…
04-08 07:40:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe300c1…
04-08 07:40:23	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf26b4e…
04-08 07:38:37	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa207de…
04-08 07:37:39	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd1f6d5…
04-08 07:36:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xddb0f7…
04-08 07:36:13	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x485153…
04-01 04:34:17	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x16591f…
04-01 04:34:01	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$6	0x7d145c…
04-01 04:33:43	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x88e252…
03-27 18:56:01	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x281e23…
03-27 18:55:41	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x772d1f…
03-27 18:55:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x27ca2b…
03-27 18:54:57	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe30c90…
03-22 21:18:49	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9a5766…
03-22 21:15:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x56146c…
03-22 21:14:03	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3cb6dd…
03-22 21:10:59	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf89196…
03-22 21:10:21	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4dfe44…
03-22 21:08:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa08899…
03-22 21:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x31538d…
03-22 21:00:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x87b4bf…
03-22 20:53:57	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c4d0c…
03-22 20:52:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29b299…
03-22 20:51:57	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc8b368…
03-22 20:51:39	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe3af42…
03-22 20:51:33	will india strike pakistan by march 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb8985…
03-22 20:50:53	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdc4336…
03-22 20:50:21	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x5404c8…
03-22 20:49:41	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c3fdd…
03-22 20:49:33	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9a23e2…
03-22 20:49:07	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0ffd5f…
03-22 20:48:17	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed15eb…
03-22 20:47:59	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe05c96…
03-22 20:44:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf18f97…
03-22 20:44:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x529e16…
03-16 13:53:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x164db6…
03-16 13:51:07	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd848e1…
03-13 19:54:33	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x215939…
03-13 19:52:49	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2b84da…
03-13 19:52:15	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5a7a63…
03-13 19:50:39	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x68886d…
03-13 19:47:47	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x287e05…
03-07 22:10:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x39e138…
03-07 22:04:19	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6dc9e3…
03-07 22:00:15	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x45d74e…
03-07 21:41:53	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x071b32…
03-07 21:37:05	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee2a40…
03-01 15:29:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x1d9a90…
02-28 12:07:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x7d2319…
02-25 02:55:34	will india strike pakistan by march 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x59eb05…
02-24 17:28:32	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6c994…
02-24 17:25:40	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x03cb94…
02-24 17:19:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe29175…
02-24 17:14:32	trump declassifies new ufo files by february 28	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xace59a…
02-24 17:10:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x721a87…
02-24 17:08:48	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1bd8e4…
02-24 17:08:00	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x76cc3a…
02-24 17:07:22	spx up or down on february 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf97bee…
02-24 17:04:48	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3114f…
02-24 17:04:32	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb13453…